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[Politics] 2020 US election - Joe Biden vs Donald Trump

Who's going to win?

  • Calling it for Trump

    Votes: 78 30.2%
  • Calling it for Biden

    Votes: 180 69.8%

  • Total voters
    258
  • Poll closed .






The Antikythera Mechanism

The oldest known computer
NSC Patron
Aug 7, 2003
8,073
The fact that these two are contesting the election doesn’t say a great deal about the quality of American politics. One senile and the other certifiable.
 


WATFORD zero

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 10, 2003
27,701
I'm thinking of staying up for a late nighter (superbowl style) but Mrs Wz is at the gym, I'm onto my second glass of Malbec and dinner's only just gone into the oven. Rather like the superbowl and election it could be a close run thing, or it's more likely to be over very early :drink:
 


Eeyore

Colonel Hee-Haw of Queen's Park
NSC Patron
Apr 5, 2014
25,845


Stato

Well-known member
Dec 21, 2011
7,351
Well it's an interesting discussion and on some of that (but not all of it - No platforming/curtailing freedom of speech for example, is authoritarian) I agree and it's not contrary to what I said, but I'm glad you acknowledge my central point, which wasn't that the left are fascists by the way, but that Trump isn't one.

"You would be hard pushed to find many on the left in America who believe in the pre-eminence of the USA as a state, over the good of the people who live there" - When you put it like that, sure. But when you put it another way, "You would be hard pushed to find many on the left in America who believe that group identity and group interests are more important than the identity or interests of the individual", I think you would find that that's modern leftist politics in a nutshell.

The left are consistently labelled as being overly-concerned with defining individuals as just being part of an identifiable group. Obviously individuals don't want to be defined by just one of their characteristics or traits. It feels dehumanising. The problem for the left is that the Marxist analysis of capitalism is a macro one and we live in a micro era. The analysis requires language that makes broad generalisations even if its intent is the betterment of all individuals.

For me, Marx was right in a lot of his analysis of the failings of capitalism and in identifying the winners and losers. He was wrong in trying to produce predictions of how the fundamental flaws in the system would be resolved. All political predictions based on economic models seem to be equally wrong, ignoring as they do, the fact that economics is but one of many drivers for the multitude of actors who create the future.

The right seems to have found ways to better appeal to the emotional, rather than analytical side of the brain. This seems effective, because the human brain tends to favour rationalising intuitive decisions to changing them upon challenge. It also doesn't help that the critique provided by the left is often telling people that they have more than they perceive themselves as having and asking that they give up power/status/money/privilege to benefit others. The challenge is made even greater by the separation of economic and political power that has accompanied the establishment of the capitalist hegemony (Sorry, I just couldn't avoid the word). This latter historical concept goes some way to explaining how the current crisis in capitalist democracies has arisen and how Trump's election was a symptom of the problem. It's explained far better by Yanis Varoufakis in the first part of this lecture:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIIgJq27HHA&pbjreload=101
 




dingodan

New member
Feb 16, 2011
10,080
[tweet]1323665756702363648[/tweet]
 


Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
62,612
The Fatherland
I'm thinking of staying up for a late nighter (superbowl style) but Mrs Wz is at the gym, I'm onto my second glass of Malbec and dinner's only just gone into the oven. Rather like the superbowl and election it could be a close run thing, or it's more likely to be over very early :drink:

When are the first results of the battle ground states due in? Is it worth staying up?, or maybe getting up early?
 


LlcoolJ

Mama said knock you out.
Oct 14, 2009
12,982
Sheffield
When are the first results of the battle ground states due in? Is it worth staying up?, or maybe getting up early?
Supposed to be about 11 so worth staying up for, but who knows.

Might end up with a Larry the cat style situation.
 






Sorrel

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
2,939
Back in East Sussex
I think it will be a very solid win for Biden, possibly approaching landslide proportions. That's what the polls say and they are very much clearer than four years ago, while there is also a lot of people determined to vote when they often don't - especially in the younger demographic.

Trump was really a huge effort at trolling liberal America that was incredibly successful, but like most joke candidates the fun (if it was fun) has worn off after four years - making this election not at all about policies but instead about personality - and only about one of them.

The next presidential election in the US will be much more interesting as there is more likely to be some policy debate.
 


Eeyore

Colonel Hee-Haw of Queen's Park
NSC Patron
Apr 5, 2014
25,845
The left are consistently labelled as being overly-concerned with defining individuals as just being part of an identifiable group. Obviously individuals don't want to be defined by just one of their characteristics or traits. It feels dehumanising. The problem for the left is that the Marxist analysis of capitalism is a macro one and we live in a micro era. The analysis requires language that makes broad generalisations even if its intent is the betterment of all individuals.

For me, Marx was right in a lot of his analysis of the failings of capitalism and in identifying the winners and losers. He was wrong in trying to produce predictions of how the fundamental flaws in the system would be resolved. All political predictions based on economic models seem to be equally wrong, ignoring as they do, the fact that economics is but one of many drivers for the multitude of actors who create the future.

The right seems to have found ways to better appeal to the emotional, rather than analytical side of the brain. This seems effective, because the human brain tends to favour rationalising intuitive decisions to changing them upon challenge. It also doesn't help that the critique provided by the left is often telling people that they have more than they perceive themselves as having and asking that they give up power/status/money/privilege to benefit others. The challenge is made even greater by the separation of economic and political power that has accompanied the establishment of the capitalist hegemony (Sorry, I just couldn't avoid the word). This latter historical concept goes some way to explaining how the current crisis in capitalist democracies has arisen and how Trump's election was a symptom of the problem. It's explained far better by Yanis Varoufakis in the first part of this lecture:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CIIgJq27HHA&pbjreload=101

Can't beat a bit of Yanis. 'Adults in the room' is a brilliant read.

He explains progressive socialism well. It's always a subject of frustration to me how I encounter folk (even in NSC) who have little or no understanding of socialism. They rally against it yet fail to understand how it underlays the fabric of our system of governance.

Is the NHS not a socialist concept ? The welfare state ? There is so much. Yet these people will complain when the support they need isn't available.

If it wasn't for socialist ideology then one of the loudest right-wingers in NSC would be pretty destitute.
 




Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,185
Withdean area
I'm thinking of staying up for a late nighter (superbowl style) but Mrs Wz is at the gym, I'm onto my second glass of Malbec and dinner's only just gone into the oven. Rather like the superbowl and election it could be a close run thing, or it's more likely to be over very early :drink:

Don’t think I’ve done an all nighter for a US election before, but I do for all UK general elections (even when I was at secondary school). But I will for this one.

By all accounts, the earliest possible indications of anything would be 4am GMT. So going against my natural night owl body clock, I’m going to try to go to sleep at a decent time, setting the alarm for 4.

I’m well aware that due to the complexities of the Electoral College and the vastness of the size of some states, it may be a day or two before we really know. Even then the bungling orange cnt won’t accept defeat if he’s being kicked out of the WH.
 


Kalimantan Gull

Well-known member
Aug 13, 2003
13,429
Central Borneo / the Lizard

Party registration does not tell the result. Republicans need to be ahead in registration numbers in Florida because the sizeable unaffiliated vote leans democrat and the Dems get more crossover votes than Rs. They need to be about 400k votes ahead of Dems to win but we're only up about 100k at lunchtime, and that's without Miami-Dade and other large Dem leaning counties reporting their numbers.
 


RandyWanger

Je suis rôti de boeuf
Mar 14, 2013
6,691
Done a Frexit, now in London
Just got off the phone to my colleague in Queens, he said they're prepared for civil unrest whatever the outcome, the national guard are fully expecting riots either way. Crazy times. Hope Biden wins it, think Trump might.
 






FamilyGuy

Well-known member
Jul 8, 2003
2,505
Crawley


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,185
Withdean area
Party registration does not tell the result. Republicans need to be ahead in registration numbers in Florida because the sizeable unaffiliated vote leans democrat and the Dems get more crossover votes than Rs. They need to be about 400k votes ahead of Dems to win but we're only up about 100k at lunchtime, and that's without Miami-Dade and other large Dem leaning counties reporting their numbers.

Trump could well win Florida, but lose. Much loyalty to GOP from ex Cubans.

There are several swing states, where things have looked grave for Trump for some time now. At the same time, GOP senators are worried their number’s up.
 


WATFORD zero

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 10, 2003
27,701
Don’t think I’ve done an all nighter for a US election before, but I do for all UK general elections (even when I was at secondary school). But I will for this one.

By all accounts, the earliest possible indications of anything would be 4am GMT. So going against my natural night owl body clock, I’m going to try to go to sleep at a decent time, setting the alarm for 4.

I’m well aware that due to the complexities of the Electoral College and the vastness of the size of some states, it may be a day or two before we really know. Even then the bungling orange cnt won’t accept defeat if he’s being kicked out of the WH.

I'm glad that someone here has an idea of what happens at what time. I will keep watching, with no idea of what's happening when, until the Malbec or the old age gets me :wink:
 






father_and_son

Well-known member
Jan 23, 2012
4,650
Under the Police Box
Those of you who are planning to stay up late for some/all of it - what coverage are you watching?

I quite like watching the American programming for this - horrible glitzy logos and big primary colours everywhere. I want something centre-left (by US standards...) - recommendations?

I find an hour of CNN streams followed by 15 mins of Fox balances out to something reasonable.
 


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