Cameron v Miliband v Clegg: the official Question Time match thread

[Mellor 3 Ward 4]

have they voted already then
regards
DR

IMO, UKIP won't have any influence after the election. Farage might not even win his seat.

The only influence they have, is how many votes they take from the Tories, allowing Labour to win in marginals.

 

[Machiavelli]

Because the issue isn't going away. Let's get this referendum done, as the pro-EUs will rightly win with ease.

On this, I'm not so sure at all.

 

[Steve.S]

Can see someone sucking up to UKIP, who's it going to be
regards
DR

UKIP will not get anywhere in the election, their support will move back to the Tories. This has 92 written all over it. Come Friday morning the Tories will have a majority, it may be slim but they will be back in power. As for UKIP they will be seatless.

 

[Simster]

Can see someone sucking up to UKIP, who's it going to be
regards
DR

I think the sucking up has already been done, fella. It was all about UKIP extracting concessions BEFORE campaigning, because they will win an absolute maximum of just five seats. They got a 2017 referendum promise from the Tories.

It does make me chuckle that according to you, the proper parties will be sucking up to UKIP and their 1-5 seats, whereas the LibDems are dead men walking with a predicted 25-45 seats. You do see how it looks don't you?

 

[Steve.S]

IMO, UKIP won't have any influence after the election. Farage might not even win his seat.

The only influence they have, is how many votes they take from the Tories, allowing Labour to win in marginals.

You are right and I think those Ukip supporters in the marginals will vote Tory. I can not see ukip winning any seats. Leaving the Tories with a slim majority.

 

[jimbob5]

IMO, UKIP won't have any influence after the election. Farage might not even win his seat.

The only influence they have, is how many votes they take from the Tories, allowing Labour to win in marginals.

I think the polls would tend to back you up young lad. Take the afternoon off. They'll win circa 4 seats which will be much less than SNP and LD, so won't be part of any coalition. They'll probably cause the Tories to lose a couple more seats than they'll cause Lab to lose. Another 5 years of the same coalition I suspect.

 

[Pretty pink fairy]

I think the polls would tend to back you up young lad. Take the afternoon off. They'll win circa 4 seats which will be much less than SNP and LD, so won't be part of any coalition. They'll probably cause the Tories to lose a couple more seats than they'll cause Lab to lose. Another 5 years of the same coalition I suspect.

so many people with Crystal balls on this thread .............Mystic Meg
regards
DR

 

[Pretty pink fairy]

I think the sucking up has already been done, fella. It was all about UKIP extracting concessions BEFORE campaigning, because they will win an absolute maximum of just five seats. They got a 2017 referendum promise from the Tories.

It does make me chuckle that according to you, the proper parties will be sucking up to UKIP and their 1-5 seats, whereas the LibDems are dead men walking with a predicted 25-45 seats. You do see how it looks don't you?

let the voters have their say
regards
DR

 

[Triggaaar]

http://www.salisburylabourparty.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/GDP-2008-9.gif

Like I thought, those figures don't support your point. Obviously he could have said that growth for that one quarter, up to the election, was marginally higher than the growth that we had at the last quarter, but growth isn't supposed to be looked at in single quarters, and growth over the last year is higher than it was for the year before the last election. If Ed had done as you'd suggested, he'd have been made to look silly, which is why he didn't say it.

 

[jimbob5]

so many people with Crystal balls on this thread .............Mystic Meg
regards
DR[/QUOTE Just can't see Ed getting a majority or even being the biggest single party. Can't see Dave getting many more or less seats than last time. Lib Dems will certainly get less than last time but still hold circa 30 or so. SNP will be too dangerous to get into bed with.

 

[Machiavelli]

You are right and I think those Ukip supporters in the marginals will vote Tory. I can not see ukip winning any seats. Leaving the Tories with a slim majority.

The problem with this is ukip's support has thus far proved remarkably stubborn

 

[jimbob5]

The problem with this is ukip's support has thus far proved remarkably stubborn

but will only get 4 or 5 seats in the first past the post system

 

[Kuipers Supporters Club]

UKIP will not get anywhere in the election, their support will move back to the Tories. This has 92 written all over it. Come Friday morning the Tories will have a majority, it may be slim but they will be back in power. As for UKIP they will be seatless.

I point you to Douglas Carswell - they will not be seat less. 10000000% he will win there.

They are also ahead in Thurrock and South Thanet. - Not saying these are nailed on - but you are wrong.

 

[Machiavelli]

but will only get 4 or 5 seats in the first past the post system

I'd go with a range of 2-4

 

[Stumpy Tim]

I point you to Douglas Carswell - they will not be seat less. 10000000% he will win there.

They are also ahead in Thurrock and South Thanet. - Not saying these are nailed on - but you are wrong.

I thought they were now trailing in South Thanet?

 

[Simster]

You are right and I think those Ukip supporters in the marginals will vote Tory. I can not see ukip winning any seats. Leaving the Tories with a slim majority.

They absolutely are nailed on for Calcton:
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/clacton/winning-party

They are ahead in Thurrock:
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/thurrock/winning-party

...and South Thanet:
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/thanet-south/winning-party


The spread for total UKIP seats is 2.5, so probably 3 or 4, maybe 1 or 5:
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/total-seats-ukip

 

[NooBHA]

You know with all these debates going on just before the actual voting day.

Supposing you had already postally voted and then someone came out with something that made you want to alter your vote. I know you wouldn't be allowed to alter your vote for administrative reasons because the votes are not yet opened but legally would you have a right to have it discarded ? probably not ?

 

[pb21]

i chose it over new ones as its from the Labour mouthpiece new statesmen.... heres something from last month!

https://www.politicshome.com/party-politics/articles/story/lib-dems-would-be-nuts-flag-eu-vote-red-line-david-laws

This is pretty much the point I was making:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...dum-a-red-line-says-top-lib-dem-10217599.html

 

[Steve.S]

Like I thought, those figures don't support your point. Obviously he could have said that growth for that one quarter, up to the election, was marginally higher than the growth that we had at the last quarter, but growth isn't supposed to be looked at in single quarters, and growth over the last year is higher than it was for the year before the last election. If Ed had done as you'd suggested, he'd have been made to look silly, which is why he didn't say it.

Growth was going up and still growing after the election. Take a look at the chart, it's going down. Ed could have argued growth was steadily growing, what can the Tories offer after 5 years, growth is slowing and is the lower then when they took office.

 

[BLOCK F]

And more children living in poverty than ever before.
People queuing up at food banks because they have to make a decision whether to heat the house or feed the kids.
Still, as long as you get to Birmingham 20 minutes faster on your multi billion HS2.

What a load of emotive tosh.
I wonder how old you are.Can you remember the 1950's and indeed the early 60's.Lot more REAL poverty around then,you can be sure of that.