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[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

  • President Joe Biden - Democrat

    Votes: 3 0.7%
  • Donald Trump - Republican

    Votes: 173 41.9%
  • Vice President, Kamala Harris - Democrat

    Votes: 217 52.5%
  • Other Democratic candidate tbc

    Votes: 20 4.8%

  • Total voters
    413
  • This poll will close: .






Greg Bobkin

Silver Seagull
May 22, 2012
16,022
UK bookies widely offering 5/1 on Biden.
I'm not interested in betting on it, nor do I take much notice of what bookies are saying, such is their volatility. I just think that Trump being the next president is not the cast-iron guarantee that people are suggesting :shrug:
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,013
I'm not interested in betting on it, nor do I take much notice of what bookies are saying, such is their volatility. I just think that Trump being the next president is not the cast-iron guarantee that people are suggesting :shrug:
i too only take half notice of bookies, but the odds far out on a two horse race. there is other noise and news, this just encapsulates it in to a neat reference point. Biden is going to lose, the Democrats are concerned how much impact that will have on congressional elections, they want to see him out to limit that damage.
 




chickens

Have you considered masterly inactivity?
NSC Patron
Oct 12, 2022
2,687
That's throwing money away.

Either Biden steps down or Trump wins or both. Biden wins is fantasy.

I get where you’re coming from, but if you’d suggested to a French citizen ahead of their vote that the leftist coalition would beat the far-right coalition, then you’d have received similar ridicule. It can happen.

I too feel that the best course would be for Biden to step down, but I can still see a scenario where (when the day for voting arrives) “undecided” voters come out against giving Trump a second term. Not because of a love for Biden, but through a fear of, or unwillingness to facilitate, “Trump 2.”

Other scenarios exist. Trump’s rallies are not drawing the sort of crowds they were a few years ago, and should that trend carry through to the polling booth, then we could see both candidates get a lower number of votes cast for them. I can fully understand a lack of enthusiasm on the part of American voters.

Trump victory likely, but not certain is how I see it, perhaps worth a small flutter.
 




nwgull

Well-known member
Jul 25, 2003
14,532
Manchester
i too only take half notice of bookies, but the odds far out on a two horse race. there is other noise and news, this just encapsulates it in to a neat reference point. Biden is going to lose, the Democrats are concerned how much impact that will have on congressional elections, they want to see him out to limit that damage.
BetFair exchange currently has Harris at shorter odds to win the election than Biden - 7.6 versus 9.4 - so not really a two-horse race, albeit that Trump is clear odds-on favourite.
 




GT49er

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 1, 2009
49,166
Gloucester
Amazes me how the Democrats have failed to find a viable candidate among their many senators and congressmen - just needed to find one thirty or forty years younger than Biden, who really looks past it now.
America now seems to have the job of trying to vote in the least dreadful candidate for the presidency - not a good prospect.
 




Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,050
Faversham
What was confusing was having a perfectly good 2024 thread, but for some obscure reason, people choosing to post current stuff in a four year old thread.

This is the perfectly good 2024 thread - so I have merged your unnecessary new thread into it :thumbsup:
The 2024 thread was not on the NSC front page. I did look for one, even using the search function, but what came up was the old one. So I used that rather than make a new one.

It is in the gift of moderators to merge my needless thread with the existent 2024 one (that I could not fine). Instead I was moaned at for using the 2020 thread (implying I should create a new one, which I did) <sigh> :wink:

I am please a moderator has finally merged the two 2024 threads. :thumbsup:
 


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,050
Faversham
Amazes me how the Democrats have failed to find a viable candidate among their many senators and congressmen - just needed to find one thirty or forty years younger than Biden, who really looks past it now.
America now seems to have the job of trying to vote in the least dreadful candidate for the presidency - not a good prospect.
Realistically to replace Biden he has to stand down. He can only be pushed out by quite aggressive action from within the party. And it can't be done overnight. And if it fails due to large amounts of residual support for Biden then the electoral push is finished (you can't win votes when your own party has tried to boot you out).

The Republicans had an equivalent dilemma with the crook Trump, but decided to go the 'easy' route and back Trump. They did not have the courage that the tory PPL had when defenestrating Johnson. And one might add that didn't exactly pan out well for them....
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,013
BetFair exchange currently has Harris at shorter odds to win the election than Biden - 7.6 versus 9.4 - so not really a two-horse race, albeit that Trump is clear odds-on favourite.
this is like backing a horse that's at the same stable, not intended to run. illustrates how poor it looks for Biden that the market would prefer another runner.
 
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Mellor 3 Ward 4

Well-known member
Jul 27, 2004
10,233
saaf of the water
I'm not interested in betting on it, nor do I take much notice of what bookies are saying, such is their volatility. I just think that Trump being the next president is not the cast-iron guarantee that people are suggesting :shrug:
If Biden walks, then the Democrats win.

If he stays, Trump wins - it's that simple.
 














Bry Nylon

Test your smoke alarm
Helpful Moderator
Jul 21, 2003
20,569
Playing snooker
Biden’s unscripted prezza begins in about an hour. The general unwritten rule in politics is that when the politician becomes the story rather than the issues, then it’s game up and time to exit stage left.

I can’t fathom why Biden can’t or won’t accept this. He’s finished.
 






Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,901
O.M.G.

Biden: “ I now hand you over to the President of Ukraine, President Putin”

After being prompted by aides, he says “I mean President Zelenskyy “

There is no fcuking way he will survive a gaffe like that, Trump will rip him to shreds as will the press. This is a man with his hands on the nuclear football. “Ooops, I meant fire at Russia not France”
 


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