Dick Knights Mumm
Take me Home Falmer Road
I think this is one of the most perceptive comments I have read on this forum, or indeed anywhere else
I'd never looked at it like this before and I think you are absolutely spot on.
Thanks Mum!
I think this is one of the most perceptive comments I have read on this forum, or indeed anywhere else
I'd never looked at it like this before and I think you are absolutely spot on.
Although I also agree with those saying Johnson is a clever man. But I think his intelligence is very much emotional intelligence - about winning popularity and playing political situations - not necessarily the same type of intelligence that makes someone a good political leader.
I think about this a lot, its interesting. Its something to do with politics being tribal, so similar to football, red versus blue, where winning is the most important thing and it doesn't matter whether you play dirty, foul, cheat the ref, its just the winning that matters and you will defend your side regardless.
All of us are guilty of this to some degree - in a way we have to be because so few people, let alone politicians, are perfect non-hypocritical beings. We hoped Trump or Kavanaugh or Roy Moore would be brought down by revelations of sexual misconduct, but merely wince and then carry on when Biden is tarred with the same brush. Because what else can we do, only Biden can beat Trump now. Bigger picture stuff.
Now of course none of this is new, politics has always been tribal, people have always voted what their family or class or town have voted for generations, its instilled in people. But I think the advent of social media has made us more involved, far more people have influence (or feel they have influence these days). It also opens us up to more people on the other side to have an argument with, like on NSC, back in the 80's and 90's your social grouping tended to be of similar minds, the only people I would argue politics with was my family. Now there are hundreds of people to play this game with, thousands and thousands if you want to be active on Twitter. In America there are whole TV channels devoted to backing their side, in the UK we have newspapers doing that job.
And the more that people belligerently defend their side, the more you are likely to stick your heels in on your side, just driving the divide further apart.
What Trump did brilliantly, that I have never seen before from a top level politician but which is clearly the playbook of the moment, is refuse to apologise. Ever. He just doubled-down, deflected, ignored it, claimed the allegations were lies or smears, blamed the other side and the media - and always, always, presented himself as a tough, strong, in-control man who took no shit. And in a tribal world, that's what we look for in a leader - someone to lead our side, and, perhaps even more importantly, beat the other side. The most revered Brighton managers and players are the ones who talk sh*t about Palace, the ones who become hated by Palace.
The more the enemy hates them, the more we love them. And if they beat the enemy, we love them even more. But if they show weakness, then they lose stature as a leader.
So the masses don't want a leader to unite the people, they want one to beat the other side. Its not a universal, of course, many people in the middle are horrified and want sensible government, and sometimes we get it. Popular opinion was that it was the middle who decided elections. Recent evidence seems to counter that, that if you get a rabid, engaged base you will win on turnout alone without changing anyone's mind. Landslides used to happen when one side was obviously much better than the other, but all elections seem to be close these days. And slogans and campaigns seem different now, everyone campaigns on being the Change candidate, the Outsider candidate, taking down the Political Elite. It used to be about competence and ability and policies.
Both sides do this, so whether it will ever change our political-path long-term, I don't know. But both the Republicans and the Tories saw an opportunity to get the masses from the poorer, more ignored, traditionally-working class parts of the country on their side, saw disillusionment about their traditional left-wing leaders, whether Clinton or Corbyn, and pounced. They've presented tough, take-no-shit leadership and won elections with their support.
We can thank coronavirus for taking the wind out of their sails. In a crisis you need national unity government. In America they have barely attempted it, the cracks are showing and no, I don't think Trump can win in November, not with the economy the way it is. The economy was the only reason he could have been re-elected - he's not liked by the suburbs and his victory in 2016 was driven as much by dislike of Clinton as support for him. Joe Biden, for all his flaws, is an everyman kind of guy. He's acceptable.
As for the UK, Johnson made a good stab at the unity thing, and it was working well enough til fairly recently, but now shattered by the Cummings thing. I don't know whether a full-on Trump style leadership will work here, for one thing I imagine its impossible to turn the media into 'fake news', the BBC are too well respected and the media will on the most part defend their own ahead of the government.
But interesting times, as ever
I think about this a lot, its interesting. Its something to do with politics being tribal, so similar to football, red versus blue, where winning is the most important thing and it doesn't matter whether you play dirty, foul, cheat the ref, its just the winning that matters and you will defend your side regardless.
All of us are guilty of this to some degree - in a way we have to be because so few people, let alone politicians, are perfect non-hypocritical beings. We hoped Trump or Kavanaugh or Roy Moore would be brought down by revelations of sexual misconduct, but merely wince and then carry on when Biden is tarred with the same brush. Because what else can we do, only Biden can beat Trump now. Bigger picture stuff.
Now of course none of this is new, politics has always been tribal, people have always voted what their family or class or town have voted for generations, its instilled in people. But I think the advent of social media has made us more involved, far more people have influence (or feel they have influence these days). It also opens us up to more people on the other side to have an argument with, like on NSC, back in the 80's and 90's your social grouping tended to be of similar minds, the only people I would argue politics with was my family. Now there are hundreds of people to play this game with, thousands and thousands if you want to be active on Twitter. In America there are whole TV channels devoted to backing their side, in the UK we have newspapers doing that job.
And the more that people belligerently defend their side, the more you are likely to stick your heels in on your side, just driving the divide further apart.
What Trump did brilliantly, that I have never seen before from a top level politician but which is clearly the playbook of the moment, is refuse to apologise. Ever. He just doubled-down, deflected, ignored it, claimed the allegations were lies or smears, blamed the other side and the media - and always, always, presented himself as a tough, strong, in-control man who took no shit. And in a tribal world, that's what we look for in a leader - someone to lead our side, and, perhaps even more importantly, beat the other side. The most revered Brighton managers and players are the ones who talk sh*t about Palace, the ones who become hated by Palace.
The more the enemy hates them, the more we love them. And if they beat the enemy, we love them even more. But if they show weakness, then they lose stature as a leader.
So the masses don't want a leader to unite the people, they want one to beat the other side. Its not a universal, of course, many people in the middle are horrified and want sensible government, and sometimes we get it. Popular opinion was that it was the middle who decided elections. Recent evidence seems to counter that, that if you get a rabid, engaged base you will win on turnout alone without changing anyone's mind. Landslides used to happen when one side was obviously much better than the other, but all elections seem to be close these days. And slogans and campaigns seem different now, everyone campaigns on being the Change candidate, the Outsider candidate, taking down the Political Elite. It used to be about competence and ability and policies.
Both sides do this, so whether it will ever change our political-path long-term, I don't know. But both the Republicans and the Tories saw an opportunity to get the masses from the poorer, more ignored, traditionally-working class parts of the country on their side, saw disillusionment about their traditional left-wing leaders, whether Clinton or Corbyn, and pounced. They've presented tough, take-no-shit leadership and won elections with their support.
We can thank coronavirus for taking the wind out of their sails. In a crisis you need national unity government. In America they have barely attempted it, the cracks are showing and no, I don't think Trump can win in November, not with the economy the way it is. The economy was the only reason he could have been re-elected - he's not liked by the suburbs and his victory in 2016 was driven as much by dislike of Clinton as support for him. Joe Biden, for all his flaws, is an everyman kind of guy. He's acceptable.
As for the UK, Johnson made a good stab at the unity thing, and it was working well enough til fairly recently, but now shattered by the Cummings thing. I don't know whether a full-on Trump style leadership will work here, for one thing I imagine its impossible to turn the media into 'fake news', the BBC are too well respected and the media will on the most part defend their own ahead of the government.
But interesting times, as ever
I think about this a lot, its interesting. Its something to do with politics being tribal, so similar to football, red versus blue, where winning is the most important thing and it doesn't matter whether you play dirty, foul, cheat the ref, its just the winning that matters and you will defend your side regardless.
All of us are guilty of this to some degree - in a way we have to be because so few people, let alone politicians, are perfect non-hypocritical beings. We hoped Trump or Kavanaugh or Roy Moore would be brought down by revelations of sexual misconduct, but merely wince and then carry on when Biden is tarred with the same brush. Because what else can we do, only Biden can beat Trump now. Bigger picture stuff.
Now of course none of this is new, politics has always been tribal, people have always voted what their family or class or town have voted for generations, its instilled in people. But I think the advent of social media has made us more involved, far more people have influence (or feel they have influence these days). It also opens us up to more people on the other side to have an argument with, like on NSC, back in the 80's and 90's your social grouping tended to be of similar minds, the only people I would argue politics with was my family. Now there are hundreds of people to play this game with, thousands and thousands if you want to be active on Twitter. In America there are whole TV channels devoted to backing their side, in the UK we have newspapers doing that job.
And the more that people belligerently defend their side, the more you are likely to stick your heels in on your side, just driving the divide further apart.
What Trump did brilliantly, that I have never seen before from a top level politician but which is clearly the playbook of the moment, is refuse to apologise. Ever. He just doubled-down, deflected, ignored it, claimed the allegations were lies or smears, blamed the other side and the media - and always, always, presented himself as a tough, strong, in-control man who took no shit. And in a tribal world, that's what we look for in a leader - someone to lead our side, and, perhaps even more importantly, beat the other side. The most revered Brighton managers and players are the ones who talk sh*t about Palace, the ones who become hated by Palace.
The more the enemy hates them, the more we love them. And if they beat the enemy, we love them even more. But if they show weakness, then they lose stature as a leader.
So the masses don't want a leader to unite the people, they want one to beat the other side. Its not a universal, of course, many people in the middle are horrified and want sensible government, and sometimes we get it. Popular opinion was that it was the middle who decided elections. Recent evidence seems to counter that, that if you get a rabid, engaged base you will win on turnout alone without changing anyone's mind. Landslides used to happen when one side was obviously much better than the other, but all elections seem to be close these days. And slogans and campaigns seem different now, everyone campaigns on being the Change candidate, the Outsider candidate, taking down the Political Elite. It used to be about competence and ability and policies.
Both sides do this, so whether it will ever change our political-path long-term, I don't know. But both the Republicans and the Tories saw an opportunity to get the masses from the poorer, more ignored, traditionally-working class parts of the country on their side, saw disillusionment about their traditional left-wing leaders, whether Clinton or Corbyn, and pounced. They've presented tough, take-no-shit leadership and won elections with their support.
We can thank coronavirus for taking the wind out of their sails. In a crisis you need national unity government. In America they have barely attempted it, the cracks are showing and no, I don't think Trump can win in November, not with the economy the way it is. The economy was the only reason he could have been re-elected - he's not liked by the suburbs and his victory in 2016 was driven as much by dislike of Clinton as support for him. Joe Biden, for all his flaws, is an everyman kind of guy. He's acceptable.
As for the UK, Johnson made a good stab at the unity thing, and it was working well enough til fairly recently, but now shattered by the Cummings thing. I don't know whether a full-on Trump style leadership will work here, for one thing I imagine its impossible to turn the media into 'fake news', the BBC are too well respected and the media will on the most part defend their own ahead of the government.
But interesting times, as ever
Excellent post.
One of the biggest arguments my late father and I had was about Thatcher. Although he was no Tory but not as left wing as myself ( few are), he maintained she was a good PM because she was strong and confident, even if he didn’t agree with most of her policies. I took the view she was the worst PM of modern times, until recently, as her policies were the antithesis of everything I abhorred. My point was that Stalin was strong and confident, but, an absolute disaster for the Russian people, his was that every good politician needs to have a little bit of the psychopath about them.
If I could have this discussion again with him,(I wish) the phrase style over substance would no doubt be used by both of us.
Absolutely. And you have to remember you have to be pretty damned bright to get into Oxford in the first place - the Oxbridge universities are very picky about their intake.
Excellent post.
One of the biggest arguments my late father and I had was about Thatcher. Although he was no Tory but not as left wing as myself ( few are), he maintained she was a good PM because she was strong and confident, even if he didn’t agree with most of her policies. I took the view she was the worst PM of modern times, until recently, as her policies were the antithesis of everything I abhorred. My point was that Stalin was strong and confident, but, an absolute disaster for the Russian people, his was that every good politician needs to have a little bit of the psychopath about them.
If I could have this discussion again with him,(I wish) the phrase style over substance would no doubt be used by both of us.
Very high. Johnson did classics and it's a bloody difficult subject.Rob Andrew is another example of someone, who got into Oxbridge without glowing academic references.
Study and learning are good like skills in general and no one is stupid who invests their time in such activities. There is also a dynamic tension between getting a degree to further your career and studying something for which you have a passion. Oxbridge is a recognised gold standard. Where Classics sits on the gold standard spectrum between the luge and 100 metres sprint, I will leave you to make your own mind up. I would be more likely to be deferential to someone who had studied in a truly Internationally competitive field like Mathematics, Science or Engineering, where the colleges stake their reputation, rather than in the polo events of Classics and Land Economics.
I think about this a lot, its interesting. Its something to do with politics being tribal, so similar to football, red versus blue, where winning is the most important thing and it doesn't matter whether you play dirty, foul, cheat the ref, its just the winning that matters and you will defend your side regardless.
All of us are guilty of this to some degree - in a way we have to be because so few people, let alone politicians, are perfect non-hypocritical beings. We hoped Trump or Kavanaugh or Roy Moore would be brought down by revelations of sexual misconduct, but merely wince and then carry on when Biden is tarred with the same brush. Because what else can we do, only Biden can beat Trump now. Bigger picture stuff.
Now of course none of this is new, politics has always been tribal, people have always voted what their family or class or town have voted for generations, its instilled in people. But I think the advent of social media has made us more involved, far more people have influence (or feel they have influence these days). It also opens us up to more people on the other side to have an argument with, like on NSC, back in the 80's and 90's your social grouping tended to be of similar minds, the only people I would argue politics with was my family. Now there are hundreds of people to play this game with, thousands and thousands if you want to be active on Twitter. In America there are whole TV channels devoted to backing their side, in the UK we have newspapers doing that job.
And the more that people belligerently defend their side, the more you are likely to stick your heels in on your side, just driving the divide further apart.
What Trump did brilliantly, that I have never seen before from a top level politician but which is clearly the playbook of the moment, is refuse to apologise. Ever. He just doubled-down, deflected, ignored it, claimed the allegations were lies or smears, blamed the other side and the media - and always, always, presented himself as a tough, strong, in-control man who took no shit. And in a tribal world, that's what we look for in a leader - someone to lead our side, and, perhaps even more importantly, beat the other side. The most revered Brighton managers and players are the ones who talk sh*t about Palace, the ones who become hated by Palace.
The more the enemy hates them, the more we love them. And if they beat the enemy, we love them even more. But if they show weakness, then they lose stature as a leader.
So the masses don't want a leader to unite the people, they want one to beat the other side. Its not a universal, of course, many people in the middle are horrified and want sensible government, and sometimes we get it. Popular opinion was that it was the middle who decided elections. Recent evidence seems to counter that, that if you get a rabid, engaged base you will win on turnout alone without changing anyone's mind. Landslides used to happen when one side was obviously much better than the other, but all elections seem to be close these days. And slogans and campaigns seem different now, everyone campaigns on being the Change candidate, the Outsider candidate, taking down the Political Elite. It used to be about competence and ability and policies.
Both sides do this, so whether it will ever change our political-path long-term, I don't know. But both the Republicans and the Tories saw an opportunity to get the masses from the poorer, more ignored, traditionally-working class parts of the country on their side, saw disillusionment about their traditional left-wing leaders, whether Clinton or Corbyn, and pounced. They've presented tough, take-no-shit leadership and won elections with their support.
We can thank coronavirus for taking the wind out of their sails. In a crisis you need national unity government. In America they have barely attempted it, the cracks are showing and no, I don't think Trump can win in November, not with the economy the way it is. The economy was the only reason he could have been re-elected - he's not liked by the suburbs and his victory in 2016 was driven as much by dislike of Clinton as support for him. Joe Biden, for all his flaws, is an everyman kind of guy. He's acceptable.
As for the UK, Johnson made a good stab at the unity thing, and it was working well enough til fairly recently, but now shattered by the Cummings thing. I don't know whether a full-on Trump style leadership will work here, for one thing I imagine its impossible to turn the media into 'fake news', the BBC are too well respected and the media will on the most part defend their own ahead of the government.
But interesting times, as ever
The offshore media Baron's would love to get Ofcom torn up and broadcast media opened up into a CNN v Fox free for all. With this lot in charge they might try and do it, imagine a 24/7 Guido Faulkes News channel dedicated to Johnson and his cronies...
Isn't that a circular reference?Very high. Johnson did classics and it's a bloody difficult subject.
Is there actually a law against that? And considering I can get lots of international news channels through the various digital TV packages, perhaps its just a matter of time?
Have to say I did use to enjoy watching Fox News for the comedy value, especially in the days of O'Reilly followed by Hannity followed by Beck
Possibly. He was on an educational conveyor belt designed for his background. A 2:1 from Oxford is an achievement for sure. We will never know what he would achieved from another background. I have met many very bright people over the years who have not done a lot academically. Who knows.
Absolutely. And you have to remember you have to be pretty damned bright to get into Oxford in the first place - the Oxbridge universities are very picky about their intake.
True - but that's largely because they'll be picking the ones with the highest results/academic performance.....oh, and by the way, three years ago, Cambridge undergraduate intake contained more black students than pupils from Eton.Totally agree. Oxbridge are very picky with their intake.
They don't generally pick those who have been State educated and/or are of BAME heritage.
True - but that's largely because they'll be picking the ones with the highest results/academic performance.....oh, and by the way, three years ago, Cambridge undergraduate intake contained more black students than pupils from Eton.
The way Hancock just cut off Peston was full on Trump. He gets 25 seconds, no eye contact and cut off before a follow up. Jed Eskimo from the Cumbrian Pig Farmers Weekly gets 5 minutes. We cannot stand for this slide into Trump politics.