Even Qatar, going into the race the talk was it would be rear-limited and thus favour RB, turned out to be front-limited and thus favoured Mercedes. Certainly going to be a very interesting final 2 races. I'm expecting Hamilton's engine advantage (a very fresh engine to stick back in having used the older engine for Qatar) will prove decisive, as RB will be forced to be conservative with their older engine in Verstappen's car.
Not only that, the Saudi circuit has some long straights that the Merc will just gobble up. In addition, RB’s low downforce rear wing is having reliability issues. Both Mercs should qualify ahead of Max but I suspect only one will.