Bolton Wanderers v Brighton & Hove Albion- Championship 28.02.15 **Official Match Thread**

[glasfryn]

Abion 2-1 Bolton
nice and early .......................I like

 

[BensGrandad]

I would happily settle for 0-0 but would obviously prefer a 1-0 win for us.

 

[JOLovegrove]

Macron Stadium


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Bolton seem to have a good home record. But how much of this is due to Lonergan and Bogdan with 60 saves a on their home ground this season? cf. Albion fans have only seen 30 saves by Stockdale and Walton at the Amex.

Liverpool struggled to beat Bolton there. Only Derby 0-2 have won by more than single goal so any hopes of going immediately into a plus goal difference seems unlikely. Currently -4. A repeat of last season would be good, but the goalscorer is no longer with us! One quick right footer and the second with left foot, with Tomasz Kuszczak having a busy afternoon.

Brighton have conceded only 12 goals in their 17 league away games - the fewest in the Championship. And 3 were in the first 20 minutes against Derby (beginning of December, last time we conceded an away goal from open play). Otherwise it would be 9 goals in 16 matches. So form says Bolton have only a 56.25% chance of scoring. But that will not stop them expecting to score, will it?

Or since Hyypia left we have only conceded one goal in six away games so that is a 16.6% chance of them scoring. That goal was the win assisted free kick against Blackpool. 0% form stats from a goal from open play conceded (current form: last six away games).

Where did you get that from? Derby 3, Bournemouth 3, Norwich 3, Brentford 3? Plus all the others?

 

[perseus]

Where did you get that from? Derby 3, Bournemouth 3, Norwich 3, Brentford 3? Plus all the others?

Oops! it was wrong. |I thought I got it from the BBC web page ?

http://www.football-league.co.uk/sky-bet-championship/league-table/

That is Middlesbrough.

The pertinent stat is that we have only scored 15 which is still bad and not getting any better.

0-0 must be a par form result.

 

[PILTDOWN MAN]

Essential stats and teams and predictions:

http://www.whoscored.com/Matches/830373/Preview

Albion shape is wrong on that page.

Last six Albion aways:

0-0 Sheff Wed
0-0 Cardiff
0-1 Blackpool
1-0 Charlton
1-0 Brentford (FA Cup)
2-0 Fulham

Last three games without scoring is not so impressive.

Comparison of the strengths and weaknesses of both sides:

http://www.whoscored.com/Matches/830373/Show/England-Championship-2014-2015-Bolton-Brighton

We beat Brentford 2-0

 

[perseus]

Where did you get that from? Derby 3, Bournemouth 3, Norwich 3, Brentford 3? Plus all the others?

How did I get it so wrong!

It was last season we had the best defence!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/26492784

Sort of confirms that Hyypia let our defence slip.

 

[perseus]

We beat Brentford 2-0

Guilty. No defence from me! A silly mistake.

 

[Everest]

Perseus OUT

 

[perseus]

perseus out

b 0-0

Score Predictor

 

[Eeyore]

Who are the officials?

All done for you, Grandpa.

 

[HantsSeagull]

Once we scored the second goal , the stadium emptied very quickly and the home fans to our right displayed the "Freedman Out" banners.

i seem to remember that was pretty much the last time Buckley played well for us

 

[Eeyore]

We beat Brentford 2-0

What if we could transfer goals from one match to another ? I wonder how far we could push ourselves up the table.

 

[severnside gull]

Less than an hour before the teams are announced. No changes or Best for CMS?

 

[SweatyMexican]

Less than an hour before the teams are announced. No changes or Best for CMS?

I thought CMS played really well last week. But it really depends on what type of defence Bolton play, are they susceptible to the long ball or to runs in the channels like Leeds were?

 

[perseus]

I thought CMS played really well last week. But it really depends on what type of defence Bolton play, are they susceptible to the long ball or to runs in the channels like Leeds were?

Bolton team and styles @ http://www.whoscored.com/Teams/92

They may not play pushing too far forward with a high line and get caught for four goals again. It looked like they played more of a 4-4-2 against Liverpool, later 4-4-1. If they do play a high line, the faster forwards the better and this means CMS over Leon Best. I would prefer that anyway as I don't think Best is any better than CMS at shooting.

Lualua for Best or CMS is something I would consider.

PS: Bolton have spent 13 seasons in the Premier League
http://www.statto.com/football/teams/bolton-wanderers/2006-2007

 

[spence]

Would be happy with another away point.

 

[portslade seagull]

After 2 good home wins a draw wouldn't be at all bad

 

[Eeyore]

After 2 good home wins a draw wouldn't be at all bad

Away draws are fine if they maintain home form.

 

[brakespear]

BHAFC ‏@OfficialBHAFC 6s7 seconds ago

#BHAFC v #BWFC: Stockdale, Bruno, Greer, Dunk, Bennett; Ince, Kayal, Teixeira; Calderon, Mackail-Smith, Baldock. #BWFCvBHA

 

[brakespear]

BHAFC ‏@OfficialBHAFC 15s16 seconds ago

#BHAFC subs v Bolton: Walton (GK), Hughes, Stephens, Ledesma, LuaLua, O'Grady, Best.