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[News] Middle East conflict



A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,521
Deepest, darkest Sussex
What happened this month in Israel I do not condone in any way but after 7 decades of repression can we really be that surprised? When there is extreme poverty and no hope bad things happen. We see it all over the world, if it was in an African country few would be interested
Arguably it’s the exact same thought process which led to the spate of coups in sub-Saharan Africa back earlier in the summer. But whereas those people were attacking the Governments they held responsible, in Palestine they are attacking the people they regard as their oppressors (Israel).
 




LamieRobertson

Not awoke
Feb 3, 2008
48,398
SHOREHAM BY SEA
Israel is after Hamas
Gaza has more than one group of fundamentalists jihadists operating or with influence- the PIJ being the main potential successor
Hamas being ‘destroyed’ leaves a power vacuum and a western friendly government like the PA in the West Bank wont wash with fundamentalists (that was the reason for the split by Hamas in the first place from the PA) - more cause for radicalisation
You may destroy Hamas but you will never destroy radical fundamentalists Islamist ideolgy

If you bomb an entire population into submission after forcing them to live for nearly 60 years in what is effectively an open prison under severe hardship, on land gained by illegal occupation …… then tell them they no longer have any right to land upon which one of the most important mosques in Islam is built and that they need to go live in the desert - 🤷‍♂️
(Egypt has her share of Jhadist fundamentalists too - not least those that spring up from the Muslim Brotherhood)

You forgot to include under an oppressive regime?
 




Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,905
They are a key part of the problem but not the only problem ...

The IDF represents the population not just Nethanyahu e.g. recent demonstrations by reservists about law changes he is bringing in BUT when its called to war as it has been the IDF will act in unity and unfortunately the murder of 1400 Israelis and the defiling of the bodies , especially the women, will bind them together as it has also made many Jews wanting military action who previously would have been against it.
Yes - absolutely and posted as much earlier in the thread - but he was/is even more now unpopular now because of his security fcuk up, Natanyahu may be mortally wounded politically that’s why he ‘weaponised grief’ so quickly in the first few hours of the attack - a sick animal is more dangerous than a healthy one.

Before Hamas attacked Netanyahu was and is a failing President and could not not even get his Opposition leader to form an emergency wartime cabinet - The Country, the Government and the internal politics are in disarray. The only thing that was propping up Netanyah’s leadership was his deal to form a coalition with the extreme Religious Zionists but they may, in the light of Hamas attack, drag the centrists to the right and the far right to an even more extreme position. Israel was in political paralysis and had been for years (where the US is heading I think) deeply divided with pro-far right Netanyahu supporters on the right and pro- democracy supporters on the left. Hamas may have dealt a death blow not just to 1,300 Israeli citizens (actually the worst attack on Jews since the Holocaust) but also to the pro-democratic movement in Israel for a generation to come.
 
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Hugo Rune

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Feb 23, 2012
23,659
Brighton
A very moving plea from a grieving Israeli mother on Newsnight tonight. She had just found out she lost her 20 year old boy at the music festival.

She begs for an end to ALL the killing. She begs for no war, no vengeance in her name. She was visibly in pain but had the courage to see that the only answer is peace. It’s exactly what Hamas don’t want.
 




Krafty

Well-known member
Apr 19, 2023
2,065
According to the BBC, the first video of a hostage held in Gaza has been released to the public by Hamas. It shows Maya Shem (21 years old from Shoham, Israel) having treatment for an arm injury through medical surgery before pleading for her release after she was taken hostage by Hamas at a party.

In her concluding sentence, she says that "everything is okay" but we know that this isn't the case. Maya is one of an estimated 250 hostages in Gaza, and an example of propaganda used by Hamas as they will only release these innocent civilians "when the conditions are ripe".
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,238
Withdean area
They are already involved surely? ……it’s suggested they MAY get further involved but through Hezbollah with the possibility of opening a new front

They supply rockets and drones, they’ve been involved for decades. Some interesting articles as to the real reason why, when they normally war against and oppress Sunni’s. Felt that it was/is to try to alter their outcast role against most of the rest of the Arab world.
 






Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,905
They supply rockets and drones, they’ve been involved for decades. Some interesting articles as to the real reason why, when they normally war against and oppress Sunni’s. Felt that it was/is to try to alter their outcast role against most of the rest of the Arab world.
That’s a great part of what’s going on here I think - Iran’s position in the Arab world may be a key influence on the trajectory of the Israeli-Hamas conflict along with the US’s non-nuclear proliferation stance with Iran mentioned above - I posted quite a few articles on all this up thread some days ago - (one of which posted again below) Iran and Saudi Arabia signed a normalisation deal with each other in March so geo-politics has moved on from Iran being an isolated player - Saudia Arabia has been in normalisation talks with Israel though under the auspices of Biden’s administration in exchange for nuclear power and improved security - but that threatens Iran’s relationship with Saudia Arabia - clearly Iran won’t recognise the State of Israel so any Arab-Israel normalisation would leave Iran isolated again

Some observers have suggested Islamic Jihadists prompted the war with Israel for that very reason - (rather than any concern for the Palestinian people) and I think that has weight - that’s not to detract from the very real Palestinian cause but puppets are puppets for a reason …and their strings can be pulled to dance to any tune …

 
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Titanic

Super Moderator
Helpful Moderator
Jul 5, 2003
39,906
West Sussex
  • US President Joe Biden will visit Israel on Wednesday. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Biden's visit comes at a critical moment for Israel, the region and the entire world
  • Blinken also said the US had secured assurances from Israel about allowing humanitarian aid into Gaza, but did not give details of when and how. Diplomatic talks about the possibility of reopening the Rafah crossing between Egypt and Gaza are still ongoing

    Top US General Michael Kurilla is also in Israel on an unannounced trip. He heads the military's central command and oversees American forces in the Middle East
 


dwayne

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
16,261
London
  • US President Joe Biden will visit Israel on Wednesday. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Biden's visit comes at a critical moment for Israel, the region and the entire world
  • Blinken also said the US had secured assurances from Israel about allowing humanitarian aid into Gaza, but did not give details of when and how. Diplomatic talks about the possibility of reopening the Rafah crossing between Egypt and Gaza are still ongoing

    Top US General Michael Kurilla is also in Israel on an unannounced trip. He heads the military's central command and oversees American forces in the Middle East
Good that some sense seems to be prevailing. Mildly annoying that it's being driven by the yanks.
 








Zeberdi

“Vorsprung durch Technik”
NSC Patron
Oct 20, 2022
6,905
Good that some sense seems to be prevailing. Mildly annoying that it's being driven by the yanks.
Hope you are right but I can’t see much in there either way at the moment- Israel has been promising for days to allow aid in, but there’s no way for it to get in with the border closed - the US has been involved from the beginning with supplying Special Forces and military hardware - also trying to negotiate hostage release and get their citizens out but are also very partial to Israel. You may not like the Yanks but I think they are the only Country who can work with Jordan and Saudia Arabia to de-escalate relations with Iran
 






dwayne

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
16,261
London
Hope you are right but I can’t see much in there either way at the moment- Israel has been promising for days to allow aid in, but there’s no way for it to get in with the border closed - the US has been involved from the beginning with supplying Special Forces and military hardware - also trying to negotiate hostage release and get their citizens out but are also very partial to Israel. You may not like the Yanks but I think they are the only Country who can work with Jordan and Saudia Arabia to de-escalate relations with Iran
Agree ... Especially with the last sentence.
 




Bakero

Languidly clinical
Oct 9, 2010
14,883
Almería
They supply rockets and drones, they’ve been involved for decades. Some interesting articles as to the real reason why, when they normally war against and oppress Sunni’s. Felt that it was/is to try to alter their outcast role against most of the rest of the Arab world.

Since the revolution in 79, Iran have positioned themselves as the true defenders of the Palestinians.

It boosts their credentials as an anti-imperialist force whilst undermining the Saudis regional hegemony.

Palestine turned to them after the Shah was deposed as they needed a backer following the softening of relations between Israel and Egypt. Prior to that Nasser had been the champion of Palestinian rights.

The relationship hasn't always been smooth due to the Sunni/Shia schism and the fact that initially the Islamic revolutionaries of Iran weren't fully aligned with the secular nationalism of the Palestinians. The increasing Islamisation of the Palestinian cause has helped smooth this though the religious split continues to throw up problems (see Syria).

Added to this we have Netanyahu's policies which have strengthened the islamists of Hamas as a means to weaken the Palestinian Authority, creating a rift between Gaza and the West Bank.


Edited to fix typo
 
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nicko31

Well-known member
Jan 7, 2010
18,570
Gods country fortnightly
Good that some sense seems to be prevailing. Mildly annoying that it's being driven by the yanks.
Thank f**k its not Trump in charge at a time like this. Very tricky situation....
 




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