Yep, those three are all winnable for sure. However, we’ve won 7 out of 31 so far (22.6%); what makes you think we’ll double that win ratio in the next 7 games (if we win 3). Even two wins would represent a 25% improvement.
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[Albion] 33 after 31
- Thread starter Bozza
- Start date
Yep, those three are all winnable for sure. However, we’ve won 7 out of 31 so far (22.6%); what makes you think we’ll double that win ratio in the next 7 games (if we win 3). Even two wins would represent a 25% improvement.
Blue Valkyrie
Not seen such Bravery!
The great news about using this method is that both Fulham and West Brom will only win 1 more game each this season.
The great news about using this method is that both Fulham and West Brom will only win 1 more game each this season.
Quite! The method has some flaws, I concede (!), but if you put any store in past results being any indicator of future results it has some (albeit dubious) merit!
- Jun 27, 2012
- 14,641
One positive sign is that our form in 2021 has stepped up since the first half / 2020 >>
P15 W5 D5 L5 ppg 1.33 - so 9.3 points from remaining 7
2020 form >>
P16 W2 D7 L7 ppg 0.81 - whereas 2020 form indicates 5.67 from remaining 7
Overall season forecast is 7.4points from remaining 7.
How does that compare to last season . . . and dare I ask, the season before ?
ie worst case, we fall to bits, scrape some draws and end up on 36-37 points . . . . obviously barcodes and Fulham would still need 3 wins+
- Jun 27, 2012
- 14,641
See post above.
PS: Our worst ever run of form over 7 games in the premier league was a mere 2 points from 7 games twice during the tail end of Hughton's final season - so if you think thats any yardstick then thats your worst case scenario. Even then we finish on 35 which i think is just enough given our decent GD buffer. .
Game 21-27 - Defeats to Liverpool, Man Utd, Burnley, Fulham, Leicester and points v Watford and West Ham
Game 30-36 - Defeats to Southampton, Chelsea, Bournemouth, Cardiff, Spurs and points v Wolves and Newcastle
- Jun 27, 2012
- 14,641
Thanks for the reminder
I suppose I did ask
I think you've got to assume we're going to pick up some points from somewhere but there's still a decent chance we'd stay up if we lost all 7 ! - although it might be by GD.
Pavilionaire
Well-known member
- Jul 7, 2003
- 31,274
In those previous 3 seasons we've not managed to improve our league position over those remaining 7 games, so finishing in the same place or lower. I think it is important to come away from this season with tangible proof that we have improved, and that means at least 14th place and at least 42 points.
To do that, we have to get more production from our front three - probably upwards of 7 goals between them.
To do that, we have to get more production from our front three - probably upwards of 7 goals between them.
Greg Bobkin
Silver Seagull
- May 22, 2012
- 16,065
Not sure if you've watched/listened to the Super 6 podcast with Lallana, but I thought it was interesting him talking about how he watched games before he signed and thought he could make a difference (which he has). My defence of GP has always been that the team is playing well and creating loads of chances, but has a big issue putting those chances away. Maybe Wellbeck might have a similar impact, if he stayed/signed? Or, if not him, then another striker equivalent of Lallana (not quite sure who).
It's all very well bringing through the youth, but a bit of experience at the highest level is key. Which is, Murray apart (and until Welbeck arrived), what we've been missing up front since we arrived on Planet PL.
