[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]

[Hillian1]

Is there anything more depressing than the thought of cold rain?

Yes, the thought of snow makes me depressed.

 

[Deleted member 22389]

Yes, the thought of snow makes me depressed.

The snow is fine as long as you don't need to use the crappy roads. Guaranteed someone somewhere will have a prang causing hours of misery for the other drivers.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

The 6Z GFS is starting to roll out. Suffice to say, at the key time 84-96 hours it's still rubbish for sustained cold.

 

[RowleyBirkinQ.C(deceased)]

The award-winning official "More snow tomorrow?" thread [2012-13 season]

Is there anything more depressing than the thought of cold rain?

Jason Scotland signing?

 

[Max Paper]

Jason Scotland signing?

Point well made.

 

[RowleyBirkinQ.C(deceased)]

The award-winning official "More snow tomorrow?" thread [2012-13 season]

Point well made.

I was kind of messing around but with a an awful sense of dread about Mr Scotland. Anyway back on topic, cold and rainy is shite, especially as I have to cycle to work every day.

 

[vegster]

I see the express has gone slightly over the top

'snow chaos set to cripple Britain...-15 degree temps'

etc etc

This is one of the Express's regular front page " Shockers ", no need to be alarmed.

 

[Flex Your Head]

The next model output available is the 6Z GFS, which starts to trickle out from about 10:30 and is complete (inclucing ensemble) by about 11:45am.

Was there anything at 11.45 to give hope to us snow fans?
If not, do you think the Mirror and Express will just include something buried deep on page 17 along the lines of "Phew, that was close" following their rather hysterical front pages?

 

[Papa Lazarou]

Was there anything at 11.45 to give hope to us snow fans?
If not, do you think the Mirror and Express will just include something buried deep on page 17 along the lines of "Phew, that was close" following their rather hysterical front pages?

The BBC forecasts are openly talking about next week being cold and snowy on the TV, so they are happy with the ECM / UKMO outlook, and are ignoring the GFS.

Other info:

The GEM (one of the 2nd tier models) ensemble is very much in favour of the low moving down across the UK and a strong Easterly feed. I believe GEM is closely aligned to ECM.

The CFS (minor US model) has the same evolution, and because it runs out to 800 hours(!) has over 400 hours of cold snowy weather. Mental.

The ECM supports the sinking low, but pushes everything too far north, leaving southern England in milder rain.

The UKMO shows a continued cold spell throughout next week, with snow likely.

The GFS ensembles do support their main Op run. The fact that the Met Office (who do use this model) have totally discounted it in their forecasts is encouraging.

 

[Djmiles]

Will very interesting to see the what the models thing this evening!

 

[Green Cross Code Man]

Re: The award-winning official "More snow tomorrow?" thread [2012-13 season]

The GFS ensembles do support their main Op run. The fact that the Met Office (who do use this model) have totally discounted it in their forecasts is encouraging.

Yes, encouraging for those of us who want cold and snow. For those of us who would prefer otherwise

 

[narly101]

SNOW, come on!!! Call it in!!!!!!

 

[Papa Lazarou]

I'm not going to be around to comment on the blizzard of model output this evening (spending the late time at the Amex for the Stargazing thing). I'm sure there are many others who follow the charts who can comment on what are being called 'the most eagerly awaited 12z model runs in years'...

 

[porkdog]

its all very exciting. will it, wont it, who knows.

 

[Papa Lazarou]

This is stolen from the TWO discussions..

For anyone who has been on Pluto, the key time to watch is around 60 hours. Below we have the 66 hour chart on 06Z GFS vs the 72 hour from 00Z ECM.


This run, we want that low to show signs of curving down to the SE, with the HP "opening up" to let it pop through...

Simple as that - we need the low to head our way - not towards Northern Scandinavia.

 

[Hillian1]

This is stolen from the TWO discussions..



View attachment 38328

Simple as that - we need the low to head our way - not towards Northern Scandinavia.

So if the low heads out towards Scandinavia we don't get snow and cold but get mild and wet, is that right?

 

[chucky1973]

this is going the same way as our search for a striker, the snow thing has been a wild goose chase and we will end up with a barn door billy period of mild and very wet....you think you have signed the "target man" and snow is gonna bury us and bang is gone as quick as that!!

 

[LamieRobertson]

The award-winning official "More snow tomorrow?" thread [2012-13 season]

I was kind of messing around but with a an awful sense of dread about Mr Scotland. Anyway back on topic, cold and rainy is shite, especially as I have to cycle to work every day.

As it is for those who spend there whole working day outside ..but then if it snows I can't even see my work

 

[Djmiles]

A bit better 12z GFS run so far!

 

[Djmiles]

The GFS Run at 6am +132hours


The GFS Run at Midday +132hours


This is the model which was suggesting a return to milder atlantic conditions in the middle of next, but has backtracked somewhat and has the cooler air still with us. Us cold lovers will take that.