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Cheltenham Day 1 - Uncle Spielberg's expanding wallet challenge



Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
Jul 6, 2003
43,097
Lancing
Friends, comrades, lovers

I am pledging to make your wallets happy, your purses content and your bum bags overflow.

I will post a NAILED ON CERTAINTY, yes you heard me, A NAILED ON CERTAINTY for each day of Cheltenham.

You really are lucky to be privy to this sort of hot information and I DO NOT charge for this information.

Day 1 - 2.00

Pigeon Island - 12/1

This horse has been running well all season and is PRIMED AND READY to land this race. It will be tracking the leaders and swoop late on to land this valuable race.

Get on each way as at 12/1 and 1/4 odds its 3/1 for a place as well.

£ 10 each way.

Get on and get on LARGE.

Daily profits will be posted later.

" you have not been charged for this information "
" US - The real deal "
 






Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
Jul 6, 2003
43,097
Lancing
The phrase can apply to an each way chance, ie , it is nailed on to win or be placed. At 12/1 only a FOOL would not go each way. I do not tip 2/7 on winners unlike some.
 


Tom Hark Preston Park

Will Post For Cash
Jul 6, 2003
72,348
Uncle, in this particular case, the term 'nailed on' must mean that the nag will run as if it had it's hooves nailed on to the ground... :lol:
 


Scoffers

Well-known member
Jan 13, 2004
6,868
Burgess Hill
gone each way
 




Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
Jul 6, 2003
43,097
Lancing
:thumbsup:
 


Uncle Spielberg

Well-known member
Jul 6, 2003
43,097
Lancing
I will go £ 10 each way on selections days 1-3 but £ 20 win day 4 as Denman is a sure thing.
 






Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,295
Back in Sussex
In fact, here you go...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/main.jhtml?xml=/sport/2006/11/18/somott18.xml

"It's the biggest myth in racing! It's the biggest myth in life!" he yells vehemently. "That is my golden rule. Do not be afraid to back odds-on. It's a myth perpetrated by bookmakers and ignorant punters. Cowards! When people say they never bet odds-on what they're really saying is they can't count or they're a coward. They're afraid of the risk factor."
 








Scoffers

Well-known member
Jan 13, 2004
6,868
Burgess Hill
So, the big question is what should I put my PaddyPower £20 free bet on?
 








Quality article :lol:

'Don't get him started on pensions. No part of him approves of putting money away on the off-chance you might see it with knobs on at the age of 65. "I mean, you've got to live to be 65 anyway, and that's only an 8-13 chance.'

So he says that we SHOULD bet odds-on chances.
But he won't put money away for when he reaches 65, which is thirteen to eight ON.
PLONKER!
:lolol:
 


brighton_haha

New member
Feb 8, 2008
277
Friends, comrades, lovers


Day 1 - 2.00

Pigeon Island - 12/1

Yepp, with you on that U.S..........

Whether it can be classed as a Nailed On certainty is debateable mate.

This is Cheltenham, after all.....:jester:
 


wigman

Well-known member
Oct 10, 2006
4,755
East Preston
Friends, comrades, lovers

I am pledging to make your wallets happy, your purses content and your bum bags overflow.

I will post a NAILED ON CERTAINTY, yes you heard me, A NAILED ON CERTAINTY for each day of Cheltenham.

You really are lucky to be privy to this sort of hot information and I DO NOT charge for this information.

Day 1 - 2.00

Pigeon Island - 12/1

This horse has been running well all season and is PRIMED AND READY to land this race. It will be tracking the leaders and swoop late on to land this valuable race.

Get on each way as at 12/1 and 1/4 odds its 3/1 for a place as well.

£ 10 each way.

Get on and get on LARGE.

Daily profits will be posted later.

" you have not been charged for this information "
" US - The real deal "
I remember your post before in early December that it was going to be a white christmas and that did not materialise;that also was going to be a dead cert!
 


Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,295
Back in Sussex
Not forgetting the failures...

Of course he loses. But, as I've said lots and lots before, it's all about value. If something is priced at 100/1, but you can assess the true odds to be 90/1 then in the long-run you will win. Likewise if something is priced at 1/10 but you believe the true odds to be 1/12 then in the long-term you will win.

In my case it's all theory of course - I can't spot true value. Harry Findlay can though which is why he lives from his gambling proceeds and a lot of his success has come from short odds bets such as Federer and Woods.
 








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