Main Coronavirus / Covid-19 Discussion Thread

[Triggaaar]

I’m going to predict the address to the nation.

1. Further lockdown measures announced due to the behaviour of ‘some people’. Not the government’s fault.

2. The government are being led by ‘the science’ (he’ll say this repeatedly like he said ‘let’s get Brexit done’). Not the government’s fault if the advice is wrong and thousands die.

3. The government can’t stop Covid-19 (so don’t blame them) only the nation working together can.

Change the record

 

[Swansman]

"The World Heath Organization said it had taken 67 days from the first reported case to reach the first 100,000 cases, 11 days for the second 100,000 cases, and only four for the third 100,000 cases."

Even though it doesnt say everything since there's more testing and since we still know nothing about the number of infected, still numbers that tell a story.

 

[pb21]

Where did you get 0.04% from?

It's in the paper Mellotron was referring to that Bozza first raised.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.12.20022434v2

Our posterior estimates of basic reproduction number (R) in Wuhan City, China in 2019-2020 reached values as high as 5.20 (95%CrI: 5.04-5.47) and the enhanced public health intervention after January 23rd in 2020 was associated with a declined R at 0.58 (95%CrI: 0.51-0.64), with the total number of infections (i.e. cumulative infections) estimated at 1905526 (95%CrI: 1350283-2655936) in Wuhan City, raising the proportion of infected individuals to 19.1% (95%CrI: 13.5-26.6%). We also found that most recent crude infection fatality ratio (IFR) and time-delay adjusted IFR is estimated to be 0.04% (95% CrI: 0.03-0.06%) and 0.12% (95%CrI: 0.08-0.17%), which is several orders of magnitude smaller than the crude CFR estimated at 4.19%

 

[Pretty pink fairy]

And you mate. Keep safe.

Self isolating in the gate house
Regards
DF

 

[Creaky]

Just had my key worker certificate given to me today, looks like lockdown soon hopefully. Any way take care, and stay safe, same goes to all others that will work while we are in lockdown. If your not working please please please stay in, unless you need essential s and don't forget the people who can't get out. Together we can beat this.

So what are these key worker travel passes and who issues them - employers?

My wife is a care worker in a home for adults who are severely autistic and physically disabled. She knows nothing about this.

 

[Notters]

Had to pick up some emergency plumbing supplies due to a big leak in bathroom resulting in no working toilet. Reluctantly went out to buy the parts required. Could not believe the number of people in the DIY shop buying stuff that is clearly not critical. Buying compost, plants and landscaping bark is hardly necessary as I saw several people doing including an elderly couple. Crazy. Why take the risk?

I need to get some compost to be fair. Going to be growing all my own veg so I don't have to keep going to the shops.

 

[PILTDOWN MAN]

I need to get some compost to be fair. Going to be growing all my own veg so I don't have to keep going to the shops.

I have a load of rotted horse poo. Can collect from my land.

 

[Weststander]

I’m going to predict the address to the nation.

1. Further lockdown measures announced due to the behaviour of ‘some people’. Not the government’s fault.

2. The government are being led by ‘the science’ (he’ll say this repeatedly like he said ‘let’s get Brexit done’). Not the government’s fault if the advice is wrong and thousands die.

3. The government can’t stop Covid-19 (so don’t blame them) only the nation working together can.

So we need to do admire what they’re doing in absolutely perfect France, Italy and Spain? Whatever it was, it’s not working. Even you can’t blame that on Boris Johnson.

 

[Notters]

I have a load of rotted horse poo. Can collect from my land.

Needs to be autumn for that really. Are you in piltdown?

 

[Swansman]

Lockdown. Congratulations! I hope we follow.

 

[A1X]

 

[The Wizard]

I thought that was a fantastically delivered speech I must say.

 

[The Clamp]

So what are these key worker travel passes and who issues them - employers?

My wife is a care worker in a home for adults who are severely autistic and physically disabled. She knows nothing about this.

Her employers should issue a pass or send her a link to download one. She should contact her employer. Don’t fret, they’ll know what to do.

 

[The Clamp]

I thought that was a fantastically delivered speech I must say.

Very on point.

 

[A1X]

[TWEET]1242189803673792514[/TWEET]

 

[Neville's Breakfast]

Sturgeon repeating Boris’ speech but in a Scottish accent.

 

[oldboyroy]

What about general workers who can't work from home in other words millions of us?

 

[atomised]

Where does this leave schools being open for keyworkers as there was no mention of people being able to take their children to schools

 

[Seagull27]

I play tennis.

It's not clear whether tennis is permitted during the lock down.

Can anyone clarify please?

I would very much imagine No, unless you have a tennis court you can access without contacting anyone else and you only play with someone you live with

 

[Weststander]

Sturgeon repeating Boris’ speech but in a Scottish accent.