Relegation run-in predictions

[um bongo molongo]

Last year 44 points stayed up (albeit on GD). Year before Peterborough went down with 54 points

If we don't get another point, if we do stay up it could get hairy...

 

[Pickles]

Wigan are something of an enigma. I think they are capable of winning the next 3 but wouldn't be surprised if they lost all 3.

48 points will definitely do us and surely we're good enough for that?

I genuinely think that the only reason we are not going down this season is because there are at least 3 that are worse.

We are pitiful.

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

I want to see :

Friday 10th April
Albion beat Bournemouth
Fulham beat Wigan
Wigan can't catch us.

Saturday 11th April
Watford beat Millwall

Tuesday 14th April
Albion beat Huddersfield
Millwall fail to beat Wigan
Millwall can't catch us

Albion on the beach and playing the dev squad prospects, out of contracts and loanees that we may keep

 

[jimbob5]

last 2 results are a gentle reminder that we are still a bit rubbish compared with the rest of the league. Reasonably happy we'll be OK; it's not as if we're getting dubbed like some other teams are, Not that happy though. Not THAT happy.

 

[nicko31]

A win against Hudds and a point at Wigan should do it, surely capable of that.

 

[Brighton TID]

Not forgetting we have a massively superior goal difference which realistically gives us an extra point.
Just hope B'muff don't try and go to town on us

 

[Tony Le Mesmer]

It has happened before that a team has had a winning run of the last 3-4 games to avoid relegation.

Let's not be the victims of such a run.


Okay... but for us to go down two such teams need to do this...has that ever happened before!?!

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

It has happened before that a team has had a winning run of the last 3-4 games to avoid relegation.

Let's not be the victims of such a run.


Okay... but for us to go down two such teams need to do this...has that ever happened before!?!

For us to finish 3rd from last, only 1 team needs an exceptional run.

 

[Prince Monolulu]

We're not going down, end of. Anyone silly enough to take 40s, good luck. A fool and his money etc

 

[symyjym]

We are unlikely to go down but I don’t see many points coming our way against Bournemouth, Watford or Boro, and Wigan will be fighting for their lives when we play them. The Huddersfield game could just be down to a flip of a coin.

I can see Rotherham and Fulham overtaking us. Wigan play Fulham, Millwall and us. All winnable games for them so all it would take is a lucky streak to put them a point or two behind us before the last game, if we don’t get a couple of more points ourselves, for it to go down to the wire.

Finishing in 21st would be a fair, if not rather fortunate, reflection of this season.

 

[Nathan]

We're not going down, end of. Anyone silly enough to take 40s, good luck. A fool and his money etc

View attachment 64437

I know its short odds but i might just take some of that 1/200 that Blackpool get relegated!

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

Huddersfield is a 'must win' now for us, really.

 

[jimbob5]

Huddersfield is a 'must win' now for us, really.

I don't give a shot what we do. Why should I? The team obviously don't.

 

[nwgull]

Huddersfield is a 'must win' now for us, really.

Probably isn't must win. Although it'd be nice.

 

[Quinney]

Can't see us getting any other points this season. In all sorts of trouble if we lose this one.

 

[Brighton TID]

Apologies if this has already been done, but the below run-ins for Millwall, Wigan and us show that we are all but safe this season.

Millwall: Total predicted points finish 43 (36 + 7)

H: Watford 0
H: Wigan 1
A: Cardiff 3
A: Blackburn 3
H: Derby 0
A: Wolves 0

Wigan: Total predicted points finish 40 (35 + 5)

A: Fulham 0
A: Millwall 1
H: Brighton 3
H: Wolves 1
A: Brentford 0


Brighton Total predicted points finish 48 (45 + 3)

H: B'muff 0
H: Huddersfield 3
A: Wigan 0
H: Watford 0
A: Boro 0

Updated, should be 5 clear at the end:

Millwall: Total predicted points finish 43 (36 + 7)

H: Wigan 1
A: Cardiff 3
A: Blackburn 3
H: Derby 0
A: Wolves 0

Wigan: Total predicted points finish 41 (35 + 6)

A: Millwall 1
H: Brighton 3
H: Wolves 1
A: Brentford 0


Brighton Total predicted points finish 48 (45 + 3)

H: Huddersfield 3
A: Wigan 0
H: Watford 0
A: Boro 0

 

[nicko31]

Updated, should be 5 clear at the end:

Millwall: Total predicted points finish 43 (36 + 7)

H: Wigan 1
A: Cardiff 3
A: Blackburn 3
H: Derby 0
A: Wolves 0

Wigan: Total predicted points finish 41 (35 + 6)

A: Millwall 1
H: Brighton 3
H: Wolves 1
A: Brentford 0


Brighton Total predicted points finish 48 (45 + 3)

H: Huddersfield 3
A: Wigan 0
H: Watford 0
A: Boro 0

I hope you're right

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

Updated, should be 5 clear at the end:

Millwall: Total predicted points finish 43 (36 + 7)

H: Wigan 1
A: Cardiff 3
A: Blackburn 3
H: Derby 0
A: Wolves 0

Wigan: Total predicted points finish 41 (35 + 6)

A: Millwall 1
H: Brighton 3
H: Wolves 1
A: Brentford 0


Brighton Total predicted points finish 48 (45 + 3)

H: Huddersfield 3
A: Wigan 0
H: Watford 0
A: Boro 0

Millwall +2 on that.
Albion -2.

Getting closer.

 

[Machiavelli]

Millwall +2 on that.
Albion -2.

Getting closer.

It isn't. Wigan are effectively down. Millwall have got three away games, and a home game against Derby. They need to get three wins or two wins and two draws to get ahead of us, even if we lose all three. That really is not going to happen (although we lose three might).

 

[BensGrandad]

Millwall away to Cardiff, Blackburn Wolves home to Derby and are 7 Points plus goal difference of 23 so effectively need to win 3 of those games or at least 2 wins 2 draws without us getting another point and I cannot see that happening. We need Fulham and Rotherham to draw tonight unless Rotherham have points deducted. Then for them to wjn is best fir us Keeps Fulham below us also.