Papa Lazarou
Living in a De Zerbi wonderland
Ok, the 3 main models don’t match up exactly on my chosen forecast date / time of Satuday noon.
GFS – from today’s 00Z model run, the GFS has relatively high pressure over Southern England (including London).
ECMWF - As they don’t do as 126 hour forecast, the nearest I can get is for midnight Friday / Saturday. The 1020mb isobar is along the channel coast, but by midnight Saturday is into the midlands, so it’s rising for London during the day.
UKMO – The UK Met Office forecast is very similar to the ECM model output, with the 1020mb isobar further south at midnight Fri / Sat. Once again this moves north during the day, so an improving picture.
What these don’t show is any fronts that may be embedded in the flow, so it’s not clear how much cloud (& rain?) we’ll get.
GFS – from today’s 00Z model run, the GFS has relatively high pressure over Southern England (including London).
ECMWF - As they don’t do as 126 hour forecast, the nearest I can get is for midnight Friday / Saturday. The 1020mb isobar is along the channel coast, but by midnight Saturday is into the midlands, so it’s rising for London during the day.
UKMO – The UK Met Office forecast is very similar to the ECM model output, with the 1020mb isobar further south at midnight Fri / Sat. Once again this moves north during the day, so an improving picture.
What these don’t show is any fronts that may be embedded in the flow, so it’s not clear how much cloud (& rain?) we’ll get.