It's very difficult to tell, this time last year people were saying that we should go for Grant Holt as Norwich would sell because he had been a failure in the Championship, in fact he scored 23 goals in 48 cup and league games last season. We were also told on here that Jamie Cureton was a poor signing for Exeter and would not make an impact, he scored 17 goals in 30 games. I suspect Craig Davies will struggle at Championship level but I hope he surprises us.