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or Daniel Ricciardo?! Rumours emerging that a) RBR are more likely to go with Lawson, which leaves Ricciardo without a seat; and b) Williams are sick of waiting on Sainz. Negotiations apparently underway. This would push Sainz towards Alpine IMO. That in turn leaves Audi in a bind: Do they...

So who do we think is going to put their name in the hat for Tory leader? Most of these won't, but just scanning the remaining names that I recognise and a rough likelihood: Esther McVey? (maybe) David Davis? (doubt it) Robert Jenrick? (he shouldn't, but he's thick enough to try) Victoria...

Yeah, I suspect the Tories will find it much harder to win back the seats they've lost to the Lib Dems. LD's have a chance now to really consolidate their hold, could potentially even target increasing their seats at the next election if they can have a solid run through the next 5 years.

I hope Farage winning a seat will result in people seeing through him over the next 5 years. If that happens, the Reform vote will collapse and go back to Conservative. Starmer needs to lead a very strong government so that the next election they're actually winning a larger vote share, because...

1. Nailed it! (lacked the shy-Tories and a little tactical voting strength across the board to realise the "lower" result, but they were never getting anywhere near 145). 2. The state of that typo ... "their", not "they're", ffs.

Indeed, there were signs of a late closing of the gap in the final day polls. But I also think it's the age-old story with polls: they underestimate right-wing support (historically the "shy tories", but this time I think it's the "shy right wingers"). But also, I think, a little element of...

145 Con feels generous to me. Expecting somewhere 100-125 personally, and if it's outside that range I'm actually expecting it to be lower - I just think they're position in so many seats is weak. Saw a tweet earlier today suggesting that the Tories' own prediction is that they are confident of...

F2 this year is a little odd. They've got new cars, and it appears it has seriously shaken up things around which teams have understood the new car and which ones might be struggling. Bearman's still shown flashes of brilliance (sacrificed pole for his Ferrari chance, for example), but there's...

As has been expected for a long time now, Oliver Bearman has been announced as a 2025 Haas driver. My thoughts on the open seats (Bold is my prediction): Mercedes: Antonelli (or Verstappen, which opens a Red Bull seat and would throw the cat amongst the pigeons) Alpine: Sainz or Doohan or...

There's a site that has aggregated all of the MRP polls that have been run (13 on the site currently). And it has some neat filtering tools that makes it possible to analyse the level of agreement between all of them. So I took a look, and it's interesting. I grabbed the numbers for levels of...

A lot of people said the same about the majority that Boris won in 2019. Look where that ended up. At the end of the day, party unity / disunity is more relevant than the size of the majority. Anyway, the point is: constitutionally the size of the majority is irrelevant. A party with a majority...

Well yes, but as we saw with the recent Tory large majority ... the larger your majority, the larger the individual factions within the party are. If Labour gets divided as badly as the the Tories have been over the last few years, it doesn't matter how big the majority is ... there will always...

That's not how it works in the UK. There is no such thing as a "supermajority", except in a couple of very specific situations (one of which the Tories repealed, which was the Fixed Terms Act that required a two thirds majority to call an early election). Starmer's Labour with what the Tories...

Whose prediction is that one? Sorry - don't instantly recognise which it is... Anyway: I don't personally think the Tories will get fewer than 100 seats (as much as I'd love to see that), and that probaby means both the Lib Dems and Reform not doing as well as this suggests.

Vast majority of the times I've seen her pop up, it's been because she's spouting off some ludicrous already-debunked conspiracy theory as if it was fact. She strikes me as one of those entirely-too-gullible individuals who is incapable of thinking for herself.

(y). Always a difficult one at the level I'm playing at. No dedicated umpires, so things like running on the pitch, full toss no balls (and warnings related to such) can become flashpoints if not careful. Think it was first game of the season our 'keeper was given a warning for collecting the...

It won't be points ... it'll be a race ban following accumulation of penalty points. 12 points = an automatic race ban. Verstappen has 4; 2 that expire 19th November, and 2 more from yesterday that expire in a year. Generally causing a collision will attract 2 points, so he's got 3 more where...

I said almost exactly that to a bowler while umpiring a couple of seasons back. He'd been bowling well from a little wider of the stumps, but as the spell progressed he came across and started blocking my view. Instead of giving a warning for running on the pitch (which he was), just dropped a...

Not in the case of Red Bull. They are an enabler for Verstappen's worst side through failure to address it. It was the same with Vettel when he was winning titles for them as well. Case studies: For Vettel, the way Horner / the team presented the Vettel/Webber Turkey 2010 as being Webber's fault...