[Albion] 6 % chance of finishing in top 4

[GT49er]

Pretty much where we were at the end of January in 1982 - hoping for better this time round!

Maybe a minority position, but I sort of hope we don't make the CL this season. I'll be very disappointed if we miss out on Europe like we did in '82, but since it would be our first foray into Europe, I think it would be better to cut our teeth in the Europa League - or even the Conference. Being cometitive in one of those - or even winning it - would be a splendid platform to build on (doesn't winning the Europa give you a place in the CL the following season?)

 

[beorhthelm]

Here's the current bet365 odds for a Top 4 finish. They go 6/1 the Albion. Next down the list are Chelsea at 50/1

View attachment 158125

Brentford longer odds, with 4 points and a game in hand over Chelsea. a reminder that betting odds are not rational reflection of probability.

 

[The Grockle]

If we win our games in hand on Tottenham I'd give us a shout IF we can grab some points against our rivals in the top 6.

Personally I still think a top 6 finish will be very, tough.

 

[Swansman]

Pretty much where we were at the end of January in 1982 - hoping for better this time round!

Maybe a minority position, but I sort of hope we don't make the CL this season. I'll be very disappointed if we miss out on Europe like we did in '82, but since it would be our first foray into Europe, I think it would be better to cut our teeth in the Europa League - or even the Conference. Being cometitive in one of those - or even winning it - would be a splendid platform to build on (doesn't winning the Europa give you a place in the CL the following season?)

Europa League does very little in terms of keeping the best players and being able to bring in very good ones. Champions League is an entirely different ball park.
Sure, Brighton would be one of the favorites to win the Europa League and get into CL that way. But if its possible to get it in another way, its massive. Playing in the Champions League provides the sort of status and finances that it becomes not entirely f***ing mad to dream about a PL title one day.

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

Brentford longer odds, with 4 points and a game in hand over Chelsea. a reminder that betting odds are not rational reflection of probability.

On the other hand, I never met a poor bookie

 

[Tyrone Biggums]

 

[Whoislloydy]

There's an awful lot of games left. 6% seems about right.

If its going to happen, results against the other top teams needs to improve. Crushing West Ham, Southampton, Everton etc. takes you quite far but if top 4 is going to be the case the boys need to start getting more points against top 10 opposition.

Man U 1 - 2 Brighton
Liverpool 3 - 3 Brighton
Brighton 4 - 1 Chelsea
Brighton 3 - 0 Liverpool

 

[Triggaaar]

remembering we still have in the remaining fixtures:

United (Home)
City (Home)
Spurs (Away)
Chelsea (Away)
Newcastle (Away)
Arsenal (Away)

Results in these games will help to shape our final league position

That's 18 easy points, how many more do we need?

 

[Swansman]

Man U 1 - 2 Brighton
Liverpool 3 - 3 Brighton
Brighton 4 - 1 Chelsea
Brighton 3 - 0 Liverpool

Yes, good stuff.

But also:
Arsenal - loss
Fulham - 2x loss
Tottenham - loss
Manchester City - loss
Brentford - loss
Newcastle - draw

And loss against the 11th placed team (Villa) and draw against the 12th place team (Palace)

That leaves us with a 3W, 3D, 7L (if I'm counting correctly) record against the top twelve teams. Not the worst numbers in the world but needs to be improved to finish top 4.

 

[Sirnormangall]

6% chance of finishing in the top four seems a remote possibility BUT in context, in ~ 110+ years of our history we had ZERO chance of a top 4 finish in the top division.

 

[Moshe Gariani]

Brentford longer odds, with 4 points and a game in hand over Chelsea. a reminder that betting odds are not rational reflection of probability.

Nothing of the sort. Would you like an even money bet that Brentford finish above Chelsea?

 

[Bodian]

Pretty much where we were at the end of January in 1982 - hoping for better this time round!

Maybe a minority position, but I sort of hope we don't make the CL this season. I'll be very disappointed if we miss out on Europe like we did in '82, but since it would be our first foray into Europe, I think it would be better to cut our teeth in the Europa League - or even the Conference. Being cometitive in one of those - or even winning it - would be a splendid platform to build on (doesn't winning the Europa give you a place in the CL the following season?)

Seems weird doesn't it. I'm sure I don't remember this level of anticipation and excitement then.
Maybe our football was less exciting.....

 

[ConfusedGloryHunter]

All this defeatist talk! Are we sure we can't win the league this season? Well, are we?

 

[GT49er]

Pretty much where we were at the end of January in 1982 - hoping for better this time round!

Maybe a minority position, but I sort of hope we don't make thwe CL this season. I'll be very disappointed if we miss out on Europe liike we did in '82, but since it would be our first foray, I think it would be better to cut our teeth in the Europa League - or even the Conference. Being cometitive in one of those - or even winning it - would be a splendid platform to build on (doesn't winning the Europa give you a place in the CL the following season?)

Seems weird doesn't it. I'm sure I don't remember this level of anticipation and excitement then.
Maybe our football was less exciting.....

View attachment 158165

Sadly, that was exactly it. Some fans repeatedly demanded the sacking of Mike Bailey for his negative and boring football. They got their way - the excitingb and dynamic entity that was Jimmy Melia was brought in to replace him. That went well.............


I wonder when the phrase, "be careful what you wish for" was first used?