Albion Dan
Banned
We had 73 new cases yesterday. A 16% increase. Would suggest we are doing better than trend.
Main Coronavirus / Covid-19 Discussion Thread
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We had 73 new cases yesterday. A 16% increase. Would suggest we are doing better than trend.
People horrified it’s going up? What did you expect?
pb21
Well-known member
- Apr 23, 2010
- 6,687
The current rate of increase does seem to be currently a bit lower here than in the US/France/Germany/Spain, although the latest figures are an increase of 22%.
I wonder if that’s because the measures we are already taking here are more robust than other similar countries, or some other reason, such as climate as others have suggested.
Soylent Blue
Banned
- Mar 13, 2019
- 195
Thats because weve tested over 30,000 people compared to the USA's 5000 for example. Its all about slowing it down so health services dont get swamped by the critical cases as this would make the fatality rate spike.
Ive found this chaps view informative...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K0HYh6zjTUo&list=PLxTGj_LYkLMDxaR9ZRVUofHk0koZbfi8G&index=43
Wow. I wish you were right, but I can't see it.
dingodan
New member
- Feb 16, 2011
- 10,080
I definately recall you playing this situation down only a few days ago, what was it you said?
As for being "sorry to going to insults...but", calling someone a ****ing idiot is completely uncalled for.
Also worth noting that an apology, followed by a conditional (but, or if), is not a sincere apology.
I stand by all of that.
I have never stated people won’t die. For some it’s serious. For the vast, vast majority of us, it’s not. My position has not changed.
Dick Swiveller
Well-known member
- Sep 9, 2011
- 9,526
Good to see this thread going the way of the Brexit ones - people on both extremes trying to convince others of something they will never believe in for some reason. Whilst ironically covering their desks and keyboards in spittle, it would seem.
Always the way and the same on every forum I use. Normally sensible posters at each others throats with extreme opinions where the reality is yet to be known
D
Deleted member 22389
Guest
Just trying to stay positive.
dingodan
New member
- Feb 16, 2011
- 10,080
So if 80% of the population got infected it won't matter, and scientists and medical "bods" are playing this up and acting out of self interest?
You really believe that?
Getting back on track;
NHS still categorising a low-moderate risk.
https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/
NHS still categorising a low-moderate risk.
https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/
That says it has be raise FROM low TO moderate.
Dick Swiveller
Well-known member
- Sep 9, 2011
- 9,526
It is weird the way that can happen in the most banal of sectors. I am into old computers so follow a few people on Twitter. Turns out one guy has been trolling the whole scene for years. Claiming credit for games he was never involved in. Giving positive reviews to his own books and slagging those of other people who wouldn't involve him. Playing people off against each other. Using sock puppet accounts to spread his bile and lies. All over a hobby which is seen by most as on a par with train spotting.
I think due to the risk to the vulnerable sectors of society it should be taken seriously and the threat level assessed by health professionals.
The NHS, made up of health professionals categorises Coronavirus as a moderate risk.
This is one of the most important charts.
It shows in orange histograms the daily official number of cases in the Hubei province: How many people were diagnosed that day.
The grey histograms show the true daily coronavirus cases. Crucially, these weren’t know at the time. We can only figure them out looking backgrounds.
What this means is that the orange histograms show you what authorities knew, and the grey ones what was really happening.
On January 21st, the number of new diagnosed cases (orange) is exploding: there are around 100 new cases. In reality, there were 1,500 new cases that day, growing exponentially. But the authorities didn’t know that. What they knew was that suddenly there were 100 new cases of this new illness.
Two days later, authorities shut down Wuhan. At that point, the number of diagnosed daily new cases was ~400. Note that number: they made a decision to close the city with just 400 new cases in a day. In reality, there were 2,500 new cases that day, but they didn’t know that.
The day after, another 15 cities in Hubei shut down.
Up until Jan 23rd, when Wuhan closes, you can look at the grey graph: it’s growing exponentially. True cases were exploding. As soon as Wuhan shuts down, cases slow down. On Jan 24th, when another 15 cities shut down, the number of true cases (again, grey) grinds to a halt. Two days later, the maximum number of true cases was reached, and it has gone down ever since.
Note that the orange (official) cases were still growing exponentially: For 12 more days, it looked like this thing was still exploding. But it wasn’t. It’s just that the cases were getting stronger symptoms and going to the doctor more, and the system to identify them was stronger.
From: https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca
("But there are only 11 cases in Sussex...." !!!!)
Could well be the endless rain. A long spell of high pressure predicted from Monday though :thud:
Yep. Lots of people are going to get it.
Thanks for your input. Really informative.