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Oldham West by election: Result Special...



Don Quixote

Well-known member
Nov 4, 2008
8,362
I'd like to offer a massive congratulations to everyone associated with the Labour Party on this most stunning of victories that, I'm sure, completely makes up for the utter shoeing they took at the last General Election.

Does that make the score Tories 1 - 1 Loonies for 2015?


Hardly a shoeing. A lucky win if you ask me.
 




DavidinSouthampton

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jan 3, 2012
17,354
so its a great result because people have talked up one party who didn't deliver? what were the predictions based on, accurate polling or bookies odds? must be part of the new politics.

I am not saying it is a great result. I would agree with a couple of posters above who comment that it is an unremarkable result

But some people might have been expecting UKIP to sweep all before them, and some (including me) might have expected the Labour vote to be affected by their leader situation. It was a smaller turnout than the General election, so they lost votes, but they comfortably increased their share of the vote. Anyone who tries to take any of those three (or some other) statistics in isolation is not "fighting fair".
 


Nibble

New member
Jan 3, 2007
19,238
I think you're clutching at straws to state that the public don't support them anymore, but you're welcome to start a thread fantasising about a labour win at the next election. It worked out well last time.

I don't support labour.
 


glasfryn

cleaning up cat sick
Nov 29, 2005
20,261
somewhere in Eastbourne
I'd like to offer a massive congratulations to everyone associated with the Labour Party on this most stunning of victories that, I'm sure, completely makes up for the utter shoeing they took at the last General Election.

Does that make the score Tories 1 - 1 Loonies for 2015?

I think you must be a little confused they are one and the same surely
 


Nibble

New member
Jan 3, 2007
19,238
While I don't think Labour supporters should dance a jig just yet, it is good to shake the confidence of the Tories and good to see Uslip a little closer to inevitable ruin. No money, no power, no hope and with a referendum just round the corner no agenda left.
 




Danny-Boy

Banned
Apr 21, 2009
5,579
The Coast
Now you sound like Farage. I'm no fan of labour, but a vote is a vote, implying postal votes are somehow inferior positively reeks of sour grapes.

I'm beginning to believe Farage is a "busted flush" who HAD the mantle of "Mr Integrity" which has now been assumed by Jezza. In other words "I mean what I say, and say what I mean".

Farage's huge mistake (in my view) was not taking the chance to get into Parliament that he had on a plate at the Eastleigh by-election in 2013, when Chris Huhne was forced to resign as an MP. That was just won by the LD's over UKIP by less than 1.800. But if Farage had stood in place of Diane James (he had already contested Eastleigh back in 1994 after the death of Stephen Milligan), I feel he could have won it. In 2015 both the LD and UKIP votes collapsed, and the Tories got back in.
 


Pavilionaire

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
31,265
By-elections have much lower turn outs, especially in winter when it's tougher to get people out to vote in the dark. Not sure how it compares to similar scenarios though.

I appreciate that, but come on! A 14 hour window to vote for the person who will represent you for the next 4 1/2 years and 60% of people can't be bothered? How about doing it just out of respect for the democratic process, if nothing else?
 


Nibble

New member
Jan 3, 2007
19,238
The labour party has form for abusing the postal vote system. Members have been jailed for doing so in previous elections.

Actually, you are quite right. Maybe I shouldn't have been too quick to dismiss it as sour grapes. Fair point.
 




D

Deleted member 22389

Guest




Jan 30, 2008
31,981
I wonder how many of thec ethnic minority voted UKIP, Oldham part of the industrial revolution now partly resemble a shanty town
regards
DR
 






KingKev

Well-known member
Jun 16, 2011
867
Hove (actually)
I appreciate that, but come on! A 14 hour window to vote for the person who will represent you for the next 4 1/2 years and 60% of people can't be bothered? How about doing it just out of respect for the democratic process, if nothing else?

Hey Nick. I sort of agree in principle, but in the real world you and I know that a very very large proportion of the electorate wouldn't even have twigged the election was going on and a similar amount would not have cared. There's a myriad of reasons why turnout at GE is much larger than BEs, but chief among them is it doesn't matter....you're not voting for the next government as long as the current one has a majority of More than 2. So unless there's a specific single cause that local people want to register a concern about then very few people other than politicians and the media will care - even then turnout is only likely to get up to GE levels if it is the current gov't that is defending the seat and they are particularly disliked or have just done something iffy.
 


Danny-Boy

Banned
Apr 21, 2009
5,579
The Coast
I also think the weakness of UKIP was demonstrated in May in the Lewes vote. Ray Finch (avowedly Farage's right hand-man) stated that he was prepared to be an MP even though he (like Farage) is on the MEP gravy-train. His literature said so.

But I spoke to him after a hustings just before the election and he gave me the impression he wasn't that bothered. He only got about 5,000 votes and never threatened to divide the Tory vote, as the LD's in Lewes hoped he would.
 






Nibble

New member
Jan 3, 2007
19,238




topbanana36

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2007
1,758
New Zealand
So, let me get this straight - Nigel Farage is complaining that Asian families have voted labour, as opposed to a party (UKIP) which seeks to demonise / exclude / deport those self same people?

Qu'elle Surprise.

When has UKIP ever ever ever said they will deport Asian families. Show me in the UKIP manifesto their main principles. Not what you or the BBC think they are.
 






alfredmizen

Banned
Mar 11, 2015
6,342
When has UKIP ever ever ever said they will deport Asian families. Show me in the UKIP manifesto their main principles. Not what you or the BBC think they are.

Spot on, a typically hysterical post from the left.
 


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