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[Albion] Points from next 4 games, Watford, Toon, Chelsea, B'muff
- Thread starter nicko31
- Start date
Seasider78
Well-known member
- Nov 14, 2004
- 6,011
Think we will get 5 but we need 7 I think as January and February are the key months for us and really where we need to get most of our results to protect us from the run in
Bold Seagull
strong and stable with me, or...
I'd take 5.
Would be delighted with 6.
Ecstatic with 7.
Wouldn't be too despondent with 4.
Bit worried with just 3.
Panicking with less than 3.
Would be delighted with 6.
Ecstatic with 7.
Wouldn't be too despondent with 4.
Bit worried with just 3.
Panicking with less than 3.
Trufflehound
Re-enfranchised
Distinct lack of ambition showing there. I think we should be aiming for a minimum of 13 points, possibly more.
Insel affe
HellBilly
12 absolutely unbelievable.
9 would be incredible .
7 might be the achievable.
6 very acceptable.
5 more than capable.
4 the most believable.
3 not suitable.
2 less than desirable.
1 knowing us probable.
0 just laughable..
9 would be incredible .
7 might be the achievable.
6 very acceptable.
5 more than capable.
4 the most believable.
3 not suitable.
2 less than desirable.
1 knowing us probable.
0 just laughable..
D
Deleted member 2719
Guest
Forget Chelsea.
The rest are all 6 pointers so massively important..........
9-7points: We are on our way to safety.
6-4 points: Not great and we are going to sweat all the way to May.
3-1points: Hughton out or we are back in the championship, unless uncle Tony spends BIG in Jan.
The rest are all 6 pointers so massively important..........
9-7points: We are on our way to safety.
6-4 points: Not great and we are going to sweat all the way to May.
3-1points: Hughton out or we are back in the championship, unless uncle Tony spends BIG in Jan.
Machiavelli
Well-known member
Sounds about right to me. We've got six or seven home games left against teams outside the top six; we need to win at least four of those if we're going to stay up unless we can carve out at least two further away wins, which is historically unlikely.
It's 6 left against sides outside top 6 and I think we might need to win 5. That gets us to 33/34 so still need 6/7 from the away games. So we really do need to be looking for 3 at Newcastle or run the risk of simply running out of opportunities
Bold Seagull
strong and stable with me, or...
What about 10 or 8?
Christ many must think we've sighed 3 cracking players lol
I'll go for two home draws "what's new" and two away defeats...
Yeah, I'm predicting:
Watford 1 point
Newcastle 0 points
Chelsea 0 points (a 5-0 drubbing)
Bournemouth 1 point
2 points in total (and starting the New Year third from bottom)
wigman
Well-known member
I think we will get 4 points.
Have they stopped giving 1 point for a draw?
If we win 5 of the 6 home games against non top 6 sides and draw the other that puts us on 34
If we beat Newcastle away that gives us 37
If we assume 40 for complete safety that still leaves us needing to win 1 or draw 3 of the 6 remaining aways against sides outside the top 6
There's a whole lot of 'ifs' there but whichever way you look at it drawing too many more at home against sides outside the top 6 will be our undoing
dejavuatbtn
Well-known member
If we don't get 3 points out of that lot we are in serious trouble. We obviously have no idea of what CH's target is for these games but he must be thinking about a n absolute minimum of 5 points.
SUA Seagull
Well-known member
Agree with this. Looking back over the last 10 seasons, to finish 1 point above 18th place required 37, 35, 31, 40, 37, 37, 34, 36, 38, 35 = an average of 36 points. For this season, if we assume a safety cushion on recent history of a couple of points and hence a safety target of 38 points that means we need another 20 points from 20 games. Our run-in is brutal; Palace (A), Spurs (H), Burnley (A), Man Utd (H), Liverpool (A) – probably 2-3 points max from that lot. So, we probably need 17/18 points from our next 15 games to be safe (or 19/20 points if we assume a 0-1 point return from the run-in), which is above our current rate of 18 points from 18 games. The next four games (5-7 points would be brilliant) and Jan/Feb will be crucial. A good run of results over Xmas should ease our nerves! As always with the Albion, it’ll probably go down to the last game of the season – we wouldn’t have it any other way! All-in-all, we’re doing well versus pre-season expectations and if we can have a good Xmas/New Year run that will represent a huge step towards staying up come May.
Only Liverpool away then .... hopefully we just need to protect a superior GD of 10+
Bold Seagull
strong and stable with me, or...
There are 20 games left. If we win 4 more games, it is likely 8 draws will be enough. A draw at Newcastle would be a great result in our position, especially away from home against a team below us.
