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[Politics] If you are 90% sure, are you sure or not sure

If you are 90% sure, are you sure or not sure

  • 90% sure means SURE

    Votes: 11 26.8%
  • 90% sure means NOT SURE

    Votes: 30 73.2%

  • Total voters
    41


A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,537
Deepest, darkest Sussex
One of my favourite jokes in the Naked Gun films is “the doctors give him a 50% chance of living, but there’s only a 10% chance of that…”
 






Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,099
Faversham
An MP quoted in the Boris Johnson partygate evidence has said was "90% sure" the senior civil servant Simon Case agreed with Johnson during a meeting that all Covid rules had been obeyed.

Is 90% sure a case of being sure, or does that 10% mean she is not sure?
I voted 'not sure' before reading the context. Then smiled wryly.

Johnson is adroit at wordsmithery, and is an expert at making a lie sound like a reasonable and plausible explanation. It is a gift.

Why anyone would trust anyone like him with anything is a mystery. The Conservative, and editor of the Mail, Max Hastings, once stated that Johnson should not be trusted with one's wallet or one's wife. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/...ister-Im-plane-Britain-says-Max-Hastings.html
 


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,099
Faversham


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,099
Faversham
If you replace the word “sure” for the word “certain” it’s clearer.

Certain is an absolute but things can have degrees of certainty.

Similarly 90% sure is not “sure” but is 90% of the way there.

Either way Boris is lying out his arse
It was Johnson who conjured up the lexicographic wizardry.

I suspect he's really enjoying himself, avoiding outright lies by using misleading sentence constructions.

If he were not so lazy and venal he'd be a very effective politician. Instead his own party removed him from office. And yet....they are very likely to have him back, once he has been exonerated (which he will be).

What a guy.
 












Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
62,683
The Fatherland
An MP quoted in the Boris Johnson partygate evidence has said was "90% sure" the senior civil servant Simon Case agreed with Johnson during a meeting that all Covid rules had been obeyed.

Is 90% sure a case of being sure, or does that 10% mean she is not sure?
Definitely unsure.
 


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