If we can make the top six, with the present squad I would be amazed but delighted.
This year could be well worth watching, lots of decent teams in with a chance.
So I am assuming that you feel our squad is weaker than last season. I am also assuming you are basing this on us suffering a quite ridiculous amount of injuries again. I am also assuming that you expect our form to drop by more than 15-20 points. I am also assuming that you expect the morale/spirit to be lower than last season. I am also assuming that you expect to score a lot less goals this season. I am also assuming that you consider the division to be a lot stronger this season, despite the addition of a PL team that won only twice all season and the addition of Wigan, Burton and Barnsley.
I also assume that you are ignoring the clear signals being given by our illustrious chairman that the number one priority is promotion and he does not intend to sell anybody. Am I assuming too much?
I just can't see the team scoring the goals needed to be top half.
Sure people can kid themselves everything will be ok because 'we were top scorers last season'.
But that only works if you omit the fact that the team scored 20 goals in 5 separate drubbings, and could only beat 1 top 6 side all season.
There's no reason to think the defence won't once again be rock solid.
So the team are all set for another similar season of too many draws, 17 last season (one off the highest of 18).
But this time, in front of goal, they are going to be so one dimensional the winning goal will be harder to find.
All of this changes with the signing of THE striker.
I think the team would be almost unstoppable with the inclusion of a quick, powerful, proven goalscorer.
But the nearer we get to the season the less confidence I have in the final (and most expensive) piece of the jigsaw arriving.
Far comment, I accept the position is a bit low.Not saying I disagree with many of your points .... However 3rd on GD to 14th with the same squad pretty much seems a bit pessimistic
His Villa prediction is very interesting.
Aye and there owner is a tad unhappy
http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/football/news/aston-villa-owner-dr-tony-8539961
Looking forward to reading Dr Tony's twitter ramblings when the pressure really is on, particularly as he's had a small meltdown over a pundits pre season prediction.
Not sure about top two, but I am convinced we are a top six team and will be for the fourth time in six seasons. The current centre half injuries notwithstanding we are starting the season from a far stronger standpoint than we did last. We will not kick off the season relying on Kaz magic to get us through the early games, but a strike force of Hemed and Murray who are both proven scorers. We are also starting with Knockaert, Skalak, Murphy, Stephens and Kayal available in the middle with March and Sidwell to come back soon. Not to mention another couple of late signings to come to bolster the squad before the closing of the window.
We have maintained a top half/top six finish in this division for a reason, once is a fluke three times is a pattern. I do not see how we are weaker this season. Zamora has been replaced Murray who will play far more than Bobby did. We just need to replace Wilson, and I'd be surprised if that player did not improve on Wilson's return for us last season (even if that replacement ironically is once again Wilson himself).
I have confidence in the players, management and recruiting staff based on the evidence provided last season and I am backing them for success again this season.