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So who's going to stop us now???



Wilko

LUZZING chairs about
Sep 19, 2003
9,927
BN1
Chill. This time last season we were all getting excited, this league can bite you on the bum. We are looking strong at the moment but I certainly will not counting any chickens for quite some time. People I work with keep saying 'You are certs to go up', I just answer 'maybe' as things can change so quickly. For the moment let us just enjoy where we are, I for one would happily take a point up at Brum on Saturday for starters.
 




LVGull

New member
May 13, 2016
1,959
It's done us a massive favour by Villa and Derby having nightmare starts with the wrong managers and Norwich having a shit one.
If these three had their ducks in a row at the start it would be a hell of a lot closer. It's our chance and with strength in depth I can't see us slipping up.
 




Wilko

LUZZING chairs about
Sep 19, 2003
9,927
BN1
if 90 points is the target, then 15 wins from 25 games, we can afford 10 defeats based upon that!!!! (as long as we win the 10 of course!!)

I think 13 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats get us promoted from here on in. But I cant see us losing 6 games. I just cant, but you never no.

For Reading to get to 90 points, they need 53 points from 25 games which is over 2.13 points per game, that's our current form.

Yes, but we did all this last year and then Burnley went on a 23 game unbeaten run from Boxing day until the end of the season. Let's not get cocky.
 






Hugo Rune

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 23, 2012
23,703
Brighton
Cannot understand why there is this perception Villa will be a threat to us, can someone explain and evidence this

1. Villa HAD lost less games than Newcastle (now the same).
2. Bruce is a brilliant Championship level manager (see the promotion of yet another average side last season).
3. Villa's parachute cash will be well spent this January (see point 2).
4. Villa can bring on Gestede, McCormick & Adomah as substitutes. All well proven top top Championship quality IMHO
5. Gary Gardener
6. Thoroughly deserved the point at the Amex and also held Newcastle.

Despite these lovely reasons (there is a red herring in there for you to chew on Hut), I think we are too far ahead to be caught now so they are now my favourites for promotion via the play-offs.
 


symyjym

Banned
Nov 2, 2009
13,138
Brighton / Hove actually
Only us can stop us. 2 poor goals is disappointing. Stockdales weak punch and Norwood and March lack of effort tracking back for their second could have cost us on another day. Pleased with the 3 points, but Hughton will be pissed with the soft goals and some bad decision making. Greer getting sent off made it easier for us, but to concede when having a man advantage shouldn't happen that easily.

So yes if we don't go up it will more than likely be stupid errors, lack of concentration and bad decision making on our part that will cost us. We are our biggest threat now.
 








warmleyseagull

Well-known member
Apr 17, 2011
4,394
Beaminster, Dorset
Chill. This time last season we were all getting excited, this league can bite you on the bum. We are looking strong at the moment but I certainly will not counting any chickens for quite some time. People I work with keep saying 'You are certs to go up', I just answer 'maybe' as things can change so quickly. For the moment let us just enjoy where we are, I for one would happily take a point up at Brum on Saturday for starters.

Only ever take a point when it is mathematically what you need (a la Boro vs. us). Wins are what count. I wouldn't take a point on Sat now - possibly if we are down to 10 and it is 0-0 with 5 to go, but not now. Look at the table now; even with less than half the season to go there is a very high degree of correlation of games won and position in table. Only Villa are more than a couple of places out on this measure. CH knows it - mentioned several times that the number of draws early last season cost us. Anecdotally, he seems to be less defensive with substitutions - attacker for attacker and/or midfielder for attacker later in game.
 






ferring seagull

Well-known member
Dec 30, 2010
4,607
It's done us a massive favour by Villa and Derby having nightmare starts with the wrong managers and Norwich having a shit one.
If these three had their ducks in a row at the start it would be a hell of a lot closer. It's our chance and with strength in depth I can't see us slipping up.

Get real, far too early for that sort of stuff !
 




Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!
Sep 1, 2012
32,165
Valhalla
We are now 2 points over a win-at-home-draw-away 92 point finish.

Win the next 2 and we are at 51 points at the half way stage.

:albion2:
 










warmleyseagull

Well-known member
Apr 17, 2011
4,394
Beaminster, Dorset
1. Villa HAD lost less games than Newcastle (now the same).
2. Bruce is a brilliant Championship level manager (see the promotion of yet another average side last season).
3. Villa's parachute cash will be well spent this January (see point 2).
4. Villa can bring on Gestede, McCormick & Adomah as substitutes. All well proven top top Championship quality IMHO
5. Gary Gardener
6. Thoroughly deserved the point at the Amex and also held Newcastle.

Despite these lovely reasons (there is a red herring in there for you to chew on Hut), I think we are too far ahead to be caught now so they are now my favourites for promotion via the play-offs.

The three substitutes will be needed to replace Ayew, Kodjia and Adomah next month while they play in Africa and the signings will replace the subs. Cant see a gain until ACN is over and by then too late...
 






Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,225
Goldstone
Derby if they win tomorrow are still 10 points off us and have to come to the AMEX
So you're saying that could be down to 7 points?
 


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