SPOTY 2016 Betting

[Thunder Bolt]

Djokovic loses!

[tweet]794647559159549953[/tweet]

 

[Motogull]

Gareth Bale now 16/1 on the machine

Quoted simply because I miss 8ace.

 

[Iovan The Sweeper]

Some stats for you

You have to go back to 1996 to find a winner who wasn't an Olympian in an Olympic year.
Only 2 English winners in the past 9 years. Hamilton and Wiggins. The Welsh and Scotch back their own.
Cycling winners have done well in Olympic years. Hoy and Wiggins both winners. Adlingtons double gold wasn't enough.
Only Leigh Halfpenny has placed in Rugby union in recent years. England maybe playing superbly but it doesn't pay to look for the winner there.
Murray placed in 3 of the last 4 years.
Recency bias always plays a part.

Good stats.

Plenty of double (London 2012) winners in Rio too.

Mo Farah, Alistair Brownlee, Laura Trott, Andy Murray, Sir Brad (although the recent TUE news may have derailed him), Jason Kenny.

Chris Froome has got to be up there, but I agree - he probably isn't popular enough. Other 2012 winners (Charlotte Dujardin, Nicola Adams, Jade Jones) not in popular enough sports.

Here's a couple of wildcards - Nick Skelton (for sentiment), Max Whitlock (for history).

Adam Peaty? Top three potential - but swimming isn't going to get the votes.

Going by the recency argument - then it's hard to look past Andy Murray - Gold in Rio, Wimbledon, end the season as number 1.

Hamilton's only chance of top 3 is if he wins the F1 title.

But Murray also goes by the non-English winner stat. I reckon:

1. Murray
2. Farah
3. Trott / Brownlee

How about team - GB Hockey (Women's)?

 

[Barry Izbak]

So these are the nominees for BBC Sports Personality of the Year award 2016

Nicola Adams (boxing)
Gareth Bale (welsh)
Alistair Brownlee (triathlete)
Sophie Christiansen (the sport of dressage!)
Kadeena Cox (paralympic cycling)
Mo Farah (running)
Jason Kenny (cycling)
Laura Kenny (cycling)
Andy Murray (scottish tennis player)
Adam Peaty (swimming)
Kate Richardson-Walsh (hockey sticks)
Nick Skelton (show jumping)
Dame Sarah Storey (cycling)
Jamie Vardy (one season wonder)
Max Whitlock (gymnast)
Danny Willett (golfer won the masters and nothing since)

No room for
Snooker Number one and current World Champion Mark Selby
Tour de France winner Chris Froome
F1 runner up Lewis Hamilton
Olympic Gold medallist Justin Rose
50 odd other Olympic Gold madellists

Accepting that having a "personality" is not a pre-requiste to be nominated, who else do you think perhaps ought have been nominated for their 2016 sporting performance?

 

[Kinky Gerbil]

Andy Murray by some distance.

Some of those nominations are a joke!

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

On bet365, Andy Murray is currently quoted as 1/8. In the olden days, they'd have paid you out on a genuine punt by now. But, no, they're clinging to their Cash Out offer and trying to save themselves a few bob. Guess statistically it makes sense. Just seems a bit cheap somehow.