D
I can't agree that there will be few petrol cars in 2030. That is only 13 years away and I reckon there will be plenty of diesel and petrol cars still on the roads of the UK.
It is one hell of a leap to change from making a few electric cars to mass producing them at a price that the general public will be able to afford. Additionally, a huge change in infrastructure is required to enable recharging.I am no electrical engineer, but I venture to say that there will have to certain changes made to the electricity grid all over the country. How far off are we from batteries that will be able to cover a reasonable distance? As one Sky presenter said today, her smart phone battery won't last a circuit of the M25, let alone a car.
As far as air travel is concerned, let technology lead the way. Woebetide any Government who puts the mockers on global travel! The same can be said of the cruise liners, they belch out vast amounts of pollution, but are very popular. Any restrictions on the populace's ability to travel freely and as they wish will go down like a lead balloon. Lots of work to be done and I doubt we are as close to electric utopia as some would imagine.
Most manufacturers are already planning to move to electric models anyway - Volvo is to stop making petrol/diesel cars in 2019 and you can bet others will follow. IMHO, there'll be few petrol cars in the UK by 2030 - or 2035 at the latest.
And we'll also have begun the move to self-driving models by then, car ownership will be way down.
The thing that baffles me is that there's this worldwide call to reduce air pollution by reducing carbon emissions yet, at the same time, there's a scramble to build more airports to support increased air traffic - increasing carbon emissions. That doesn't compute.
Is it one of those crazy modified vans with air brushed art and silly body work?
The Tesla Model S can do up to 409 miles per charge, but is very expensive. The cheaper Model 3 will do over 200 miles per charge. The technology might not be here to completely replace the combustion engine just yet, but in it 5 years it will.
Two things spring to mind ..
does making electricity on the scale it will be needed not generate pollution?
and when all these cars are plugged into chargers in terraced street, who will be liable for being sued by people who happen to trip over the cables?
quick let's start a new business in readiness - cable trip lawyers 4U
If you live in a block of flats, will the cables dangle out of the windows?
Thats good it wont affect me. If I am still about, doubtful, I wont be driving or buying a new car.
The grid wouldn't handle millions of cars all plugged in of an evening
No new petrol/diesel cars from 2040, but how long will it take to work through the car parc, 20 years? for older vehicles to be scrapped.
Also unless the development of batteries has reach the stage where the range is up to 400 miles with all the usual electrics inside the car working, and a recharge takes no more than 15 minutes then the take up will still be below projections. This is assuming that the economy of scale has kicked in and the cost of new electrics is lower in comparison than now.
The life of the battery also needs to be resolved, as well as the position of the battery as to whether it is sold as part of the vehicle or leased from the manufacturer.
Also how far will the technology of self drive vehicles have advanced by 2040, as those on this thread who are already looking forward to their 80th birthdays, may still be fully mobile in a self drive vehicle.
Still 0-60 in 500 volts has a new ring as a dealers selling point.
The ambition is good but the practicalities for infrastructure are just mind-boggling.
Will there be charging posts outside every house with one-street parking? Will there be charging posts for every multi-story car parking space? At every railway station car park? At every supermarket and every place of work and along every high street? The work just to put these in, and the associated cabling will take 20 years plus.
.
Actually the technology is moving on at an incredible pace and by 2040 this won't be an issue. Houses will be fitted with battery technology that enables them to store energy during off-peak periods or from local renewable sources such as solar and wind and use it during peak periods. In fact there is a lot of work going on to find out if electric cars can actually help deal with peak demand, the car would be plugged in to the supply and then the house would access some power from the car battery during peak periods such as early evening and then recharge the car when demand dropped.
As it stands most people who have electric cars use the charging timers to ensure that they benefit from off peak energy prices, very few owners will plug in during peak periods.
In reality by the time this comes in we could well have a position where there are underground charging stations. The cars will pretty much all be driving themselves by then anyway so you call up your car, siri or Alexa an do this no doubt, it'll drive round from its charging garage, pick you up, drop you off where you want to go then it can go find itself someone to park or go back home and wait for you to call it back again. I don't see getting it charged as an issue.
The problem I see is that wrapped up in this announcement was also the fact that the Government is going to allow councils to combat air pollution but bringing in more congestion charges. So take our wonderful city council. They create horrendous congestion with their awful road system which we paid for, they then charge us for sitting in said congestion, and then charge us extortionate prices to park when we get there. And we just know how much Brighton loves the motorist! They must literally be there with a spread sheet now working out how much cash they are going to rake in from this.
People who say that car batteries don't hold charge long enough should just cast their minds back to how mobile phones have changed since the late 80s. If battery technology can advance so quickly for phones, they can advance quickly for cars.