9 wins from 20 games

[Harry Wilson's tackle]

The way I see it 2 points per game all but guarantees promotion. We are ahead of that so all good, so are Newcastle. But Leeds & Reading are not far off that, 4 points each. If they were to each win their next 4 games they too would be on 2 points per game. Unlikely perhaps but should either of them catch up to 2 points per game then 3rd place could have 90+ points. So at least 12 wins from last 20 will do it for me.

BTW I can't see Reading getting close to 2 ppg so that just leaves Leeds.

https://www.footballpools.com/pool-games/classic-pools

A string of no score draws would be seriously tedious to watch, though . . . .

 

[Albumen]

The bottom 5-7 teams are harder to play towards the end of the season. Cardiff are shit and we only beat them 1-0 over 180 minutes.

 

[Shoreham Beach Seagull]

Look at the table.
We still have to play the bottom 7 teams

Against the bottom third this season we have played 8 won 8. Just to make us feel even better about that

 

[Triggaaar]

10 wins and 3 draws. I think the bar is gonna be really high this season IMO

I'm not so sure.

Table at this stage last season:

Middles 27 17 4 6 37 14 +23 55
Hull City 27 16 5 6 44 18 +26 53
Derby 27 13 10 4 38 21 +17 49
Burnley 27 13 9 5 42 24 +18 48
Brighton 27 12 11 4 32 27 +5 47
Sheffield 27 12 9 6 41 30 +11 45
Ipswich T 27 12 9 6 37 32 +5 45
Birmingha 27 12 7 8 34 28 +6 43

 

[Machiavelli]

Hmmm so what you're saying is:-

The higher up in the division team A is, at halfway.
The more teams it has to play from lower in the division.


Have you thought about getting these findings published?

1 chicken
2 chickens.

No. What I'd say is that if we're in the top half, we can play 11 other teams from the top half, and 12 from the bottom half. What I said in that post is that we still have to play 12 teams from the bottom 13, which is not bad when ten more wins will get us over the line.
Just to help you out, this means we need to play 7 from the top 11.

 

[Triggaaar]

So at least 12 wins from last 20 will do it for me.

So from the remaining 19, that's 11 wins and 8 losses, putting us on 93. A bit unrealistic to think we won't draw any.
10 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses puts us on 94.
9 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses puts us on 92. That should do it (not guaranteed, but reasonably realistic).

 

[Green Cross Code Man]

But isn't that exactly what we did last season?

True. But there were 4 team's with roughly the same points as us now on February 23! We are a month ahead of last year's 60p points with a huge gap that wasn't there last season.

 

[saafend_seagull]

Just look at burnley and Our points this time last year. 89/90 points are needed. 9 wins, 3 draws, 7 defeats.

 

[Tyrone Biggums]

It's not just the points, even if someone caught us would they have the goal difference we have even after catching us?

We don't leak goals even when playing poorly so keeping a decent enough + goal difference is sustainable.

 

[One Teddy Maybank]

So from the remaining 19, that's 11 wins and 8 losses, putting us on 93. A bit unrealistic to think we won't draw any.
10 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses puts us on 94.
9 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses puts us on 92. That should do it (not guaranteed, but reasonably realistic).

Good points. Reckon 92 will do it.

Would already take a point at Huddersfield and Leeds, and certainly would not want to go to Villa on the last day needing a point!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[banjo]

A lot of ifs and but's. but...... can I be positive yet.

 

[Dawn Korus]

Draws against Leeds, Huddersfield and Reading would be a better result for us than them, if they really want to catch us they have to beat us.

 

[Triggaaar]

A lot of ifs and but's. but...... can I be positive yet.

I think you can start to discount relegation, which has to be worth a beer.

 

[Mo Gosfield]

I've got us down for 11 wins 5 draws and 3 losses. Thats 98 points. Might just scrape home with that.

 

[TWOCHOICEStom]

I'm not so sure.

Table at this stage last season:

Middles 27 17 4 6 37 14 +23 55
Hull City 27 16 5 6 44 18 +26 53
Derby 27 13 10 4 38 21 +17 49
Burnley 27 13 9 5 42 24 +18 48
Brighton 27 12 11 4 32 27 +5 47
Sheffield 27 12 9 6 41 30 +11 45
Ipswich T 27 12 9 6 37 32 +5 45
Birmingha 27 12 7 8 34 28 +6 43

Oh for **** sake.

 

[Triggaaar]

Oh for **** sake.

Indeed, and they finished on 93. It ain't over yet bitches.

 

[kingcole]

Still sticking with this. That's 7 more required.

I know some think more but add in a couple of draws and it should do

 

[Rogero]

Huddersfidl are the form team. If they win carry on winning we can end up in the play offs.

 

[knocky1]

Still sticking with this. That's 7 more required.

I know some think more but add in a couple of draws and it should do

Hope you're right but Newcastle can keep ahead of that and Huddersfield are on for 9+ wins. http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/huddersfield-town/fixtures
Like the 100-1 price taken on Huddersfield just a week ago.

 

[Sussex Nomad]

Sticking to my W10 D4 L6 with 20 left, we are now at W2 D1 L1