[Politics] 2020 US election - Joe Biden vs Donald Trump

[A1X]

Trump keeps putting out ALL CAPS SHOUTY TWEETS about this. Anyone would think he was getting worried.

 

[Badger]

[TWEET]1324355431653904385[/TWEET]

Biden could send the same tweet, with a single letter removed...

 

[nwgull]

Yeah, I worked it out about 790,000 with Biden needing 62% of the mail ins. How tight is that or what ?

If these are all mail-ins, then Biden will get that percentage comfortably.

 

[Wrong-Direction]

That said Farage does actually win the argument - Trump never said the word 'bleach'.

Are you for real? What is disinfectant? Christ what an absolute moron you are

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[highflyer]

Not sure you got the full memo...

Arizona, Nevada: "Keep counting!"
Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania: "Stop counting!"
Michigan, Wisconsin: "Count again!"

All the chanting synchronicity of the North Stand on match day.

 

[Hampden Park]

Are you for real? What is disinfectant? Christ what an absolute moron you are

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Is that you Piers?

 

[nwgull]

Just took a peek at Michigan where a day or so ago we were wondering if Biden could overhaul Trump.

He's now 150k in front.

I'm surprised that hasn't been highlighted more, as it removes Trump's right to demand a recount.

 

[Nibbler]

Are you for real? What is disinfectant? Christ what an absolute moron you are

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Calm down, I think you are missing the point

 

[AZ Gull]

You may remember that it rained for much of the week I spent in Phoenix and it never got warm enough to use the open-air pool at my hotel!

It feels like that was actually the last time we got rain!

 

[Grombleton]

I'm surprised that hasn't been highlighted more, as it removes Trump's right to demand a recount.

Is it Michigan he wants a recount, or is it only Wisconsin he does?

I mean to be fair, the insane ******* will probably want one everywhere in due course...

 

[Official Old Man]

Why is it taking so long to count the votes?
Although a classic 'one job' incident on a TV channel Tuesday. Going backstage at the count they showed the two counting machines purchased just for this vote. Man showing off said machines meekly said 'right now we're working at half speed as one machine isn't working'. One Job!

 

[peterward]

CNN just quantified that at just over 700,000.

Trump's lead 136,000.

Yeah, also said 120k in Phillidelphia and they're breaking about 85% Biden, so Philli should be a 90,000 net votes gain, leaving Tango man about 50k up with 580k votes left to count.

Looking good, but would really like Georgia to tip just enough too. Leave no margin for error and no one state that Trump could try to use in a 6-3 republican supreme court to try and overturn.

 

[A1X]

Why is it taking so long to count the votes?
Although a classic 'one job' incident on a TV channel Tuesday. Going backstage at the count they showed the two counting machines purchased just for this vote. Man showing off said machines meekly said 'right now we're working at half speed as one machine isn't working'. One Job!

In many of the states they wanted to start counting the mail-in votes earlier, but the Republican-controlled courts prevented them from doing so. Had they done so they'd all likely have declared yesterday.

 

[Bozza]

50k left to count in Georgia according to a report on CNN just now. It’s going to be very tight.

A report from PA only detailed 168k left but that didn’t seem to be exhaustive.

Regardless might be betting value at current Betfair odds on Trump on both of these states.

Biden in Georgia odds on a fair old drift now.

 

[Change at Barnham]

Biden in Georgia odds on a fair old drift now.

What does that mean in English?
Are you saying the odds on Biden winning Georgia are shortening?

 

[nicko31]

What does that mean in English?
Are you saying the odds on Biden winning Georgia are shortening?

Bit longer think that means.



Also keep in mind absentee ballots are likely to be bluer than how the counties vote overall, looks a possibility

 

[Lenny Rider]

With a Biden victory could the final twist be that once in the White House various Trump misdemeanours come to light and he ends up with criminal charges?

Or as an ex POTUS does he qualify for some kind of immunity?

 

[Bozza]

What does that mean in English?
Are you saying the odds on Biden winning Georgia are shortening?

It means the betting market thinks he's less likely to win Georgia than he was. He is still favourite however.

Bit longer think that means.

View attachment 130141

Also keep in mind absentee ballots are likely to be bluer than how the counties vote overall, looks a possibility

Good table, but I'm struggling to understand the meaning of the lean rating.

 

[knocky1]

 

[nicko31]

It means the betting market thinks he's less likely to win Georgia than he was. He is still favourite however.



Good table, but I'm struggling to understand the meaning of the lean rating.

Think a lean of 20 would be 60/40, Biden needs a bit more but there is the postal "skew" factor