sten_super
Brain Surgeon
Given that the 50p rate didn't bring in anything like what was hoped for and the evidence put forward indicates that move revenue would be generated at 45p, it's clearly the correct route to go down yes?
My understanding is that this isn't the case (although I may be wrong - I've not studied the detail yet). My reading is that the 50p tax rate increased a given direct taxation measure by approximately £1bn (much less than was envisaged by Labour when it was introduced). Osbourne has said that cutting that rate to 45p would only cost £100m (i.e. it would bring in £900m rather than the £1bn measured under the 50p rate). I'd assume then that his argument is that it will have other (positive) impacts on taxation that aren't under the remit of the initial study - i.e. it will encourage business investment (as firms will know that they will be able to hire workers at a supposedly lower rate given the lower tax rate) - which will outweigh this direct £100m cost.
I notice that they've announced a 'consultation' on merging income tax and national insurance - no commitment to anything though.