No.Surely actual voting is more reliable than relying on polymarket etc - doesn’t that just tell you who the betters think will win based on the current snapshot of time - that is why there has been so much fluctuation in the betting market? ie for weeks betting was way out of synch with polling because of Trump’s rhetoric largely - then came Iowa.
- it’s been Trump leading the narrative that the betting markets were more accurate than the polls to suit his ‘election was a steal’ agenda should he lose.
Don’t despair yet - as I said above, we’re seeing a lot of red at the moment because the rural votes are finishing counting much faster that the densely populated Democratic urban areas - I suspect the betting markets are reacting to that.
MSN saying swing States still too early to call - including ones she must win
“With 35% of the expected vote counted in Wisconsin, the presidential race is too close to call.”
“With 14% of the expected vote counted in Michigan, the presidential race is too close to call.”
“Pennsylvania too close to call - 48% expected votes in (Est. remaining 3,660,000)”
Donald TrumpR 0 1,609,336
50.1%
Kamala HarrisD 0 1,575,461
49.0%
Chase OliverI 0 14,740
0.5%
There won't be a next time.
Can't help think that with a bit more time, Michelle Obama would have been a better candidate!!
Could be Putin destroying western society while Trump plays golf.
Why is it? Dont get carried away with nonsense media narratives.
Surely possible to do both!
It’s a triumph for nastiness, cheating, lying. If he gets imprisoned will he run the country from jail?
Yep. Betting markets are always a good indication of a political event. People putting money down tend to ignore their own bias and rely on considered analysis of the situation.
Double post
