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[Politics] 2020 US election - Joe Biden vs Donald Trump

Who's going to win?

  • Calling it for Trump

    Votes: 78 30.2%
  • Calling it for Biden

    Votes: 180 69.8%

  • Total voters
    258
  • Poll closed .


Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,231
Back in Sussex
All I'd say is the sentiment feels there is huge value on Biden now, at around 2/1.

I wouldn't touch it right now though!
 




Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,201
Withdean area
Trump getting shorter and shorter on betfair, Biden drifting, what the hell are they basing that on? must be some complex algorithm not available to the TV pollsters?

Edit: just seen your explanation Weststander. Cheers

It’s only my opinion, and I like Betfair (use it all the time), but I can only see that it’s based on Florida.

Can’t see how ‘savvy big rollers’ know more than an army of political scientists and analysts across the TV stations, about votes not counted.
 


dingodan

New member
Feb 16, 2011
10,080
North Carolina

83% counted

BIDEN 50.1%
2,407,179

TRUMP 48.7%
2,338,388

Remaining votes in NC are all election day votes which Trump would be expected to do better in, so I think NC is probably safe for Trump.

Might all come down to Pennsylvania.
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,201
Withdean area
All I'd say is the sentiment feels there is huge value on Biden now, at around 2/1.

I wouldn't touch it right now though!

Pre today, I was concerned that my stake might be tied up for ages if Trump takes a loss to the courts in states over the next two months, so didn’t bet.

Instead, punting on Congress outcomes.
 






Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,231
Back in Sussex
Fox discussing Virginia now. They are remaining confident on Biden, although they reference "others" that have pulled their call.
 


Eeyore

Colonel Hee-Haw of Queen's Park
NSC Patron
Apr 5, 2014
25,851
Democrats beginning to sound a bit down at the moment.
 






Bozza

You can change this
Helpful Moderator
Jul 4, 2003
57,231
Back in Sussex
Trump's odds still shortening. Now 2/5, give or take, which is shorter than Biden has been all day.
 








Eeyore

Colonel Hee-Haw of Queen's Park
NSC Patron
Apr 5, 2014
25,851
Trump's odds still shortening. Now 2/5, give or take, which is shorter than Biden has been all day.

1/3 in some places.
 


dingodan

New member
Feb 16, 2011
10,080
Ohio, etc etc.

Ohio is a similar story to North Carolina I think.

Trump has closed the gap and the momentum is in his direction. I assume that's also the count going from early voting > election day voting, which trends towards red.

[tweet]1323819850121289728[/tweet]

Texas appears to be in play though which is unusual.
 








dwayne

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
16,252
London
This was so predictable. Whatever the polls say. Do the opposite these days.

Sent from my SM-G977N using Tapatalk
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,201
Withdean area
Ohio is a similar story to North Carolina I think.

Trump has closed the gap and the momentum is in his direction. I assume that's also the count going from early voting > election day voting, which trends towards red.

[tweet]1323819850121289728[/tweet]

Texas appears to be in play though which is unusual.

I see Texas staying Republican, as it has done for 40 years.

But it’s remarkable the improvement from 43% last time for the Democrats. Obviously meaningless under their system, but perhaps a sign for elsewhere?
 










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