[Albion] Statistics never lie by Mr Pinocchio

[InsaneSociety]

With the fixture list nearing the final straight, I predict that one more Albion point will ensure our safety. Swansea will be the key, two draws against both Stoke and Southampton will see the current bottom three destined for the Championship.
My other prediction, an average 6 points against the top six is also on track with 5.57 being the current mean figure.

Form against top 6​

Form against the rest​

 

[MORTY]

We’re safe already. Freak set of results to see us go down now.


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[Blue Valkyrie]

I predict defeat at Everton for Southampton will make albion mathematically safe.

 

[Tim Over Whelmed]

We were safe at 34 points IMHO.

 

[Tricky Dicky]

We were safe at 34 points IMHO.

Even though I've said all season that we'd go down, I now think this is probably correct.

 

[Tim Over Whelmed]

Even though I've said all season that we'd go down, I now think this is probably correct.

Thank you Sir!

 

[Bwian]

We’re safe already. Freak set of results to see us go down now.


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You mean like being 7 points clear with three games to go and being caught by the only club who could overtake us despite us having a lead in the final game of the season with minutes to go?

You're right: would never happen except for Roy of The Rovers.



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[Hamilton]

You mean like being 7 points clear with three games to go and being caught by the only club who could overtake us despite us having a lead in the final game of the season with minutes to go?

You're right: would never happen except for Roy of The Rovers.

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Ah yes, but that was us being chased by an in form team, not by a basket case of players who really don't show signs of overcoming the odds - even with a new manager bounce.

I think we've done enough already.

My sights are set on catching Newcastle and being the best performing of the promoted clubs. That's where we should focus.

3pts at Burnley
3pts against Man U
0pt at City
1pt at Liverpool

That gives us 45pts

If the West Prom bounce continues against Newcastle and Watford can put up some resistance, then I don't see the magpies beating Spurs or Chelsea. We could pip them.

This is the attitude I'm taking into the end of the season. Look forward. Don't look back!

 

[MORTY]

You mean like being 7 points clear with three games to go and being caught by the only club who could overtake us despite us having a lead in the final game of the season with minutes to go?

You're right: would never happen except for Roy of The Rovers.



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So we’d need to lose all our games (possible I’d admit), and Stoke or Southampton putting a run together that they’ve not managed all season, and Swansea Palace, West Ham and Huddersfield all doing better than us as well.

Also your points hardly relative. Don’t know about you but I couldn’t give a toss that we didn’t finish top. We were promoted. That was the target.


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[larus]

Ah yes, but that was us being chased by an in form team, not by a basket case of players who really don't show signs of overcoming the odds - even with a new manager bounce.

I think we've done enough already.

My sights are set on catching Newcastle and being the best performing of the promoted clubs. That's where we should focus.

3pts at Burnley
3pts against Man U
0pt at City
1pt at Liverpool

That gives us 45pts

If the West Prom bounce continues against Newcastle and Watford can put up some resistance, then I don't see the magpies beating Spurs or Chelsea. We could pip them.

This is the attitude I'm taking into the end of the season. Look forward. Don't look back!

Are you Diane Abbot?

 

[JamesAndTheGiantHead]

My sights are set on catching Newcastle and being the best performing of the promoted clubs. That's where we should focus.

3pts at Burnley
3pts against Man U
0pt at City
1pt at Liverpool

That gives us 45pts

I don't know what troubles me more, your optimism or your maths.

 

[Pavilionaire]

It is remarkable that no team in the bottom 14 has managed to get more than 8 points from the Top 6.

I don't remember them ever being SO far ahead of the rest as this. Burnley should get some sort of trophy for winning the Premier League 2 Championship.

 

[Hamilton]

I don't know what troubles me more, your optimism or your maths.

Yep. Terrible maths.

OK, so 43 pts.

I'll just up my positivity levels.

Let's catch Newcastle.

 

[Hamilton]

Remember what the fans and pundits thought...

http://www.skysports.com/football/news/11661/11016095/vote-201718-premier-league-table-prediction

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/40816204

 

[Thunder Bolt]

You mean like being 7 points clear with three games to go and being caught by the only club who could overtake us despite us having a lead in the final game of the season with minutes to go?

You're right: would never happen except for Roy of The Rovers.

Did Roy of the Rovers celebrate with lots of booze for the last three games? The Norwich game was a freak result which I doubt any of us will ever see again.

 

[Brovion]

You mean like being 7 points clear with three games to go and being caught by the only club who could overtake us despite us having a lead in the final game of the season with minutes to go?

You're right: would never happen except for Roy of The Rovers.



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But the whole dynamic is different when you're at the top. At the top you have to keep on winning games (which we didn't) in order to maintain your position. At the bottom you don't necessarily have to keep winning games in order to stay in the same place. Newcastle making up seven points last season is like Stoke making up 15 points now.

Proof: When we beat Arsenal we were 7 points clear of the relegation places. Five games and and a mere TWO points later - we were 8 points clear!!

 

[hans kraay fan club]

Did Roy of the Rovers celebrate with lots of booze for the last three games?

Not Roy, no - he was squeaky clean. That Blackie Gray, on the other hand, was known to be fond of a drink.

 

[LVGull]

Are you Diane Abbot?

One hundred and ninety

 

[AZ Gull]

I don't remember them ever being SO far ahead of the rest as this. Burnley should get some sort of trophy for winning the Premier League 2 Championship.

Actually, Arsenal are Premier League 2 Champions