beorhthelm
A. Virgo, Football Genius
- Jul 21, 2003
- 36,026
Not at all. Voting numbers are abstract was the point I was making, as abstract as making a membership claim as a proportion of voters.
depends what the point is, if its that the membership of a party doesnt necessarily mean much at the general election, when many keep on about that membership, its not so abstract.
another item apparently overlooked is that Labour is losing alot of members, apparently as much as 1 for every 3 new. on the one hand that means even more new members signing up (to arrive at the increased total), on the other hand it indicates a shift in the membership make up. is the shift going to move the needle from 20% of the electorate voting Labour to ~17-18% (Foot era) or 23% (last Blair result)? and interesting stat, Miliband polled only around 200k less than Blair in 2005, while Cameron polled 3m more than Howard.