Uncle Spielberg
Well-known member
All turned to nothing and not even any cold here, just back to average 8 C. Game up for Winter
*gets big coat back out of storage*All turned to nothing and not even any cold here, just back to average 8 C. Game up for Winter
Wise, as long as it's a raincoat*gets big coat back out of storage*
The local TV forecasts have mentioned patchy drizzle in places, esp over hills and near coasts. Findon fits both categories. I'm sure you've lived round here long enough to expect light drizzle quite frequently in warm winter SW winds.In other news, every day for some time it has been drizzly in the mornings in Findon but this has not once been forecast. What is going on there. Are we just stuck in the clouds?
I wouldn't be betting on anything either way at this point. GFS is flip-flopping. There's a lot still to play out in terms of how the low pressure coming through Thursday goes - exactly what track it takes *after* hitting the UK is really important and the models just can't seem to agree / make their minds up.All turned to nothing and not even any cold here, just back to average 8 C. Game up for Winter
Probably for a while, but there's a risk (a growing risk with every year that passes) that the Gulf Stream ocean current could break down as a result of climate change. If that happens, the UK potentially gets plunged much, much colder. It's the Gulf Stream that moderates our winter temps by bringing warm water from the tropics north. That warm water then has a big impact on our climate, in particular during winter. If it stops, sea surface temps around the UK will get a lot colder and our local UK climate will go colder with it.13 degree centigrade in South Wales, and it’s been double figure temperatures through most of January and all of February. Plenty of wind and rain though.
There’s usually at least one more cold spell before spring kicks in, but if this is the new winter then it’s windproof/waterproof raincoats, not heavy winter jackets that we’ll need going forward.
It does rather seem to linger over the hills you're right.The local TV forecasts have mentioned patchy drizzle in places, esp over hills and near coasts. Findon fits both categories. I'm sure you've lived round here long enough to expect light drizzle quite frequently in warm winter SW winds.
The chances of snow down here at very very low, and zero for the majority of the low's passage across the UK. We might get a cold waft as it departs, but even that is not the most likely scenario. Most GFS ensemble members have it remaining relatively mild with only 2 or 3 developing cold air here.I wouldn't be betting on anything either way at this point. GFS is flip-flopping. There's a lot still to play out in terms of how the low pressure coming through Thursday goes - exactly what track it takes *after* hitting the UK is really important and the models just can't seem to agree / make their minds up.
Yesterday there was a suggestion we could get record high temps for winter due to weather patterns sucking warm air up from Africa - they were suggesting proper mid-summer type patterns. Today's model runs have backed away from that completely.
Anyway: the models still don't seem to be decided on what's going to happen in 48 hours time, let alone this weekend / next week and the rest of the month. Weather forecasting is a mugs game at the moment, I suspect the only way to "forecast" accurately is walk out your door and take a look to see what might happen in the next few hours.
Looking pretty bare away from the pistes on some of these webcams.Forecast showing us getting a reasonable amount of snow Saturday ....
... in Andorra. And could use it too
Yeah, I know there's nothing doing for us this week. More talking about hinted at possibilities for longer term, some of which really depend on what direction this week's low takes after it passes through the UK. Which up until now doesn't look like the models have a good handle on.The chances of snow down here at very very low, and zero for the majority of the low's passage across the UK. We might get a cold waft as it departs, but even that is not the most likely scenario. Most GFS ensemble members have it remaining relatively mild with only 2 or 3 developing cold air here.
Yes, I agree. Snow in March, at least down here on the Sussex coast always feels like a wasted opportunity though, with a rapidly strengthening sun and longer days.Yeah, I know there's nothing doing for us this week. More talking about hinted at possibilities for longer term, some of which really depend on what direction this week's low takes after it passes through the UK. Which up until now doesn't look like the models have a good handle on.
Suspect the most likely outcome is that the normal winter pattern asserts itself again and we miss out on anything definitively cold, but I wouldn't go so far as to say "winter is over" just yet.
There are a few pistes shut as well, which doesn't worry us as we'll ski anything, but my kid's partners are a little more limited in their abilities and trying to find good snow without too much steep or rough stuff is proving a little more challenging. Still, we're on holiday so it's all goodLooking pretty bare away from the pistes on some of these webcams.
Webcams in Andorra and the Pyrenees live | Grandvalira
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Which resort are you staying in? I've skied Arinsal / Pal, Soldeu and Pas over the years.There are a few pistes shut as well, which doesn't worry us as we'll ski anything, but my kid's partners are a little more limited in their abilities and trying to find good snow without too much steep or rough stuff is proving a little more challenging. Still, we're on holiday so it's all good
Which resort are you staying in? I've skied Arinsal / Pal, Soldeu and Pas over the years.