Blue Valkyrie
Not seen such Bravery!
Has anyone done the predictor with albion losing or drawing with Swansea, and still staying up ?
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[Albion] Survival Points Total
- Thread starter bhawoddy
- Start date
Yes - I had us drawing with Swansea and beating Hudds and (I think Leicester). We ended up on 38 points and 15th. I did put an awful lot of draws for most of the bottom half though. Bottom three were Soton, WBA and Stoke. Weirdly Bournemouth finished 8th - so take from that what you will.
Washie
Well-known member
Yes - I had us drawing with Swansea and beating Hudds and (I think Leicester). We ended up on 38 points and 15th. I did put an awful lot of draws for most of the bottom half though. Bottom three were Soton, WBA and Stoke. Weirdly Bournemouth finished 8th - so take from that what you will.
Wow, i had the same
Taybha
Whalewhine
Swansea - 1 will not be the banker most seem to think
ARSE - 1 they will snatch a 88th minute equaliser from a free kick
Everton - 3 a very welcome suprise win
man City - 0 coff
Leicester - 3 a scrappy 1 nil off Muzzas windpipe
Huddersfield - 1 FFS all over them and kojak smashes one home from a corner
Palace - 0 Wilf comes to the party and dives his way into the refs good books
Spuds - 0 needs must and we go all out defense but concede a 90th minute gutter
Burnley - 3 by now Burnley will be in the pack with us and we smash them
ManUre - 3 Possibly the best team performance of the season see us grab all 3 points much to Mersons front teeth suprise
Liverpool - 0 we lose 5-0 but who gives a shit we're already safe
ARSE - 1 they will snatch a 88th minute equaliser from a free kick
Everton - 3 a very welcome suprise win
man City - 0 coff
Leicester - 3 a scrappy 1 nil off Muzzas windpipe
Huddersfield - 1 FFS all over them and kojak smashes one home from a corner
Palace - 0 Wilf comes to the party and dives his way into the refs good books
Spuds - 0 needs must and we go all out defense but concede a 90th minute gutter
Burnley - 3 by now Burnley will be in the pack with us and we smash them
ManUre - 3 Possibly the best team performance of the season see us grab all 3 points much to Mersons front teeth suprise
Liverpool - 0 we lose 5-0 but who gives a shit we're already safe
perseus
Broad Blue & White stripe
Yes and No we don't stay up if we lose or draw with Swansea.
Relegation Battle - Remaining Fixtures for all 10 teams 12:19 - Feb 13 with 260 views BarryTownSwam
BRIGHTON
HOME
Swans
Arsenal
Leicester
Huddersfield
Spurs
Man Utd
AWAY
Everton
Man C
Palace
Burnley
Liverpool
βββββββββββββββββββββ
CRYSTAL PALACE
HOME
Spurs
Man U
Liverpool
Brighton
Leicester
West Brom
AWAY
Chelsea
Huddersfield
Bournemouth
Watford
Stoke
ββββββββββββββββββββββ-
HUDDERSFIELD
HOME
Man U
Swans
Watford
Palace
Everton
Man C
AWAY
West Brom
Spurs
Chelsea
Newcastle
Brighton
Arsenal
βββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
NEWCASTLE
HOME
Southampton
Huddersfield
Arsenal
West Brom
Chelsea
AWAY
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Spurs
Leicester
Everton
Watford
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ-
SOUTHAMPTON
HOME
Stoke
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Man C
AWAY
Burnley
Newcastle
Swans
West Ham
Arsenal
Leicester
Everton
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
STOKE
HOME
Man C
Everton
Spurs
Burnley
Palace
AWAY
Leicester
Southampton
Arsenal
West Ham
Liverpool
Swans
βββββββββββββββββββββββββ-
SWANS
HOME
West Ham
Southampton
Everton
Chelsea
Stoke
AWAY
Brighton
Huddersfield
Man U
West Brom
Man C
Bournemouth
ββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
WATFORD
HOME
Everton
West Brom
Bournemouth
Burnley
Palace
Newcastle
AWAY
Arsenal
Liverpool
Huddersfield
Spurs
Man Utd
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
WEST BROM
HOME
Huddersfield
Leicester
Burnley
Swans
Liverpool
Spurs
AWAY
Watford
Bournemouth
Man Utd
Newcastle
Palace
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
WEST HAM
HOME
Burnley
Man Utd
Stoke
Man C
Everton
AWAY
Liverpool
Swans
Southampton
Chelsea
Arsenal
Leicester
Machiavelli
Well-known member
This ^ deserves its own thread IMO. Liable to get lost in this one.
It doesn't mean anything but as far as I can tell the last team which was in 14th position after 27 games in the Premier League, and ended relegated at the end of the season was Norwich in the 2013/14 season.
Interestingly their total number of points at that stage was also 28, and their manager at the time was.... er I forget....
The only difference was that the bottom of the table was, if anything, slightly more compressed than the current one and the gap between 14th and 20th was only 7 points rather than 8
Interestingly their total number of points at that stage was also 28, and their manager at the time was.... er I forget....
The only difference was that the bottom of the table was, if anything, slightly more compressed than the current one and the gap between 14th and 20th was only 7 points rather than 8
perseus
Broad Blue & White stripe
It's diabolical
Even worse is with both Swansea and Huddersfield winning and WBA winning with 10 minutes to go at Anfield.
Last edited:
super-seagulls
Soup! Why didnβt I get any Soup?
For what it is worth, (zilch), here is my attempt.
I must warn you all however, I am awful at predicting football scores. I am also incredibly biased.
It would be great, although I donβt know how palace survived, Iβm sure I had them losing every week!
EDIT. I now know how they survived!
Will Huddersfield be able to claim points from their home match with Man. Utd? That extra match they have could be crucial.................
..................fortunately it's in the Cup.
Jimmy Grimble
Well-known member
Looking at the fixtures, we really could do with West Ham and Watford staying in the mix 'till the end. Their respective last few are as tricky as ours.
God I really think we're gonna need to be 3 points clear going into that last day (with a decent goal difference) to have a chance of survival.
God I really think we're gonna need to be 3 points clear going into that last day (with a decent goal difference) to have a chance of survival.
Blue Valkyrie
Not seen such Bravery!
I much prefer the fishy predictor as it's not about exact scores.
https://thefishy.co.uk/football-calculator.php
I make us get 34, 35 or 37 points depending on the game v Swansea.
Only a win and 37 points keeps us up - and there is no margin for error even then.
38 points currently the target.
https://thefishy.co.uk/football-calculator.php
I make us get 34, 35 or 37 points depending on the game v Swansea.
Only a win and 37 points keeps us up - and there is no margin for error even then.
38 points currently the target.
Blue Valkyrie
Not seen such Bravery!
Fishy is also good because you can do only the Brighton games, and 'the computer' does the rest.
The Palace game looks more important than currently apparent, along with those v Swansea and Huddersfield of course.
By the way, with no user input, 'the computer' reckons we finish 11th with 44 points - and Palace go down. It's a genius.
Last edited:
Stato
Well-known member
- Dec 21, 2011
- 7,376
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/43049564
"Gracenote says that taking averages over five-year periods, the points needed for Premier League survival has dropped from 37 in 1996-2000, to 35 points now."
Beat Swansea and Arsenal at home and get a point away at Everton and we can apparently take the rest of the season off. Mmmm.
Just had a go on Fishy myself... it's bonkers! I had us on 36 points, which was enough to finish 15th. Palace go down, only picking up 5 points between now and the end of the season. Chelsea finish second, picking up another 29 points from their remaining 11 games - almost catching Man City who only get another 15
super-seagulls
Soup! Why didnβt I get any Soup?
This is how the fishy computer predicted all results including ours and has us in tenth and palace bottom!
I like it.
I've just done the same with thefishy
10 Everton 38 -18 46
11 Swanse 38 -14 44
12 Hudders 38 -24 42
13 West Ha 38 -17 40
14 Brighton 38 -20 39
15 Newcast 38 -18 38
16 Southa 38 -17 37
17 Watford 38 -19 37
18 CrystalP 38 -23 37
19 Stoke 38 -37 29
20 West B 38 -25 27
If it has us finishing on 44 points it's been programmed by anything but a genius
KingKev
Well-known member
I said before Burnley that we needed 5 wins and 5 draws - so 37 pts in total. However, the collapse in form of Chelsea, Burnley and Watford plus Arsenalβs awful away form has seen more points acquired by bottom half teams than one might have expected. Plus us taking a couple of hammerings has lessened the security blanket of superior GD that we once looked to hold.
So I fear the required total is probably more than 37, and unless we get an away win from somewhere and take points from at least one of Arsenal, Spurs and Utd at home, I canβt see us getting there....throwing away great opportunities to win 6-pointers at Saints and at Stoke may well prove fatal.
I am a pessimist and a curmudgeon though - so just ignore me
So I fear the required total is probably more than 37, and unless we get an away win from somewhere and take points from at least one of Arsenal, Spurs and Utd at home, I canβt see us getting there....throwing away great opportunities to win 6-pointers at Saints and at Stoke may well prove fatal.
I am a pessimist and a curmudgeon though - so just ignore me