[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

Virtually impassable in Woodingdean:

View attachment 61743

Is that a really badly-positioned letterbox or do you have a very thin cat?

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

They sent a poor Woman to the top of Dartmoor on the BBC this morning as there was 1 inch of snow there ! WHOOPEE DOO !

 

[Notters]

Is that a really badly-positioned letterbox or do you have a very thin cat?

It's my office rather than my house. I think the postman generally walks in rather than using it!

 

[Papa Lazarou]

They sent a poor Woman to the top of Dartmoor on the BBC this morning as there was 1 inch of snow there ! WHOOPEE DOO !

I bet she prefer more than an inch first thing in the morning.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

I bet she prefer more than an inch first thing in the morning.

Anything less than 6 inches and it is hardly worth the effort

 

[casbom]

Not going to ramp up our chances of seeing the white stuff as it seems every time I do it goes wrong!

So I shall leave you with this from Ian Ferguson who works for the Met Office:

As others note, UKMO regard EC DET as progressive outlier. Strong signal for colder or much colder weather next week, albeit extremely low skill on snow risk in any one area (not even worth speculating!). MJO phase root cause for the synoptic 'flip', they say. Some solutions look ominous, but a while before ANY worthwhile deterministic detail emerges for day-to-day prospects after the cold, cyclonic weekend has passed...

in laymans terms at the moment it looks like turning a lot colder next week, starting from this weekend.

 

[clippedgull]

Not going to ramp up our chances of seeing the white stuff as it seems every time I do it goes wrong!

So I shall leave you with this from Ian Ferguson who works for the Met Office:

As others note, UKMO regard EC DET as progressive outlier. Strong signal for colder or much colder weather next week, albeit extremely low skill on snow risk in any one area (not even worth speculating!). MJO phase root cause for the synoptic 'flip', they say. Some solutions look ominous, but a while before ANY worthwhile deterministic detail emerges for day-to-day prospects after the cold, cyclonic weekend has passed...

in laymans terms at the moment it looks like turning a lot colder next week, starting from this weekend.

Thanks for translating!

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Not going to ramp up our chances of seeing the white stuff as it seems every time I do it goes wrong!

So I shall leave you with this from Ian Ferguson who works for the Met Office:

As others note, UKMO regard EC DET as progressive outlier. Strong signal for colder or much colder weather next week, albeit extremely low skill on snow risk in any one area (not even worth speculating!). MJO phase root cause for the synoptic 'flip', they say. Some solutions look ominous, but a while before ANY worthwhile deterministic detail emerges for day-to-day prospects after the cold, cyclonic weekend has passed...

in laymans terms at the moment it looks like turning a lot colder next week, starting from this weekend.

Ian Fergusson - two 's' in his name.

Likewise on the ramping part - the setup still looks far too marginal to call either way at the moment. The first 'chance' is Saturday evening into Sunday down here - then into next week we might see high pressure to the North of the UK and a potentially easterly. I'd suggest that we will see some snow down here at some point in the next 10 days, but it's the whether it's part of a longer cold spell or simply transitional that's key.

 

[Flex Your Head]

For what it's worth, the BBC national forecast after the Ten O'clock News last night ended with the forecaster saying that everywhere will feel colder at the weekend with the first real winter weather settling in next week. They don't seem to back that up on the website though.
Certainly seems to look more promising though.

 

[chucky1973]

Ian Fergusson - two 's' in his name.

Likewise on the ramping part - the setup still looks far too marginal to call either way at the moment. The first 'chance' is Saturday evening into Sunday down here - then into next week we might see high pressure to the North of the UK and a potentially easterly. I'd suggest that we will see some snow down here at some point in the next 10 days, but it's the whether it's part of a longer cold spell or simply transitional that's key.

and its still raining in Avoriaz! Im gonna need my brolly not my ski's

 

[Papa Lazarou]

and its still raining in Avoriaz! Im gonna need my brolly not my ski's

It's been a wretched season for the Alps.... never any cold air.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

Metcheck showing 11-12 C and sw winds by midweek next week

 

[Jam The Man]

Metcheck showing Lancing as 4-6C midweek next week
Netweather showing Lancing as 1-2C midweek next week

Don't bother with BBC as its embarrassingly wrong on a daily basis

 

[Last Summer]

Metoffice showing heavy snow for Burgess Hill on Sunday.

 

[Official Old Man]

As others note, UKMO regard EC DET as progressive outlier. Strong signal for colder or much colder weather next week, albeit extremely low skill on snow risk in any one area (not even worth speculating!). MJO phase root cause for the synoptic 'flip', they say. Some solutions look ominous, but a while before ANY worthwhile deterministic detail emerges for day-to-day prospects after the cold, cyclonic weekend has passed...

I put this through Google translate and it came back as "pack a coat"

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

It's NOT happening as its not in the Daily Express today

 

[LamieRobertson]

It's NOT happening as its not in the Daily Express today

I work on the basis that if it isent in the DE then it will happen

 

[Yoda]

It's NOT happening as its not in the Daily Express today

I would've thought that was a good sign. Normally when they predict something it's not going to happen.

 

[carteater]

bbc predicting snow on saturday night to sunday morning.

 

[chucky1973]

It's been a wretched season for the Alps.... never any cold air.

2 degrees at 2100m at the moment, middle of winter. crazy