[Albion] Come off it you know we can't go down if you do the maths....

[The Albion]

I still feel worried, despite your analysis, OP...

 

[Springal]

Banter

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

Yes, it's true Hughton doesn't realise Brighton do actually have good finishers and brought in strikers who are good enough but aren't getting enough service from the team. There was a point in the season where we couldn't stop scoring for a few games.

BUT..... looking at the fixtures there is almost no chance Cardiff will get any points from two of the games (Liverpool and Man U). Then to have any chance they have to WIN BOTH of their other two games to get to 37 points and give them a chance.


I say Cardiff need 37 points because in FIVE GAMES Brighton must at least get 3 points (any win will do or even three draws). In fact, Brighton might even win against Wolves on Saturday and that means it is as good as all over for Cardiff.

Yada yada. This is more or less the same group of players who blew a SEVEN point lead over Newcastle with three games remaining to clinch the Championship title because they were far more interested in going out on the piss. Seems nothing much has changed in that respect.

 

[BNthree]

In fact, Brighton might even win against Wolves on Saturday and that means it is as good as all over for Cardiff.

 

[Official Old Man]

Let's be a bit more serious here. We should expect Cardiff to get 6 points. So draw at Wolves and beat Newcastle. My belief is that we could both be on 34 points going in to the last game which would be nail biting.

 

[Harry Wilson's tackle]

Yes, it's true Hughton doesn't realise Brighton do actually have good finishers and brought in strikers who are good enough but aren't getting enough service from the team. There was a point in the season where we couldn't stop scoring for a few games.

BUT..... looking at the fixtures there is almost no chance Cardiff will get any points from two of the games (Liverpool and Man U). Then to have any chance they have to WIN BOTH of their other two games to get to 37 points and give them a chance.


I say Cardiff need 37 points because in FIVE GAMES Brighton must at least get 3 points (any win will do or even three draws). In fact, Brighton might even win against Wolves on Saturday and that means it is as good as all over for Cardiff.

You are absolutely right.

But if I were a betting man I would go large (is that what you betters say? ) on us not getting another point this season.

As I am not a betting man I have gone 1-0 Brighton this Saturday (in a fantasy league).

Come on football, give us a goal.

 

[Harry Wilson's tackle]

Yada yada. This is more or less the same group of players who blew a SEVEN point lead over Newcastle with three games remaining to clinch the Championship title because they were far more interested in going out on the piss. Seems nothing much has changed in that respect.

Yes indeed. That pesky Bissouma, the hopeless Ali J, rubbish Andone, barmy Bernado, munter Montoya . . . taking their eye off the ball is their shortcoming, for sure, year after year after year at the club. I'm surprised we tolerate it.

(Are there end of season awards for sarcasm? It would be ironic if there were....)

 

[Seasidesage]

If Cardiff get Six points I think we'll be relegated. FWIW I don't think they will....

 

[Weststander]

We certainly started better.

Fortunately for us, Cardiff are nowhere near as good as Bournemouth so they didn't posses the ability to destroy us once our heads dropped.

Is a perfect summary.

 

[Weststander]

I thought we would pick up at least 2 points from our last two games , that didn't go well , i'm honestly not expecting anymore points except a scrappy win v Newcastle , it's going to be a squeaky ride .

Newcastle are pretty good football team, with a pacey attack.

We need them to have an off day, and Brighton to find the form of say the Everton game.

 

[um bongo molongo]

Yes, it's true Hughton doesn't realise Brighton do actually have good finishers and brought in strikers who are good enough but aren't getting enough service from the team. There was a point in the season where we couldn't stop scoring for a few games.

BUT..... looking at the fixtures there is almost no chance Cardiff will get any points from two of the games (Liverpool and Man U). Then to have any chance they have to WIN BOTH of their other two games to get to 37 points and give them a chance.


I say Cardiff need 37 points because in FIVE GAMES Brighton must at least get 3 points (any win will do or even three draws). In fact, Brighton might even win against Wolves on Saturday and that means it is as good as all over for Cardiff.

We are the dictionary definition of “can’t see where the next point is coming from”. Cardiff will get 6-7 points I reckon, possibly not how we’d imagine (I think they’ll get something off Manure). I do not see us getting 5 points. We have Newcastle where we have a chance. We have 3 away games and we’re even more shi*te away than we are at home and we’re not getting anything off City.

 

[SI 4 BHA]

Yes, it's true Hughton doesn't realise Brighton do actually have good finishers and brought in strikers who are good enough but aren't getting enough service from the team. There was a point in the season where we couldn't stop scoring for a few games.

BUT..... looking at the fixtures there is almost no chance Cardiff will get any points from two of the games (Liverpool and Man U). Then to have any chance they have to WIN BOTH of their other two games to get to 37 points and give them a chance.


I say Cardiff need 37 points because in FIVE GAMES Brighton must at least get 3 points (any win will do or even three draws). In fact, Brighton might even win against Wolves on Saturday and that means it is as good as all over for Cardiff.

Just seen this, you are mental. What have you seen in the last month that makes you think we are capable of getting any points at all? At least it's not my money funding the club, TB is going to take a massive hit when we go down so I hope he had been deeper pockets that we thought!

 

[Truthsayer]

Just seen this, you are mental. What have you seen in the last month that makes you think we are capable of getting any points at all? At least it's not my money funding the club, TB is going to take a massive hit when we go down so I hope he had been deeper pockets that we thought!

Remember Cardiff might only get two draws against the two teams they have a chance with and then we don't need any more points - they basically need at least one win from those two so not so certain! I still see a win against Wolves as long as the defence improves.

 

[Truthsayer]

Also we could buy Sevcik from Slavia Prague.....

 

[Sirnormangall]

I say Cardiff need 37 points because in FIVE GAMES Brighton must at least get 3 points (any win will do or even three draws). In fact, Brighton might even win against Wolves on Saturday and that means it is as good as all over for Cardiff.

Yep, just like we were going to beat Fulham, then we were going to beat Watford, then Burnley, then Southampton, then Bournemouth then Cardiff. What could go wrong?.........but I do hope you’re right!

 

[perseus]

Yes, it's true Hughton doesn't realise Brighton do actually have good finishers and brought in strikers who are good enough but aren't getting enough service from the team. There was a point in the season where we couldn't stop scoring for a few games.

BUT..... looking at the fixtures there is almost no chance Cardiff will get any points from two of the games (Liverpool and Man U). Then to have any chance they have to WIN BOTH of their other two games to get to 37 points and give them a chance.


I say Cardiff need 37 points because in FIVE GAMES Brighton must at least get 3 points (any win will do or even three draws). In fact, Brighton might even win against Wolves on Saturday and that means it is as good as all over for Cardiff.

https://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-premier-league/ 37 points might not be enough!?

We don't score from open play this season

 

[BadFish]

Yes, it's true Hughton doesn't realise Brighton do actually have good finishers and brought in strikers who are good enough but aren't getting enough service from the team. There was a point in the season where we couldn't stop scoring for a few games.

BUT..... looking at the fixtures there is almost no chance Cardiff will get any points from two of the games (Liverpool and Man U). Then to have any chance they have to WIN BOTH of their other two games to get to 37 points and give them a chance.


I say Cardiff need 37 points because in FIVE GAMES Brighton must at least get 3 points (any win will do or even three draws). In fact, Brighton might even win against Wolves on Saturday and that means it is as good as all over for Cardiff.

Sorry misread your post.

 

[Truthsayer]

https://www.euroclubindex.com/match-odds/

Looking at the odds for the two 'winnable' Cardiff games, the combined odds for winning both are not much more than 8% so it's unlikely Cardiff will even get to more than 35 points. Two boring draws should be enough for the Albion. Apparently the relegation odds are still about 83% chance for Cardiff to go down.

 

[Truthsayer]

Also looking at the odds for both games it's about 50% chance (0.725*0.68 ) that Cardiff won't do better than a DRAW for BOTH which means Brighton already have a good chance of being safe unless they start losing in cricket scores.