100%. As I said, it's a 50/50 chance. But by your logic, there's never any evidence to support a managerial change as, unsurprisingly, we can't collect evidence from the future. Yet people change their managers with regularity, sometimes to good effect and sometimes not so. In this instance you're pessimistic about such changes and I'm optimistic. And I'm basing that optimism on what I see out on the pitch every single week which is awful football with an increasingly confused tactical plan from a man who hasn't really improved the players he's been given. So the right managerial appointment could see improvements in all or some of these areas which could lead to an improvement in results.
Or it may not. I guess we'll find out when he does eventually leave.
I also think Chris Hughton is a decent human being with integrity and honesty in every bone in a profession full of vanity, snideness, petty point scoring, deceipt, fraud and Neil Warnock.