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[Misc] The Award-winning official "More Snow Tomorrow?" Thread [2024-25 Season]







Flex Your Head

Well-known member
Bloody hate winter
Bloody hate cold
Bloody hate snow
Bloody hate being the only twat who gets to work when it snows
Wake me up in the Spring.

Well, you *might* be out of luck. Looks like there's a good chance of an East / West split developing, with us on the East having colder and potentially snowy weather from the weekend. (What's the betting we just get cold winds with some miserable sleet?!)

UK Outlook for Saturday 1 Dec 2012 to Monday 10 Dec 2012:
Wintry showers are expected to affect some eastern areas on Saturday with snow on hills, possibly to low levels in the north. Elsewhere, largely dry and fine, but cold with the risk of frost, icy patches and overnight freezing fog. By Sunday, rain may spread into the far west, preceded by snow, mainly over higher ground. There is a lot of uncertainty for the remainder of the period but it is likely that northern and eastern areas remain cold with wintry showers for some. Elsewhere, it will probably become milder, at least for a time, but also more unsettled, with rain and hill snow accompanied by stronger winds. Later in the period, colder but drier conditions may become re-established across the UK, with frost and icy patches for many.
 


Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
19,354
Worthing
The latest model output is very mixed. Only the UKMO model shows any sustained cold... it's all a bit 'meh' really.
 




LU7 RED

Active member
Nov 5, 2010
584
Leighton Buzzard
Cold, quiet and sunny for a while will be great. Can't stand windy, wet mild rubbish.

Ruins footie, running (which I do) and kept my 2 1/2 year old up half of the night at the weekend. Sod flying kites and crappy wind turbines!
 




Papa Lazarou

Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Jul 7, 2003
19,354
Worthing

The eventual outcome all hinges on how a low pressure system that doesn't exist yet, but is forecast to develop over Canada, develops and moves into the Atlantic. If it develops and zips eastwards, breaking any ridging of the Azores high, then the GFS forecast will win, and we'll have a 2 or 3 day cold snap, with little snow. If it doesn't and the ridge can hold, then the UKMO forecast will be on.

At the moment, most models (GFS, GEM, and to an extend ECM) support the quick breakdown, with only the UKMO sticking to the colder outlook.

I'd guess we'll get some sort of agreement with the next 24 hours.
 


The eventual outcome all hinges on how a low pressure system that doesn't exist yet, but is forecast to develop over Canada, develops and moves into the Atlantic. If it develops and zips eastwards, breaking any ridging of the Azores high, then the GFS forecast will win, and we'll have a 2 or 3 day cold snap, with little snow. If it doesn't and the ridge can hold, then the UKMO forecast will be on.

At the moment, most models (GFS, GEM, and to an extend ECM) support the quick breakdown, with only the UKMO sticking to the colder outlook.

I'd guess we'll get some sort of agreement with the next 24 hours.

I have no idea what any of that shit means, but I'm guessing it's not good.
 


HAILSHAM SEAGULL

Well-known member
Nov 9, 2009
10,359
According to a reknowned employee of British Rail, they have been warned to expect minus 5 overnight and day time temps of 3 degrees Friday night.
Looking dodgy for Saturday at the excuse of a ground in southeast London.
 




Flex Your Head

Well-known member
A colleague's dad works for a local council's transport department and receives cold weather alerts. It looks like it might be a bit chilly at the game on Saturday, but there will be no snow or transport problems.

"There is a 60% probability of severe cold weather between 0600 on Friday and 0600 on Saturday
in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and
disrupt the delivery of services.

Regional Risk Assessments for occurrence of Cold Weather conditions between 0600 Local Time
on Friday and 0600 Local Time on Saturday.

Southeast England - 20 % - Low risk of mean temperatures reaching the alert level.
London - 10 % - Low risk of mean temperatures reaching the alert level."
 




HAILSHAM SEAGULL

Well-known member
Nov 9, 2009
10,359
Seeing as British Rail ceased to exist in 1996 I wonder about the accuracy of this post

Ok , whatever they call it now, ...........? ......... ? Engineering.
 






casbom

Well-known member
Jul 24, 2007
2,598
Despite the apparent bust of this cold spell, we are no doubt heading into a colder spell of weather with increasing chances of seeing the wintry stuff as we head through next month. All the time there is high pressure blocking the normal path of low pressures (i.e from SW to NE above Scotland which keeps us in mild rainy weather) and actually sending them on a NW to SE trajectory over or just to the West of the UK, there will be chances of snow on frontal edge of that low pressure due to it's interaction with the High pressure.

We are basically going to be the battleground between the warm rainy Atlantic and the cold snowy block to our east. That's why the model output at the moment is all over the place and that's why it's really difficult to say what is going to happen!

For example (as Papa will verify) there has been a Low Pressure that was due to zip across to our north effectively ending the cold spell before it begun. With each run and each day we're getting closer to the weekend, this low pressure is now forecast to head SE through Ireland. The trajectory keeps changing! The more it heads south and west, the better chances of us staying in increasingly cold air.
 










casbom

Well-known member
Jul 24, 2007
2,598
Update for the week ahead looks like being chilly and unsettled. Not much in the way of snow (if any), however I wouldn't rule out chances of snow later on this month after the first week is out of the way.
 








porkdog

Member
May 9, 2008
554
by the sea
Very sleet like in Brighton at the mo. Probably just cold rain.
 


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