[Politics] 2020 US election - Joe Biden vs Donald Trump

[bhafc99]

Wow have a work teams meeting come back and Trump is out to 4.5 v 1.28 now (4.5 is the same as a Burnley win on Friday night to put into context)

We've already won the Burnley game – I called it earlier this morning to stop them stealing it from us. 3-1: Bissouma, Webster and Trossard.

 

[theroyal]

If Trump does lose, he can't just "go to the Supreme Court" - he actually needs a case.

 

[beorhthelm]

Is it likely that they'll have a blue Pres and a red Senate then?

blue Pres, lue representatives, red senate. markets like this as it means less likely to have campaign against big tech firms, and likely to have large fiscal stimulus.

 

[sparkie]

If Trump does lose, he can't just "go to the Supreme Court" - he actually needs a case.

And everyone knows which 1 or 2 NSC posters will be backing that case to the hilt with post after post.... while claiming not to support Trump lol.

 

[SockMonster]

What's the latest betting now?

Narrowed a little. Still have Biden as odds on but Trump coming in.

 

[Weststander]

Is Arizona back in play?

Associated Press have called it decided for Biden.

 

[Mellotron]

If Trump does lose, he can't just "go to the Supreme Court" - he actually needs a case.

“You can’t just say I declare bankruptcy. That’s not how it works.”

“I didn’t say it. I declared it.”

 

[Weststander]

What's the latest betting now?

For a two horse race, a chasm in odds - decimal 1.33 versus 4.0

 

[bhafc99]

That's correct, plus Georgia is still in play with a lot of urban postals to count

Georgia was looking more hopeful a few hours ago, but I'm not so sure now.

The gap that Biden has to make up is pretty daunting – he's 102,823 votes behind with 301,000 left to count.

So, yes, while what's left to come in is probably more Democratic than Republican, he needs 67.1% of it – basically two thirds of all remaining votes.

That one's probably drifting out of reach, sadly.

But still hopeful he will do in enough of the other states to get over 270.

It just could be a while yet....

 

[dingodan]

Associated Press have called it decided for Biden.

Strange that because Biden had a 200k lead at 73% counted, and now has a <100k lead at 83% counted.

 

[Weststander]

Georgia was looking more hopeful a few hours ago, but I'm not so sure now.

The gap that Biden has to make up is pretty daunting – he's 102,823 votes behind with 301,000 left to count.

So, yes, while what's left to come in is probably more Democratic than Republican, he needs 67.1% of it – basically two thirds of all remaining votes.

That one's probably drifting out of reach, sadly.

But still hopeful he will do in enough of the other states to get over 270.

It just could be a while yet....

Florida, Georgia and North Carolina are Republican, it was a dream/aspiration that they'd go Biden in a landslide win.

The northern swing states will decide this, with the bonus win of Arizona.

 

[Ethelwulf]

Why on earth are Trumps odds coming down again !!! now getting close to 3.5/1 was nearly out to 5 ! Confussed.com

 

[CHAPPERS]

Worth checking the betting by state on Betfair, which currently has Biden favourite in Arizona (1.06), Michigan (1.32), Nevada (1.1), Pennsylvania (1.65) and Wisconsin (1.11). Georgia he is 2.12.

 

[:J)]

Why the discrepancy between the BBC and other websites about the results so far?

 

[KeithDublin]

Why the discrepancy between the BBC and other websites about the results so far?

View attachment 130103

View attachment 130104

It depends if they use the A.P or the other news source, whose name escapes me

 

[highflyer]

Strange that because Biden had a 200k lead at 73% counted, and now has a <100k lead at 83% counted.

Not sure why Arizona's been called at this stage, does seem premature, but there seems to be a fair amount of certainty about it.

Georgia looks like it's sure to go Republican...until you realise that nearly all the remaining 300,000 votes (of which Biden needs to win 200,000) are in places where the Democrats routinely win 70% to 80% of votes. So...closer than it looks (but still likely republican one imagines

 

[Is it PotG?]

Looks like the Senate result will be pretty important.

Even when Biden defeats Trump, he will be unable to pass legislation on key issues such as healthcare, immigration and climate change unless the Democrats simultaneously seize the Senate, where the Republicans held a 47-53 majority.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/nov/03/us-senate-elections-the-key-races-that-will-determine-power-in-washington

 

[Weststander]

Worth checking the betting by state on Betfair, which currently has Biden favourite in Arizona (1.06), Michigan (1.32), Nevada (1.1), Pennsylvania (1.65) and Wisconsin (1.11). Georgia he is 2.12.

Arizona and Nevada are bonuses.

Say Penn went Trump, but Michigan and Wisconsin go Biden, who wins?

 

[Gazwag]

There goes Michigan Blue, its Wayne County again

 

[beorhthelm]

Arizona and Nevada are bonuses.

Say Penn went Trump, but Michigan and Wisconsin go Biden, who wins?

bookies?