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Borough run in permutations



tafkaDG

New member
Apr 27, 2016
2
In the light of the Argus article yesterday about different start times I knocked up a table summarising what some pretty likely outcomes from Friday & Monday might mean for our target on the final day. It is a big advantage to us that Boro play first. For instance if (please God) Boro were to lose by 2 goals at Birmingham, CH would know that a 2 goal margin of victory for us over Derby would be well worth playing for, but a 3 goal margin was unnecessary.
Can anyone let me know how to insert a small spreadsheet?
 




Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,318
Back in Sussex
In the light of the Argus article yesterday about different start times I knocked up a table summarising what some pretty likely outcomes from Friday & Monday might mean for our target on the final day. It is a big advantage to us that Boro play first. For instance if (please God) Boro were to lose by 2 goals at Birmingham, CH would know that a 2 goal margin of victory for us over Derby would be well worth playing for, but a 3 goal margin was unnecessary.
Can anyone let me know how to insert a small spreadsheet?

Best bet is to take a screen cap of the bit of the spreadsheet you want to use, and then upload as an image.

Or email it to me: bozza @ northstandchat.com and I'll do it.
 






peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,286
Even if we lose to derby by 1 goal and boro win by 1 goal (-4 goal difference) it's not impossible, we'd need 2 goals diff against boro as each goal we score against them is +1 for us and -1 for them, effectively double. We've scored more than them.
 






Notters

Well-known member
Oct 20, 2003
24,896
Guiseley
Big advantage? I think not. Very very very slight advantage? Maybe, maybe not.

It's Derby who will have a say in how many goals we score on Monday, not Middlesbrough.
 


pasty

A different kind of pasty
Jul 5, 2003
31,041
West, West, West Sussex
Straight out of "The School of Stating the Bleedin' Obvious" but the fewer goals we need to score at Boro the better. They have only conceded 7 goals at home ALL SEASON :eek:
 




peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,286
Straight out of "The School of Stating the Bleedin' Obvious" but the fewer goals we need to score at Boro the better. They have only conceded 7 goals at home ALL SEASON :eek:

very true but pressure can do strange things..... and at home, 1 game from PL, its a cup final. All that went before is out the window
 


Audax

Boing boing boing...
Aug 3, 2015
3,269
Uckfield
Straight out of "The School of Stating the Bleedin' Obvious" but the fewer goals we need to score at Boro the better. They have only conceded 7 goals at home ALL SEASON :eek:

You saying they're due a shellacking then? :)
 


Nathan

Well-known member
Jan 8, 2010
3,789
Straight out of "The School of Stating the Bleedin' Obvious" but the fewer goals we need to score at Boro the better. They have only conceded 7 goals at home ALL SEASON :eek:

They haven't played anyone decent yet. :whistle:
 






Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,318
Back in Sussex
Here it is...

permutations.png
 






perseus

Broad Blue & White stripe
Jul 5, 2003
23,461
Sūþseaxna
Prediction League for the next five fixtures? Not my prerogative.
 


Bob!

Coffee Buyer
Jul 5, 2003
11,639
In the light of the Argus article yesterday about different start times I knocked up a table summarising what some pretty likely outcomes from Friday & Monday might mean for our target on the final day. It is a big advantage to us that Boro play first. For instance if (please God) Boro were to lose by 2 goals at Birmingham, CH would know that a 2 goal margin of victory for us over Derby would be well worth playing for, but a 3 goal margin was unnecessary.
Can anyone let me know how to insert a small spreadsheet?

Nah, just wait 'til Monday evening.
We'll all know what's needed then.
 




Notters

Well-known member
Oct 20, 2003
24,896
Guiseley
Boro will have 3 days more rest & preparation than our players before the big game. I think that outweighs any advantage of knowing their result first.

Again though, it's pure speculation what impact this will have - they also have three days more worrying about it.

It does seem somewhat unfair though, given that we also have to spend one of those days travelling up there - so they really have four more days.
 




DTES

Well-known member
Jul 7, 2003
6,022
London
It does seem somewhat unfair though, given that we also have to spend one of those days travelling up there - so they really have four more days.

Surely Tony will fly the squad up on the Friday evening? Quick drive from Lancing to Shoreham, 1 hour (ish?) in the air and a short drive at the other end?

it's pure speculation what impact this will have - they also have three days more worrying about it.

This is true.
 


Baldseagull

Well-known member
Jan 26, 2012
11,839
Crawley
Whatever the result on Friday, we will be trying to put as many past Derby as we can, whilst conceding none.
 


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