Goring-by-Seagull
Well-known member
- Jan 5, 2012
- 1,981
I've put my ENTIRE £5 weekly betting budget on those 4 games, and my betting history suggests that there is NO CHANCE I will be collecting 85 smackers come tomorrow night.
I've put my ENTIRE £5 weekly betting budget on those 4 games, and my betting history suggests that there is NO CHANCE I will be collecting 85 smackers come tomorrow night.
The way the fixtures are set, my betting history would suggest narrow victories for the first 3 with Newcastle slipping up.
It's a no from me. The odds of those 3 all winning is about 7/1, while we're 2-1 on. No way I'd take that, even for Newcastle dropping points.I'd happily take that, on the basis we get the right result.
If Newcastle collapse, sure that's good for us. But if they just stay with us and keep the chasing teams interested, I'm not even sure that's a good thing. Realistically we want a gap to 3rd and the teams below us settling from draws and aiming for the playoffs.Newcastle will start to get dragged towards the playoffs and I could see pressure starting to mount on Rafa if that happens.
It's a no from me. The odds of those 3 all winning is about 7/1, while we're 2-1 on. No way I'd take that, even for Newcastle dropping points.
If Newcastle collapse, sure that's good for us. But if they just stay with us and keep the chasing teams interested, I'm not even sure that's a good thing. Realistically we want a gap to 3rd and the teams below us settling from draws and aiming for the playoffs.
First and foremost we obviously want 3 points ourselves. Secondly, we hope the 3 chasing teams drop points. Newcastle dropping points is less of a priority.
I've put my ENTIRE £5 weekly betting budget on those 4 games, and my betting history suggests that there is NO CHANCE I will be collecting 85 smackers come tomorrow night.
And I have placed TEN English Pounds on the same. I shall NOT be collecting 170 nicker tomorrow evening.
Being a pedant of course they're not guaranteed top two, but this is all about us having the best chance, and the chances are very high that Newcastle will be top two, so I'm more interested in us gaining on the others. That gives us the best chance.Only if you subscribe to the view that Newcastle are GUARANTEED a top two spot.
Newcasele not us - right, so we want Newcastle to drop more points than us. No argument there. But taking Newcastle dropping 2 points for the other 3 dropping none, is a bad deal.My view is that IF Huddersfield, Reading or Leeds go on a charge and overtake one of the top two, we want that to be Newcastle, not us!
I respect your right to be wrongJust as important that they drop points, IMO.