beorhthelm
A. Virgo, Football Genius
- Jul 21, 2003
- 36,018
The "no deal" / "hard border" scenario that never really gets mentioned due to the horrendous side effects really should be mentioned, due to the horrendous side effects
The UK privatised its national grids for power and gas as is well known. The NI electric one was bought by the Irish government for strategic reasons - there is an entire lump of ROI to the north and west of NI; and the vast bulk of the gas network was built by the Irish government as a commercial endeavour as only a small area of Belfast actually had gas. But they aren't held through UK firms, they're operated from Dublin with zero UK company even existing thanks to the single market.
In a "no deal" scenario, Irish firms would not be able to sell energy to NI. Every consumer supply firm in NI requires that ROI operated grid to supply power, so effectively NI would be thrown back to the 19th century, no power no gas. It would take time to arrange operating companies to allow
The DUP really do want it to be 1690 but even then they probably expected electric light!
Had everything gone to plan in the last days of the Brown government, NI Water was to be sold also; likely buyer again was obvious. Probably for the best it never happened.
Obviously a fudge on humanitarian grounds would be found, rapidly, but it would stop it being a "hard brexit" by virtue of doing so. Its effectively impossible.
this is what i hate about brexit, people creating mythical problems - not you, you're just taken in. single market only facilitates the original setup of such an arrangment, leaving it does not mean the Irish and NI cannot trade anymore. trade in goods and services existed before the EU and will continue after. dont take my word for it, EU member have large reliance on gas from Russia, sole supplier for some nations on their borders and even for Germany its a third of their supply. if gas can flow freely from Russia to Germany, why is there any problem for electricity from Ireland to NI?