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[Albion] How much is Joao Pedro worth?







um bongo molongo

Well-known member
Jul 26, 2004
3,175
Battersea
Your opinions please on the summer 2025 valuations of the following (mine given):

Baleba £65m (not as great a number as Caicedo, because he was more consistent imho and Boehly was railroaded into paying £25m more than a realistic sum).

Pedro £50m.

Hinshelwood £70m.
I don’t see any reason why Tony would sell Baleba for less than 90-100m.

Likewise Pedro for less than 70m.

Why would we sell for less?
 


Weststander

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Aug 25, 2011
71,288
Withdean area
Yes Spurs and West Ham probably would - not so sure that Chelsea fans would put up with any more Brighton! - besides, they've actually built quite well, and probably wouldn't benefit in the way you suggest.
However, none of them would want to pay much more than £30M - so they wouldn't, and there'd be no sale.

£30m is chicken feed in the PL these days, especially for a striker.

At a time of significantly lower PL income, West Ham took a punt of £45m on Haller, that ended in tears. Pedro is PL proven.

Chelsea … most this season football writers and pundits have said if only they had reliable strikers.
 


DJ NOBO

Well-known member
Jul 18, 2004
7,061
Wiltshire
He‘s had an average season but is the kind of mercurial talent that bigger clubs will think could go up another level with better players around him.
And they’d probably be right.
Id price him at £60-65m.
 


Weststander

Well-known member
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Aug 25, 2011
71,288
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I don’t see any reason why Tony would sell Baleba for less than 90-100m.

Likewise Pedro for less than 70m.

Why would we sell for less?

My back of a fag packet numbers are a guestimate of the highest offer we might receive. I actually wonder if TB would say Hinshelwood is not for sale and really mean it.
 






DJ NOBO

Well-known member
Jul 18, 2004
7,061
Wiltshire
Show me the queue. Or a credible rumour that anybody is eyeing him up. Just because we've got some eye-watering transfer fees lately, we'd be unwise to assume that every player we buy will double or treble in value after a year or two!
We won't be getting £100M for Ferguson either - or anything like it; not at the moment anyway.
It’s mad that that was a thing not so long ago.
 






GT49er

Well-known member
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Feb 1, 2009
50,541
Gloucester
We didn't let Cuckoo, Caicedo, or Alexis go for a few quid profit did we. If we didn't think Pedro was any good and we could get our money back, or even a slight profit, then sure. But like other clubs, we'll think he's worth more than £30m, so we won't let him go that cheaply.
No, we didn't - and now we are frequently guilty of thinking that we'll automatically sell X for £70M, Y for £90M, 2 or 3 times what we paid for them, or whatever, just because that's what we think they should go for - even though no clubs are wanting to buy them for that money.
 


jcdenton08

Joel Veltman Fan Club
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Oct 17, 2008
16,228
No, we didn't - and now we are frequently guilty of thinking that we'll automatically sell X for £70M, Y for £90M, 2 or 3 times what we paid for them, or whatever, just because that's what we think they should go for - even though no clubs are wanting to buy them for that money.
The beauty is not having a need to sell. If a player forces a move, ala Cucurella or Sanchez, we’ve received exceptional fees regardless. We even got a decent fee for Burn, a solid if unspectacular player desperate to move to his home team.

If a club targets a player, our starting negotiating position is “not for sale”. Which is an incredibly strong negotiating position to be in, when a player is performing well and has years on his contract to run.
 


Weststander

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Aug 25, 2011
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Withdean area
No, we didn't - and now we are frequently guilty of thinking that we'll automatically sell X for £70M, Y for £90M, 2 or 3 times what we paid for them, or whatever, just because that's what we think they should go for - even though no clubs are wanting to buy them for that money.

An unprecedented record on transfer profits, perhaps only Dortmund and Sporting Lisbon are in the same league?

2021/22 £62m
2022/23 £121m
2023/24 £110m
 




GT49er

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Feb 1, 2009
50,541
Gloucester
The beauty is not having a need to sell. If a player forces a move, ala Cucurella or Sanchez, we’ve received exceptional fees regardless. We even got a decent fee for Burn, a solid if unspectacular player desperate to move to his home team.
Burn? No - most of NSC thought we should have pushed the beheadies to £20M - although we appreciated the sentiment of letting Big Dan Burn join his boyhood club. Subsequent performances and every single Geordie supporter would agree that they got him for a bargain price.
If a club targets a player, our starting negotiating position is “not for sale”. Which is an incredibly strong negotiating position to be in, when a player is performing well and has years on his contract to run.
Yes, it's a strong position until the potential buyers say, 'Sod it, we've got an alternative lined up; you can keep him' (until he puts in a transfer request and the whole apple-cart gets upset)!
 


jcdenton08

Joel Veltman Fan Club
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Oct 17, 2008
16,228
Burn? No - most of NSC thought we should have pushed the beheadies to £20M - although we appreciated the sentiment of letting Big Dan Burn join his boyhood club. Subsequent performances and every single Geordie supporter would agree that they got him for a bargain price.

Yes, it's a strong position until the potential buyers say, 'Sod it, we've got an alternative lined up; you can keep him' (until he puts in a transfer request and the whole apple-cart gets upset)!
I think we’ve proven we don’t do business exclusively on a player’s terms. The deal has to work for Tony and Paul. If they walk away? Good.
 


GT49er

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Feb 1, 2009
50,541
Gloucester
I think we’ve proven we don’t do business exclusively on a player’s terms. The deal has to work for Tony and Paul. If they walk away? Good.
So, Newcastle and Burn wasn't a great deal for Newcastle and Burn? it was! ....... and the Mac Allister deal (engineered by the superb negotiating skills of Mac Allister senior in 2022; he may not have outdone TB, but he equalled him) wasn't more beneficial for Mac and Liverpool (should have been nearer £70M) than us? Okey-doke, whatever.
Our selling is good - bloody good most of the time. But just because NSC is adamant that a certain player is worth £XM - the fact is, he isn't. Not unless somebody wants to pay it. And he'll be worth considerably less if he (or his ever-greedy agent) want out. That's the real politick.
We can make a huge profit on a £5M-£10M player - not so much on a £30M-£40M one.
 




AstroSloth

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2020
1,640
Would we? OK.

I thought the plan was always making marginal improvements - making a few quid on Pedro and spending less on a more than adequate replacement would be absolutely so Brighton.
He got 20 goals and 3 assists last season across 40 games.

That's a good enough return to be worth far more than the £30m we paid for him, not to mention the fact he was injured for part of the season.

This season he currently has 7 goals and 7 assists in 23 games. His role has changed and he's been injured/out of form for much of the season but is still massively contributing.

João Pedro is worth at least £50m currently, and could be worth much more if he finds some consistency.
 


AstroSloth

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2020
1,640
However, none of them would want to pay much more than £30M - so they wouldn't, and there'd be no sale.
Where you get this idea I don't know.

If Pedro was available for between £30-40m then every club in the Prem and many abroad would be interested.

He'd improve every club in the league, whether that's as a starter or as a bench option depends on the club.
 




Eeyore

Munching grass in Queen's Park
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Apr 5, 2014
27,499
So, Newcastle and Burn wasn't a great deal for Newcastle and Burn? it was! ....... and the Mac Allister deal (engineered by the superb negotiating skills of Mac Allister senior in 2022; he may not have outdone TB, but he equalled him) wasn't more beneficial for Mac and Liverpool (should have been nearer £70M) than us? Okey-doke, whatever.
Our selling is good - bloody good most of the time. But just because NSC is adamant that a certain player is worth £XM - the fact is, he isn't. Not unless somebody wants to pay it. And he'll be worth considerably less if he (or his ever-greedy agent) want out. That's the real politick.
We can make a huge profit on a £5M-£10M player - not so much on a £30M-£40M one.
I think the Mac deal was quoted in the more reliable press as £35m and £20m 'easily achievable' add ons. So I'm guessing the fee was £55m bearing in mind what Liverpool are about to achieve and his regular appearances. I think that was about right at the time, rather skewed by the over-pricing of the Caicedo fee and also the absurdity of the Cucurella fee. But that was CAT (Chelsea Added Tax)
 




Weststander

Well-known member
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Aug 25, 2011
71,288
Withdean area
Which was £35m up front with £20m in add-ons and a sell on clause.

Not a bad deal considering he had 8 months + a one year option on his contract when he signed the extension with the release clause.

Agreeing with you …. the seemingly low £35m met the release clause.
 


AstroSloth

Well-known member
Dec 29, 2020
1,640
Agreeing with you …. the seemingly low £35m met the release clause.
It's been widely reported that the £35m quoted was the initial fee.

It wasn't a standard release clause and there were add-ons which totaled £20m + a sell on clause.
 


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