NSC Ballot Box-European Elections-Thursday 22nd May 2014

[Footsoldier]

Good to see a nice non biased poll for a change.

 

[Czechmate]

I haven't voted for years and I will make the very best effort to go to the polling station this time as I am back in the UK !

Oh yeh forgot to mention mine is at the local pub

 

[Frampler]

I'll be voting Green. I wouldn't bother in a Parliamentary election (Greens will never win in Eastbourne) but since the European elections are done on a Proportional Representation basis, there's no such thing as a wasted voted.

 

[DavidinSouthampton]

We currently have 10 in the South-East, which the boundary stretches from Oxford, to Hampshire, to East Sussex. Farage is one of them. If I didn't have an exam coming up on politics, I would have no clue about it either.

You seem to have left out Kent.....

 

[thisistips]

I can't vote until next year, but I'd probably vote for the Greens.

Nifty election video too.

that's a great vid, I want to be a Green MEP

 

[Ali_rrr]

You seem to have left out Kent.....

Didn't mean to do so, however it was just an example showing how big the boundaries are.

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

Interesting if the results of this poll reflect the national picture come Friday morning. In fact, complete carnage among the established parties and the sound of draft manifestos for next year's General Election being ripped up.

I reckon the Green vote is overstated on here in terms of the national picture but UKIP look to be on the verge of an historic result.

The Greens are on track to secure 4th place ahead of the LibDems who face the nightmare of having zero MEPs come Friday.

 

[Footsoldier]

The Greens are on track to secure 4th place ahead of the LibDems who face the nightmare of having zero MEPs come Friday.

Nick Clegg

 

[Don Quixote]

I will see how the moment takes me tomorrow.

 

[Colossal Squid]

I can't wait to see how representative this is of the actual result in the south.

Most opinion polls suggest UKIP will perform best, followed by Labour, then the Tories, then the Greens and the Lib Dems will be lucky to keep any seats.

This NSC poll suggests a slightly different order, with the Greens outperforming the Tories, which makes sense given Brighton's traditional Green support.

I think the Tories are going to suffer the most as so much of their core voting demographic switches to UKIP, whilst it's the Greens who most profit from the country's increased disillusionment with the Lib Dems.

But only time will tell for sure!

 

[spring hall convert]

More than anything, this is pant wettingly scary for Labour. They look like they'll poll 25-30% in a late term election after being in opposition to one of the most unpopular governments in recent times. They should be out of sight at the moment.

Topics for debate:

Where has the traditional Lib Dem vote defected to? It can't be Labour judging by their polling.
How much of the UKIP vote has come from Labour rather than the Tories?

 

[Colossal Squid]

Where has the traditional Lib Dem vote defected to? It can't be Labour judging by their polling.

Green, by all accounts. In fact some estimates have them in line to triple their MEP count. It makes sense given that the parties share a lot of common policy. I think there's a very real possibility that the Green Party could ultimately overtake the Lib Dems as the UK's third party.

It very much depends on how soon the yellows get rid of Clegg, which presumably won't be until after the next general election when the party's share of seats is absolutely decimated by disgruntled former Lib Dems who'll punish the party for Clegg's jumping into bed with the Tories and outright lying to the electorate.

 

[Biscuit]

I'll be voting Labour. Sad to see UKIP way up ahead in this poll, hopefully the 'big three' don't split the vote too much,

 

[fataddick]

There's only really one seat up for grabs in the South East if the opinion polls are anything like accurate.

UKIP will get 3
Tories will get 3
Labour will get 2
Greens will get 1

The remaining one will either go UKIP (most likely), Tory or Lib Dem.

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

More than anything, this is pant wettingly scary for Labour. They look like they'll poll 25-30% in a late term election after being in opposition to one of the most unpopular governments in recent times. They should be out of sight at the moment.

Topics for debate:

Where has the traditional Lib Dem vote defected to? It can't be Labour judging by their polling.
How much of the UKIP vote has come from Labour rather than the Tories?

Labour will see most of the defections to UKIP in their northern heartlands , elsewhere it could be 1 in 10. The bad news for the Conservatives is the prospect of 1 in 4 traditional Tory voters switching to UKIP today.