Main Coronavirus / Covid-19 Discussion Thread

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Napper

Well-known member
Jul 9, 2003
24,455
Sussex
Resigned to believing it'll be more like July / August.

I don't think it'll be a "right, panic over, everyone as you were". They'll take some sort of staggered approach like, people who have had it and survived can go out and certain businesses can reopen before others. Do that for a bit and then, if a second wave doesn't hit, release the next bunch of people. If they do it that way reckon it'll be the oldest and the 1.5m most at risk who'll be in lockdown the longest.

I dunno, could be wrong.

depends on the "certain" business guidelines. Most are itching to get back so I suspect loads will and have their own measures that will be advised need to be met by Gov.

I know of 3 businesses that are pretty much ready to go at end of the lockdown and have started unfurloughing staff already.

Can see a situation where thousands of us trot off to work but socially is still very much locked down. Even more miserable than it currently is lol
 








Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,325
Withdean area
depends on the "certain" business guidelines. Most are itching to get back so I suspect loads will and have their own measures that will be advised need to be met by Gov.

I know of 3 businesses that are pretty much ready to go at end of the lockdown and have started unfurloughing staff already.

Can see a situation where thousands of us trot off to work but socially is still very much locked down. Even more miserable than it currently is lol

I know people who’ve gone back to work already, in infrastructure, construction and building projects. Both for big businesses, and owner-managed, where the owners want to get the show back on the road. Explains the far greater number of vans on the road.
 


Notters

Well-known member
Oct 20, 2003
24,895
Guiseley
Which would also p off most of the country. People will very soon be chomping at the bit to visit shops, coffee shops and garden centres, go to the gym, perhaps restart businesses, look to holiday.

Does it get any less essential than the gym (I would say that as I don't go to the gym).
 






CHAPPERS

DISCO SPENG
Jul 5, 2003
45,097
I know people who’ve gone back to work already, in infrastructure, construction and building projects. Both for big businesses, and owner-managed, where the owners want to get the show back on the road. Explains the far greater number of vans on the road.

Didn’t the advice get updated last week to say people could drive to a walk, as long as that drive was not longer than the walk, or something?
 








Mellotron

I've asked for soup
Jul 2, 2008
32,479
Brighton
I would expect that as more information becomes available on random testing over the next few days or weeks, these various reports on the numbers who have already had Covid should stop swinging wildly from one extreme to the other and start to centralise on a consistent set of figures. (Hopefully at the higher end).

Yeah, still quite a small number isn't it. If 4-7% getting infected means our hospitals are completely at capacity, imagine what 40-70% infection rate would have looked like.

So if we can somehow balance this out with 5% infected every month, running our hospitals close to capacity but not over, it will take 16 months of some kind of social distancing-measures to get us to the magic 80% 'herd immunity' figure.

I'm sure my maths is dodgy. Sake, I HOPE my maths is dodgy......

The tricky thing is this doesn’t account for those who have had it and recovered but don’t create antibodies, as reported in a couple of places as likely now.
 








Kinky Gerbil

Im The Scatman
NSC Patron
Jul 16, 2003
58,792
hassocks
Neither do I. But all part of a coming pushback if people can’t resume some of the things they like to do.

We are potentially looking at months of

Wake
Work
Eat
Sleep
Repeat

Maybe stuff like take away restaurants opening and social distancing in cinemas

Whilst people slowly lose businesses and jobs

I don’t think Chris Witty was meant to say what he said.
 


BN41Albion

Well-known member
Oct 1, 2017
6,829
We are potentially looking at months of

Wake
Work
Eat
Sleep
Repeat

Maybe stuff like take away restaurants opening and social distancing in cinemas

Whilst people slowly lose businesses and jobs

I don’t think Chris Witty was meant to say what he said.

I can't really see how that would be possible. The economy would be in absolute ruins with millions unemployed!
 


BLOCK F

Well-known member
Feb 26, 2009
6,723
We are potentially looking at months of

Wake
Work
Eat
Sleep
Repeat

Maybe stuff like take away restaurants opening and social distancing in cinemas

Whilst people slowly lose businesses and jobs

I don’t think Chris Witty was meant to say what he said.

Well, he certainly didn't mince his words.
Until we can say goodbye to 'social distancing' normal life will obviously remain on hold.
Not entirely surprising, but to actually hear him say that we are facing a substantial time of continuing social disruption was pretty damn' depressing.
 




Kalimantan Gull

Well-known member
Aug 13, 2003
13,451
Central Borneo / the Lizard
The tricky thing is this doesn’t account for those who have had it and recovered but don’t create antibodies, as reported in a couple of places as likely now.

Seems unlikely, more probably false-negatives, the antibody tests are very new of course. But if someone genuinely doesn't have antibodies, they won't be immune to the virus, so those people shouldn't be accounted for in the 'herd immunity' statistics anyway.

We also don't know that much about how these studies got their sample - if they were from blood donors, for example, that tends to be a self-selecting healthy group of the population.
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,325
Withdean area
We are potentially looking at months of

Wake
Work
Eat
Sleep
Repeat

Maybe stuff like take away restaurants opening and social distancing in cinemas

Whilst people slowly lose businesses and jobs

I don’t think Chris Witty was meant to say what he said.

Not sure about your locality, but increasing numbers of takeaways are opening. Small mercies.
 


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