The generally accepted rule is that 50/51 points keeps you up. We have 18 so far - meaning another 11 wins are required (from 27 games) to reasonably guarantee safety. Anyone think we'll get them with the current personnel ?
No mate! If you extrapolate our current results over the whole season we will amass 44pts at best. I would suggest we will go down with that. SH cant by a win I saw a quote to say he has 5 wins in his last 30 + matches... He is a loser in management terms.
We need 33 points to get that 51. Doesn't have to be 11 wins. Could be 19 draws and seven wins (and one loss).
But statistically speaking, we don't need 51. On average the team finishing 21st (safe) has 49 points (and last year was just 44), the team finishing 22nd has 46-47 points (and has been as low as 40).
Extrapolate our current pts/game and we will end on 43.58 (based on whole season) or 46 (based on 5 game rolling average).