[Football] How many points will be enough to survive?

[Weststander]

I think we are now good enough to stay up but the problem is it has maybe taken too long to get to this point and we’re fast running out of eminently winnable games. The fact our run in is so dire means it’s quite feasible we finish below teams we are now better than...

Great post. Our confidence and much improved squad has come after most of the winnable games had come and gone.

It’s in the balance. I can see strong cases for we’re in deep trouble because of the above, or the new improved Albion starts beating rated teams too.

 

[perseus]

I cannot see West Brom getting 22 points from their next 10 games.

Arsenal on 45 pts are already safe

 

[GT49er]

40 points, we stay up; a bit less than 40 points, we probably stay up; a bit less than that, we probably don't.


Next question?

 

[perseus]

This weekend results have upped the points needed to 39, entirely down to WBA losing. Other results expected.

 

[perseus]

Now, it very well could be 41 or more, or 38 going into the last game needing a win for safety.
Come on Spurs!

 

[Turkey]

STOKE

29 Southampton A 0
30 Man City H 0
31 Everton H 0
32 Arsenal A 0
33 Tottenham H 0
34 West Ham A 1
35 Burnley H 3
36 Liverpool A 0
37 Crystal Palace H 3
38 Swansea A 1

= 34

SOUTHAMPTON

29 Stoke H 3
30 Newcastle A 1
31 Swansea A 1
32 West Ham A 1
33 Arsenal A 0
34 Chelsea H 0
35 Leicester A 1
36 Bournemouth H 0
37 Everton A 0
38 Man City H 0

= 34

So.. 35 points.

 

[East Staffs Gull]

I’m tempted to put £10 on each of Bournemouth, Watford and Everton to get relegated at odds of 33/1, 40/1 and 80/1 respectively.

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

Still reckon it is 38, but there are just glimmers appearing now that it will be less.

Southampton v Stoke on Saturday will have an impact on the target - a draw would be best.

 

[Rugrat]

Still reckon it is 38, but there are just glimmers appearing now that it will be less.

Southampton v Stoke on Saturday will have an impact on the target - a draw would be best.

Interesting, I thought it might be 36 but after Hudders beat West Brom yesterday I'm thinking it might be higher ... 38 is the number I've got

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

Interesting, I thought it might be 36 but after Hudders beat West Brom yesterday I'm thinking it might be higher ... 38 is the number I've got

Yes, and it is annoying when looking at the table that Liverpool and Arsenal lost to Swansea.

If the poor version of Arsenal turn up next Sunday - and we get a wonderful result - then that would be a massive boost to us, and we'd nearly be there.

 

[Hampster Gull]

Still 36

 

[LowKarate]

Still 36

You're 36!

Ohhhh!!! You mean points to stay up.

As you were.

 

[Hampster Gull]

You're 36!

Ohhhh!!! You mean points to stay up.

As you were.

Life is sooooo easy for you millennials

 

[Rugrat]

Yes, and it is annoying when looking at the table that Liverpool and Arsenal lost to Swansea.

If the poor version of Arsenal turn up next Sunday - and we get a wonderful result - then that would be a massive boost to us, and we'd nearly be there.

I still think Swansea are doomed and it could be that there's just no 3rd basket case which I've variously thought could be Newcastle, Hudders and Stoke. If we beat Ars, which I think is a real possibility (especially if Citeh nail them on Thursday) then we would be all but over the line maybe

 

[bravohotelalpha]

Hear TB's thoughts on points via the link posted for Saturday's Radio Sussex interview

 

[LowKarate]

Life is sooooo easy for you millennials

How very dare you!

I'm still predicting 38 needed to stay up, but I reckon we might actually sneak 40 now.

 

[Bodian]

I sat down and worked out the remaining fixtures on the basis that everyone from Watford down is involved in the staying-up battle. I gave no point for games against the big six. I gave one point for any game against Burnley, Everton & Leicester. All the rest are 'six-pointers' and I classed them all as home wins. I ended up with:

46 - Watford
44 - Everton
43 - Bournemouth
40 - Huddersfield
40 - Newcastle
38 - Southampton
37 - Brighton
37 - Swansea
36 - West Ham
34 - Palace
31 - Stoke
25 - West Brom

Which was quite pleasing. Therefore 35.

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

The Southampton-Stoke draw probably reduces our target by 1 point.

In light of this I now reckon our target for safety is 37 points - 2 more wins and wonderful if they are Arsenal and Everton.

 

[The Gem]

The Southampton-Stoke draw probably reduces our target by 1 point.

In light of this I now reckon our target for safety is 37 points - 2 more wins and wonderful if they are Arsenal and Everton.

Then beat Udders and we can push for Europe

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

Then beat Udders and we can push for Europe

We can concentrate on the Cup and qualify that way