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Should there be a general election?



Titanic

Super Moderator
Helpful Moderator
Jul 5, 2003
39,930
West Sussex
No. We had a GE a few months ago. The Tories won a majority, which they still have.

Get on with the job.

GE in 2020 as scheduled. (not that it is relevant but Labour might even have sorted themselves out into some sort of opposition by then... or disintegrated totally!)
 




DTES

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
6,022
London
It wouldn't be cricket to ask for a GE with Labour in their current state either.

You're not wrong... but then it's actually Labour that are calling for one. Shooting themselves in the foot a little, but then that seems to be their main tactic at the moment. It seems a bit of an open goal for May to give them what they want and increase her majority.

I see what you mean about Brown not even having an internal party election, but saying that what you need is support from the MPs - not members - is probably not an argument that Jeremy Corbyn will be using anytime soon...
 


DavidinSouthampton

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 3, 2012
17,357
I'd suggest 1940 with Churchill taking over without an election was rather more exceptional circumstances than this political spat.

I did say "most of the other occasions", recognising that there would be wartime situations included in there - and that was a national coalition government, i believe (from memory) in a much greater crisis than we are in now...... to say the least. I always tend towards understatement!..
 




smeg

New member
Feb 11, 2013
980
BN13
Difficult decision for the new PM (one of many!)

Pros (from her point of view):-

Labour are in disarray and she could well be returned with a bigger majority

If she doesn't have one the press will be on her back, although this is not a reason for having it

If she does and wins she will silence any critics who say she doesn't have a mandate

Cons:-

If she doesn't she'll never hear the last of it and will be compared to Gordon Brown who bottled it

The country doesn't need any more uncertainty

We need to crack on and sort out post-Brexit Britain, not spend 6 - 8 weeks in a GE campaign

I think if I was her I would call one.

Might be worth a poll on NSC?

I bet UKIP would like a snap election
 




Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,221
Goldstone
"Gordon Brown is running scared of the people's verdict" - Theresa May when Gordon Brown took over and did not call a snap election.

Calling one now may or may not be the 'right' decision for May, but it'd be a hypocritical decision not to...
It is ironic that she said that, but I don't think she's running scared. I imagine she'd be confident of winning, Labour are in disarray, but I assume it's better for the country to get on with the Brexit deal, not have an election.

Do we really think Labour would win?
 


GT49er

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 1, 2009
49,190
Gloucester
I bet UKIP would like a snap election

Why? All the main parties (apart from UKIP) are pro EU (OK, maybe the tories only half pro EU), so essentially whichever party won, most of its MPs would be remainers - the only people who want a GE are desperate remainers who would want to use the point that a remain party had won the GE as an excuse to overturn the democratic will of the people.

Essentially UKIP has now done its job - although it still needs to stick around for a while in case those in the Westminster bubble try any back-sliding.
 






DTES

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
6,022
London
It is ironic that she said that, but I don't think she's running scared. I imagine she'd be confident of winning, Labour are in disarray, but I assume it's better for the country to get on with the Brexit deal, not have an election.

Do we really think Labour would win?

I don't think she's 'running scared' either really - but it's a card that Labour will play. I also agree that there's not a chance in hell Labour would win - which makes it even more bonkers that they've called for one.

The Tories would likely extend their majority; the Lib Dems might win a couple back (winning back some of the voters who left them for Labour in 2015 but now can't vote for Corbyn); the SNP would probably sweep Scotland again after the Brexit vote. The big question would be what happens to the Ukip vote - they picked up 12.6% of the vote last year, how many of them would go back to either the Tories or Labour thinking it's 'job done' on the EU? Certainly not all, or even most, but some would, and they could swing a few seats.
 


Mackenzie

Old Brightonian
Nov 7, 2003
34,028
East Wales
No, I don't think so, too much turmoil and too little leadership within both labour and the conservative parties means that we won't be voting for anything solid at the moment. Give it a while......
 


Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,955
Surrey
I'll just leave this here:

13600314_1764560463822883_774073647537036526_n.jpg
 




TheJasperCo

Well-known member
Jan 20, 2012
4,612
Exeter
From a purely impartial POV, no there shouldn't. Not only will the markets continue to suffer from the turmoil of an election campaign, and not only because most of the electorate had enough of political campaigning. The last election was 14 months ago, and the Conservatives did win a majority based on manifesto pledges they have stuck to (c.f. referendum promise). When you vote in a GE, you don't choose the Prime Minister - you choose the candidate who you want to stand for your constituency. This makes a GE pointless and perhaps even detrimental to the UK, in my opinion.
 


Aug 11, 2003
2,734
The Open Market
No. This government were elected on a mandate to hold a definitive referendum on the EU. Thy have fulfilled that pledge, the British public has made its decision, and now the government is morally obliged to complete the work of removing us from the EU.
Then, in 2020, when there is no way back into the EU anyway, we can vote in a decent Labour government.

The referendum wasn't the only manifesto pledge.

If Theresa May wants to go her own way, separate from the policies David Cameron put into the 2015 manifesto (e.g. she is a big advocate of leaving the ECHR, and forming a so-called 'British Bill of Rights') she doesn't have the mandate for it, then yes - she should go to the country.

Aside from that, probably not.
 


Kalimantan Gull

Well-known member
Aug 13, 2003
13,457
Central Borneo / the Lizard
No - I don't think even these Tories would think it reasonable to call an election when Labour are in the middle of a leadership election, and I think most people are perfectly content with May as PM, at least compared to what it could have been - Johnson, Gove, Leadsom, Osborne, etc.

Still, with the way party leadership elections seem to be going these days, its not out of the question to get someone like Corbyn elected PM by the members - could easily happen.

Most of all, I am fed up with people saying that the public 'don't choose a PM'. That's complete balls, the leader of the party is the single most important thing that swing voters use to decide their vote. There is a reason Foot got hammered by Thatcher, Howard and Hague by Blair, why Kinnock couldn't win an election, why Ed Miliband did worse in the election than his brother David would have, why Corbyn is being ousted, why Leadsom collapsed so quickly. The quality of the leader to become PM is often all that matters, and so yes, when we vote in a GE most people ARE choosing the Prime Minister.
 




Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
No - I don't think even these Tories would think it reasonable to call an election when Labour are in the middle of a leadership election, and I think most people are perfectly content with May as PM, at least compared to what it could have been - Johnson, Gove, Leadsom, Osborne, etc.

Still, with the way party leadership elections seem to be going these days, its not out of the question to get someone like Corbyn elected PM by the members - could easily happen.

Most of all, I am fed up with people saying that the public 'don't choose a PM'. That's complete balls, the leader of the party is the single most important thing that swing voters use to decide their vote. There is a reason Foot got hammered by Thatcher, Howard and Hague by Blair, why Kinnock couldn't win an election, why Ed Miliband did worse in the election than his brother David would have, why Corbyn is being ousted, why Leadsom collapsed so quickly. The quality of the leader to become PM is often all that matters, and so yes, when we vote in a GE most people ARE choosing the Prime Minister.

I don't agree. I wouldn't say most people. You vote for your constituency MP, who could be a good candidate or a lousy candidate. There is tactical voting in marginals to get rid of lousy candidates. Not everyone votes on party lines.
 


pb21

Well-known member
Apr 23, 2010
6,689
I'll just leave this here:

13600314_1764560463822883_774073647537036526_n.jpg

I have already read several articles regarding May; seems she has a long history of saying one thing and voting and/or doing something completely different. She won't find it that easy to carry on like that anymore, although old habits die hard...
 


JC Footy Genius

Bringer of TRUTH
Jun 9, 2015
10,568
No for the numerous reasons already given. Plus a May government with a very small majority means she can't sideline/circumvent the significant Brexit section of MP's giving them greater influence in making sure she doesn't dilute Brexit to Brexit lite.
 


Surf's Up

Well-known member
Jul 17, 2011
10,441
Here
No, unfortunately the Tory party were elected to implement their manifesto. So long as she does that there's no problem. If she has a completely different agenda then yes there should be one. That said, she may be sorely tempted to call one soon given the narrow majority the Tories have in parliament and the probability that a) it would be the extremely democratic thing to do = mucho brownie points and b) it could result in the electoral anihalation of the Labour Party
 




Goldstone1976

We Got Calde in!!
Helpful Moderator
NSC Patron
Apr 30, 2013
14,124
Herts
I would be surprised if someone isn't commissioning a poll to ascertain what the country thinks.

I received a call from a pollster this morning asking just this question. I replied "Haven't we just had one? Is it election time again already? Can you tell me who I have to vote for please?".

I'm not very keen on receiving unsolicited phone calls.
 


Hiney

Super Moderator
Helpful Moderator
Jul 5, 2003
19,396
Penrose, Cornwall
"Gordon Brown is running scared of the people's verdict" - Theresa May when Gordon Brown took over and did not call a snap election.

Calling one now may or may not be the 'right' decision for May, but it'd be a hypocritical decision not to...

Politician in hypocrisy shock.

The whole process is a steaming pile of old ****.

These people don't give a shit about the country, ALL they care about is serving their own agenda.
 


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