SUA Seagull
Well-known member
Whilst it may not be mathematically over, on the balance of probability it almost certainly is.
We are on 83 points, have 6 games to play and we are 12 points ahead of Hudders on 71. With our GD that’s 13 points. They have 8 to play, max 24 points. Even if we go through a (by our standards) rough patch of 2-2-2 we’d be on 91 points. Hudders would need to secure a run of 7-0-1 to overtake us and, on the balance of probability, that isn’t likely to happen. Reading are on 73 and if they won all 6 games they’d be on 91 with a worse GD than us, so that’s fine (as well as a highly unlikely outcome).
With Reading now in 3rd place and Hudders 4th on the back of two successive defeats they’ll surely now be focused on finishing 3rd to get 2nd leg home advantage in the playoffs. Wagner will be setting them up psychologically for that IMHO, rather than chasing us for 2nd. I think that Burton’s 96th minute goal on Saturday will be seen as a defining moment in the promotion race, which is what I felt at the time I was going nuts in the WSL concourse when the goal was announced.
Yes, I know, we still have a job to do to get across the finish line but CH and the lads will ensure we achieve at least 2-2-2 (and 1-3-2 will probably be good enough). Reading or Hudders are statistically unlikely to catch us now.
Time to buy your streamers, flags and banners ladies and gents in readiness for Albion’s party. With a bit of luck – and Reading and Hudders losing a couple here and there – we’ll be officially up after the Wigan game (which was my prediction months ago) or perhaps Norwich. Villa Park is going to be a carnival - whether we finish 2nd or 1st - and best of all it's just up the road from me and I can be there in less than an hour!
Enjoy every second of the party as we will all be part of Albion’s history having witnessed two incredible seasons that will live long in the memory of everyone who was privileged enough to witness them and be part of the journey. Even more incredible is that 20 years ago we almost slipped into oblivion. What this club has achieved in the last two decades is nothing short of a miracle, is what makes our club so special to everyone who follows it and is a feeling almost impossible to describe to those who've not shared the experience.
Believe. We are going up. We really, really are!
We are on 83 points, have 6 games to play and we are 12 points ahead of Hudders on 71. With our GD that’s 13 points. They have 8 to play, max 24 points. Even if we go through a (by our standards) rough patch of 2-2-2 we’d be on 91 points. Hudders would need to secure a run of 7-0-1 to overtake us and, on the balance of probability, that isn’t likely to happen. Reading are on 73 and if they won all 6 games they’d be on 91 with a worse GD than us, so that’s fine (as well as a highly unlikely outcome).
With Reading now in 3rd place and Hudders 4th on the back of two successive defeats they’ll surely now be focused on finishing 3rd to get 2nd leg home advantage in the playoffs. Wagner will be setting them up psychologically for that IMHO, rather than chasing us for 2nd. I think that Burton’s 96th minute goal on Saturday will be seen as a defining moment in the promotion race, which is what I felt at the time I was going nuts in the WSL concourse when the goal was announced.
Yes, I know, we still have a job to do to get across the finish line but CH and the lads will ensure we achieve at least 2-2-2 (and 1-3-2 will probably be good enough). Reading or Hudders are statistically unlikely to catch us now.
Time to buy your streamers, flags and banners ladies and gents in readiness for Albion’s party. With a bit of luck – and Reading and Hudders losing a couple here and there – we’ll be officially up after the Wigan game (which was my prediction months ago) or perhaps Norwich. Villa Park is going to be a carnival - whether we finish 2nd or 1st - and best of all it's just up the road from me and I can be there in less than an hour!
Enjoy every second of the party as we will all be part of Albion’s history having witnessed two incredible seasons that will live long in the memory of everyone who was privileged enough to witness them and be part of the journey. Even more incredible is that 20 years ago we almost slipped into oblivion. What this club has achieved in the last two decades is nothing short of a miracle, is what makes our club so special to everyone who follows it and is a feeling almost impossible to describe to those who've not shared the experience.
Believe. We are going up. We really, really are!
