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[Albion] Is qualifying for Europe easier via the FA Cup now than the league?
- Thread starter Giraffe
- Start date
Hotchilidog
Well-known member
- Jan 24, 2009
- 9,122
Yes it is.
Hotchilidog
Well-known member
- Jan 24, 2009
- 9,122
No we don't, we need to win the cup. We can take them! (or Sheffield Utd)
Garry Nelson's Left Foot
Well-known member
I think we need another 15 or 16 points to qualify for Europe. That's pretty doable as it's just continuing the form we've shown all season.
To win the f.a cup we need to beat:
Man Utd - doable
Man City - not very doable.
So I'd say the league is still the easier route as there is more margin for error.
To win the f.a cup we need to beat:
Man Utd - doable
Man City - not very doable.
So I'd say the league is still the easier route as there is more margin for error.
Baldseagull
Well-known member
Personally, I believe that Man City is the only side in the Prem that would beat us 9 times out of 10, and if we get past United, is who we would likely face in the final, so winning the FA Cup is a long shot.
Only one of the remaining league games is Man City, of the rest, we should beat 5, and we are capable of getting a couple more wins from Villa, Newcastle, Man Utd, and Arsenal.
Only one of the remaining league games is Man City, of the rest, we should beat 5, and we are capable of getting a couple more wins from Villa, Newcastle, Man Utd, and Arsenal.
AlbionInUs
Active member
We are 6/1 to win the FA cup, 10/11 to finish Top 6.
League is the significantly easier route.
League is the significantly easier route.
Perfidious Albion
Well-known member
It is going to be darned difficult either way. I am not thinking Europe, yet
Baldseagull
Well-known member
It is not in our hands to finish top 4 now, even if we win all remaining games, we need one of Man United or Newcastle to not just lose to us, but to lose two further games and draw one, to be just level on points. Brighton are the best side either one of them has left to face in the league, so it seems very unlikely.Ah, it's only me in this forum that Brighton still can get 4th place and can play in Champions League next season?
I'd say it's very difficult, but too early to give up. 7 wins out of 10 games = 67 points can be enough to finish in 4th
5th is realistically possible and 6th is entirely in our hands.
Baldseagull
Well-known member
It looks like we have two chances of the same Europa League ticket, either winning the FA Cup, or getting it handed down to our league position by a club from Manchester that is too busy with Champions League football to take it.
LamieRobertson
Not awoke
I don’t know…..next
Is qualifying for Europe easier via the FA Cup now than the league?
In a word, no.
Weststander
Well-known member
Abu Dhabi will win the FAC.
Our only way to qualify is via league position, which PL match officials are making damn sure doesn’t happen.
Our only way to qualify is via league position, which PL match officials are making damn sure doesn’t happen.
Definitely easier to get into Europe via the league
As a poster above has said - 10/11 to finish top 6.
But let's not forget that unless Sheffield United win the FA Cup, 7th place will get us into the Conference League. Bookies don't offer odds for the top 7, but FiveThirtyEight's simulations suggest we have an 83% chance of finishing 7th or higher. We definitely don't have an 83% chance of winning the FA Cup, sadly.
We have to trust RDZ's ability to pick the players up after the Spurs debacle, I think we'll see a big reaction against Chelsea. This is the best chance Dunk, Gross etc will ever have to play European football. They'll be up for it.
As a poster above has said - 10/11 to finish top 6.
But let's not forget that unless Sheffield United win the FA Cup, 7th place will get us into the Conference League. Bookies don't offer odds for the top 7, but FiveThirtyEight's simulations suggest we have an 83% chance of finishing 7th or higher. We definitely don't have an 83% chance of winning the FA Cup, sadly.
We have to trust RDZ's ability to pick the players up after the Spurs debacle, I think we'll see a big reaction against Chelsea. This is the best chance Dunk, Gross etc will ever have to play European football. They'll be up for it.
Gabbiano
Well-known member
Does anyone know what happens if West Ham win the Conference League? Do they then take one of the Europa spots?
Sheebo
Well-known member
- Jul 13, 2003
- 29,319
No. Man City would beat us 9/10 times. So def no for me. If people are really pinning hopes on winning the thing I really think they’re in for disappointment tbh. League, the way we’re playing, is a much better chance of top 7. Even with our tough fixtures and VAR playing most of them.
I’m 90% sure this is the case:
There’s an extra Europa League spot for the winners of the Conference League. So there’d be 3 English teams in the Europa League (which isn’t an issue), and still 1 place in the Conference League for an English team (League Cup winner or team finishing 7th).
Weststander
Well-known member
This.
oldboyroy
Well-known member
I fancied us for top 4 until Saturdays robbery! Need a fair few results to go our way now and us to win several big hitters. Said before the spurs game I fancied us to win there far more than at Chelsea. Although I hope we turn Chelsea over I have a gut feeling they will turn up proper against us and turn on the style unfortunately which will all but end our top 4 chances