The Maharajah of Sydney
Well-known member
Betting Market still has us to finish at least 6pts above Huddersfield ( was an 8pt margin 3 games ago ).
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Championship Odds Tracker
- Thread starter kingcole
- Start date
erkan
Well-known member
But that is only to do with betting patterns.
Nothing to do with our "7" point lead, the quality of our squad, our form and the nature of our remaining fixtures....
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The Maharajah of Sydney
Well-known member
On the contrary, all of that has been 'priced in'.
Moshe Gariani
Well-known member
- Mar 10, 2005
- 12,203
Not according to the sages of NSC.
The only reason the mighty Huddersfield aren't long odds on for the title is the weight of money backing Newcastle and Brighton...
Lowest odds so far but you'd expect that with only a handful of games left
Weststander
Well-known member
The bookies agree, saying please make it a large stake.
Us 1/14, Bet365.
Those odds surprise me.
IF you agree with their top 2 odds, then they've are effectively assuming that us and Newcastle are guaranteed to be the top two. If that is the case, and looking at the respective run-ins, then 2/1 on the Albion nicking top spot is very generous.
I tend not to bet on the Albion, but if I did, those odds would look tasty to me:
Matching the games in pairs:
BHA v Brum
NU v Burton
(IMO) Easiest fixture on paper: NU
QPR v BHA
v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Wolves v BHA
NU v Leeds
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
BHA v Wigan
Ipswich v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Norwich v BHA
PNE v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: NU
Cardiff v NU
BHA v Bristol C
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Villa v BHA
NU v Barnsley
Easiest fixture on paper: NU
Therefore, I think we edge it in terms of the fixture list, but need 2 points to overhaul them. I think we might come up just short but surely 2/1 grossly underestimates our chance of the title?
Matching the games in pairs:
BHA v Brum
NU v Burton
(IMO) Easiest fixture on paper: NU
QPR v BHA
v NUEasiest fixture on paper: BHA
Wolves v BHA
NU v Leeds
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
BHA v Wigan
Ipswich v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Norwich v BHA
PNE v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: NU
Cardiff v NU
BHA v Bristol C
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Villa v BHA
NU v Barnsley
Easiest fixture on paper: NU
Therefore, I think we edge it in terms of the fixture list, but need 2 points to overhaul them. I think we might come up just short but surely 2/1 grossly underestimates our chance of the title?
Machiavelli
Well-known member
Me no understand. Your first two sentences seem to jar with the third. I'm almost tempted at 2/1, and would go along with Simster's assessment of the games.
I tend not to bet on the Albion, but if I did, those odds would look tasty to me:
Matching the games in pairs:
BHA v Brum
NU v Burton
(IMO) Easiest fixture on paper: NU
QPR v BHA
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Wolves v BHA
NU v Leeds
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
BHA v Wigan
Ipswich v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Norwich v BHA
PNE v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: NU
Cardiff v NU
BHA v Bristol C
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Villa v BHA
NU v Barnsley
Easiest fixture on paper: NU
Therefore, I think we edge it in terms of the fixture list, but need 2 points to overhaul them. I think we might come up just short but surely 2/1 grossly underestimates our chance of the title?
Good logic. A mouthwatering 12/5 with PP and 9/4 with a few others. I'm in.
Not convinced about that: PNE are not only a point ahead of Norwich but are much more consistent. Norwich had a storming start and fell away, the exact opposite of Preston
Preston drew at home to Forest on Saturday. Head to head, I'd take their game against Preston rather than ours away to Norwich all day long.
MattBackHome
Well-known member
- Jul 7, 2003
- 11,878
I tend not to bet on the Albion, but if I did, those odds would look tasty to me:
Matching the games in pairs:
BHA v Brum
NU v Burton
(IMO) Easiest fixture on paper: NU
QPR v BHA
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Wolves v BHA
NU v Leeds
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
BHA v Wigan
Ipswich v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Norwich v BHA
PNE v NU
Easiest fixture on paper: NU
Cardiff v NU
BHA v Bristol C
Easiest fixture on paper: BHA
Villa v BHA
NU v Barnsley
Easiest fixture on paper: NU
Therefore, I think we edge it in terms of the fixture list, but need 2 points to overhaul them. I think we might come up just short but surely 2/1 grossly underestimates our chance of the title?
I've just done the same thing on a fag packet but arbitrarily assigned an extra point or two where the expected difference in difficulty is greater, and I've got us coming out level on points, but only after Newcastle extend their lead to being 4 points clear of us after the next three games. So I DO fancy a nibble on us to win now, but I'm going to wait until after Wolves I think.
Put 50% of your stake on now and 50% in 3 games time.